Sugary-Peen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

55,427

lifetime

Volume

$319.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-27 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

35% 100% +$16

Sports

7% 0% $-115

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10,947	$41.4K	796,169	688,423	+107,746	open	—	02-28 14:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2,025	$35.9K	100,625	88,979	+11,646	open	—	05-30 11:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2,197	$20.3K	837,274	793,860	+43,414	open	—	03-16 09:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	730	$19.5K	32,989	31,886	+1,103	open	—	06-10 12:18
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	269	$14.8K	7,534	8,439	-906	open	—	01-31 13:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2,763	$13.5K	10,838	11,390	-552	open	—	02-27 16:09
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	276	$10.1K	12,968	12,829	+139	open	—	02-28 23:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	843	$8.4K	5,412	3,323	+2,089	open	—	02-03 10:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2,362	$8.2K	31,640	14,847	+16,793	open	—	05-28 06:01
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5,943	$7.9K	154,998	141,852	+13,146	open	—	02-28 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1,026	$7.7K	15,643	13,793	+1,851	open	—	05-21 14:07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1,039	$6.8K	8,578	7,390	+1,188	open	—	07-27 07:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	414	$6.3K	13,122	12,832	+291	open	—	06-10 12:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	365	$6.1K	3,666	3,428	+238	open	—	02-16 00:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	593	$5.6K	4,122	3,775	+347	open	—	02-14 00:19
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	319	$5.3K	2,810	2,669	+141	open	—	02-03 12:14
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,436	$4.8K	84,031	77,025	+7,006	open	—	03-01 21:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	222	$4.4K	2,400	1,992	+407	open	—	05-01 00:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2,816	$4.1K	38,168	35,383	+2,785	open	—	07-27 18:56
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	267	$4.0K	2,662	1,840	+823	open	—	05-16 07:28
Trump out as President by April 30?	50	$4.0K	2,024	2,012	+12	open	—	04-30 23:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	49	$3.9K	1,680	2,719	-1,039	open	—	07-20 18:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	147	$3.7K	1,926	1,765	+161	open	—	04-30 22:16
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	443	$3.5K	277,283	282,411	-5,128	open	—	03-02 17:15
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	212	$3.2K	2,183	1,750	+433	open	—	05-01 12:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	129	$3.1K	23,856	24,617	-762	open	—	03-15 15:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,217	$3.0K	73,717	71,879	+1,838	No	$-10	03-02 17:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	319	$2.9K	2,402	1,587	+815	open	—	06-01 12:01
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	55	$2.8K	1,514	1,346	+169	open	—	01-28 19:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	135	$2.6K	1,390	1,280	+110	open	—	04-29 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 18:56:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x24d627…
07-27 17:09:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0xfc8eb8…
07-27 15:26:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x4f8542…
07-27 15:20:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf0d439…
07-27 15:11:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb95e25…
07-27 15:11:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0faaa1…
07-27 15:00:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x018275…
07-27 14:51:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xba564f…
07-27 14:48:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x904f4d…
07-27 14:45:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xedcf9f…
07-27 14:44:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1f6c77…
07-27 14:39:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6f8258…
07-27 14:34:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc324ac…
07-27 14:34:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7c344c…
07-27 14:29:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5f9c51…
07-27 14:13:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd3b965…
07-27 14:12:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfd6f3f…
07-27 14:07:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1ce8f5…
07-27 13:58:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5bfac1…
07-27 13:38:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5d64b6…
07-27 13:37:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7fb950…
07-27 13:33:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8f8030…
07-27 13:29:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa60b54…
07-27 13:27:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4bafa9…
07-27 13:21:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd6d015…
07-27 13:16:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x3c13a6…
07-27 08:13:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0x15ac39…
07-27 07:48:48	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xe926e7…
07-27 06:48:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x1c4c0f…
07-27 06:40:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1b0a9a…
07-27 06:37:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8ea292…
07-27 06:28:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf0a2dd…
07-27 06:27:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe0be43…
07-27 06:16:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xaec639…
07-27 06:03:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2a7148…
07-27 05:57:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4bb690…
07-27 05:51:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x63d08e…
07-27 05:46:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x248862…
07-27 05:42:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x425799…
07-27 05:39:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6c8b71…
07-27 05:38:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xcef026…
07-27 05:32:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x13fa35…
07-27 05:30:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4d8ceb…
07-27 05:22:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc87273…
07-27 05:17:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x895ad6…
07-27 05:12:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf061cd…
07-27 05:11:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x7a8a76…
07-27 05:09:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa90afc…
07-27 05:02:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x43c0c8…
07-27 04:49:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xbeb6c3…
07-27 04:49:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc9f3ee…
07-27 04:38:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4af46d…
07-27 03:04:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$3	0xd0c73b…
07-27 03:03:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x39c9e4…
07-27 02:52:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xae2d09…
07-27 02:46:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x8a8751…
07-27 02:44:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x197059…
07-27 02:43:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdb9fb7…
07-27 02:39:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x123d8c…
07-27 02:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf28050…
07-27 02:19:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x8830db…
07-27 01:28:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0xaad75d…
07-27 01:27:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0x38e9ca…
07-27 01:25:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0x59aeb9…
07-27 01:25:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0x32ce87…
07-27 01:24:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0xe9c161…
07-27 01:24:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x55eb98…
07-26 19:35:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0x655839…
07-26 19:33:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0x2c84e2…
07-26 14:39:34	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9db9ed…
07-26 13:30:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xaa6c28…
07-26 10:49:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	322	6¢	$19	0x4b90cf…
07-26 10:46:28	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xb47783…
07-26 06:10:31	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x122650…
07-26 00:08:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0xba8025…
07-26 00:07:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0xec3033…
07-25 18:42:34	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xea33a4…
07-25 16:31:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x9e1c94…
07-25 14:29:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	13¢	$21	0xd786fb…
07-25 11:50:27	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xbfd2a4…
07-25 10:54:54	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xc6f4c5…
07-25 10:11:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x6e2a09…
07-25 10:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8577ee…
07-25 10:02:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x65538e…
07-25 09:56:00	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x5d23f0…
07-25 09:52:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb0a1a7…
07-25 09:48:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf485c5…
07-25 09:48:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf3e64b…
07-25 09:46:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xa90d0b…
07-25 09:46:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xf015a6…
07-25 06:40:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0xe49dac…
07-25 03:28:19	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x3fb676…
07-25 03:27:54	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x11571f…
07-25 02:48:48	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x16a133…
07-25 02:35:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	144	14¢	$20	0x432eb6…
07-25 02:28:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x2f65fb…
07-25 02:03:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xa7e1a4…
07-25 02:02:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x6d4f4a…
07-25 02:02:45	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x9e8d71…
07-25 02:02:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xff0484…