Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
387
lifetime
Volume
$439.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.13K
Open exposure
$66.2K
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-30 08:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Politics
42%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -17,500 $-17,462 100¢ $-17482 $-20 06-28 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +15,000 $12,950 82¢ $12.4K $-575 06-23 17:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -8,421 $-8,476 100¢ $-8413 +$64 06-23 16:49
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +8,382 $8,244 100¢ $8.3K +$104 06-25 05:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +7,000 $6,510 94¢ $6.5K +$35 06-23 17:44
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +5,498 $5,267 100¢ $5.5K +$226 06-30 08:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,250 86¢ $4.3K +$75 06-30 08:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,000 $1,964 100¢ $2.0K +$32 06-24 06:04
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +572 $558 100¢ $571 +$14 06-15 10:45
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +503 $497 100¢ $502 +$5 06-28 21:47
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +175 $173 97¢ $170 $-3 06-28 21:48