Realized P&L
+$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.04K
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
122
Trades
102,250
lifetime
Volume
$657.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$3.06K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 08-26 03:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Politics
46% 57% -$1,117
Other
30% 51% -$2,150
Sports
16% 39% +$138
Tech
6% 60% +$120
Crypto
3% 45% +$14,823
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,562 -$1,467 97¢ $-1513 -$46 08-18 04:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,491 -$214 15¢ $-381 -$167 08-19 03:25
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -214 -$208 98¢ $-209 $0 08-13 03:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,575 $411 12¢ $-189 -$600 08-19 07:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,285 -$115 12¢ $-157 -$41 08-13 03:22
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,237 -$134 5¢ $-112 +$22 08-13 03:27
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -59 -$94 100¢ $-59 +$35 08-17 06:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -639 -$84 8¢ $-54 +$30 08-14 00:48
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,025 -$46 5¢ $-53 -$7 05-05 04:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -902 -$77 5¢ $-49 +$27 08-15 12:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -303 -$56 16¢ $-49 +$7 08-14 01:40
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -606 -$73 8¢ $-48 +$24 08-17 15:23
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -45 -$43 94¢ $-43 +$1 05-19 15:17
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -40 -$40 100¢ $-40 +$1 05-03 18:31
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -180 -$85 18¢ $-33 +$52 08-14 06:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -103 -$64 26¢ $-27 +$37 05-21 06:40
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -495 -$17 3¢ $-17 +$0 05-22 20:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -207 $177 3¢ $-7 -$184 08-25 16:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -36 $165 16¢ $-6 -$171 08-18 08:52
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -258 $2 2¢ $-4 -$6 08-26 03:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -578 -$34 1¢ $-4 +$30 05-21 06:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +45 -$8 6¢ $2 +$11 06-24 11:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +21 $44 3¢ $1 -$43 08-14 16:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +24 $13 2¢ $0 -$13 08-13 05:06
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -130 -$34 0¢ $-0 +$34 05-01 12:18
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -95 $84 0¢ $-0 -$84 08-15 18:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-21 06:38
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$18 100¢ $0 +$18 05-04 13:27
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +0 $11 0¢ $0 -$11 06-05 13:59