Realized P&L
-$99
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
24.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
52,569
lifetime
Volume
$308.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$3.44K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-15 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
34% 100% +$16
Sports
8% 0% $-115
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 1327 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,505 $1,037 99¢ $1.5K +$452 06-10 12:18
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +1,378 $719 46¢ $627 $-92 06-16 03:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -439 $-397 90¢ $-397 $-0 06-15 14:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,726 $259 14¢ $233 $-26 06-15 21:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,834 $108 $113 +$5 06-16 02:34
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +3,237 $99 $104 +$4 06-13 18:51
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -163 $-107 55¢ $-90 +$17 06-06 17:44
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +13,478 $196 $81 $-115 06-15 08:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +904 $85 $77 $-9 06-14 21:44
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $73 82¢ $73 +$0 06-14 20:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +291 $380 20¢ $60 $-321 06-10 12:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes -8,799 $-71 $-57 +$14 06-10 20:53
Trump out as President by June 30? No +37 $36 100¢ $37 +$0 06-15 16:13
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 18:18