Sugary-Peen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

55,675

lifetime

Volume

$321.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-14 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

35% 100% +$16

Sports

7% 0% $-115

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 496 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10,947	$41.4K	796,169	688,423	+107,746	open	—	02-28 14:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2,025	$35.9K	100,625	88,979	+11,646	open	—	05-30 11:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2,197	$20.3K	837,274	793,860	+43,414	open	—	03-16 09:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	730	$19.5K	32,989	31,886	+1,103	open	—	06-10 12:18
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	269	$14.8K	7,534	8,439	-906	open	—	01-31 13:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2,763	$13.5K	10,838	11,390	-552	open	—	02-27 16:09
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	276	$10.1K	12,968	12,829	+139	open	—	02-28 23:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	843	$8.4K	5,412	3,323	+2,089	open	—	02-03 10:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2,362	$8.2K	31,640	14,847	+16,793	open	—	05-28 06:01
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5,943	$7.9K	154,998	141,852	+13,146	open	—	02-28 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1,026	$7.7K	15,643	13,793	+1,851	open	—	05-21 14:07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1,069	$7.1K	8,768	8,819	-51	open	—	08-14 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	414	$6.3K	13,122	12,832	+291	open	—	06-10 12:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	365	$6.1K	3,666	3,428	+238	open	—	02-16 00:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	593	$5.6K	4,122	3,775	+347	open	—	02-14 00:19
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	319	$5.3K	2,810	2,669	+141	open	—	02-03 12:14
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,436	$4.8K	84,031	77,025	+7,006	open	—	03-01 21:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2,907	$4.4K	39,728	41,415	-1,687	open	—	08-13 05:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	222	$4.4K	2,400	1,992	+407	open	—	05-01 00:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	53	$4.3K	1,800	2,959	-1,159	open	—	08-10 01:46
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	267	$4.0K	2,662	1,840	+823	open	—	05-16 07:28
Trump out as President by April 30?	50	$4.0K	2,024	2,012	+12	open	—	04-30 23:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	147	$3.7K	1,926	1,765	+161	open	—	04-30 22:16
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	443	$3.5K	277,283	282,411	-5,128	open	—	03-02 17:15
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	212	$3.2K	2,183	1,750	+433	open	—	05-01 12:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	129	$3.1K	23,856	24,617	-762	open	—	03-15 15:57
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	164	$3.1K	1,716	1,820	-104	open	—	08-13 03:30
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,217	$3.0K	73,717	71,879	+1,838	No	$-10	03-02 17:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	319	$2.9K	2,402	1,587	+815	open	—	06-01 12:01
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	55	$2.8K	1,514	1,346	+169	open	—	01-28 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 16:18:52	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	842	17¢	$143	0xfac065…
08-14 07:15:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x366b94…
08-14 05:34:51	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x807112…
08-14 05:05:03	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xbd801f…
08-14 05:04:12	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	416	17¢	$71	0x4257db…
08-13 05:06:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,472	4¢	$170	0x882405…
08-13 03:30:12	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x2b4d7d…
08-13 03:30:12	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	222	3¢	$6	0x0c7fed…
08-13 03:30:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	232	3¢	$6	0xcdc4d7…
08-13 03:20:39	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x035fa6…
08-13 03:18:31	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0xb74c7f…
08-13 03:16:25	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x862d5c…
08-13 03:16:18	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	328	3¢	$9	0xba10cb…
08-13 03:14:19	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x2273e2…
08-13 03:14:12	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	271	3¢	$7	0x879aa2…
08-13 03:10:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	8¢	$13	0xca4830…
08-11 13:31:52	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	832	3¢	$24	0x4416ca…
08-10 15:40:57	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$4	0xc9ee98…
08-10 15:22:49	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$1	0x9f1947…
08-10 15:06:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xf869e4…
08-10 08:15:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	140	3¢	$4	0xdf6960…
08-10 07:36:52	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	209	3¢	$6	0xcf0925…
08-10 07:02:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x9e1ccf…
08-10 03:24:01	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xce7d40…
08-10 01:46:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xf54f09…
08-10 01:46:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	91	96¢	$87	0x3a185a…
08-10 01:46:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x07cfb6…
08-10 01:01:24	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	383	3¢	$10	0x6ece53…
08-08 07:05:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x8f1c6c…
08-07 09:51:54	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x46ab21…
08-07 03:48:21	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x635fc9…
08-07 03:06:04	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x9eab79…
08-07 02:57:40	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x559dcd…
08-07 02:49:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x481d46…
08-07 01:56:45	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x1d08b1…
08-07 01:48:04	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x376781…
08-07 01:36:46	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x859bff…
08-07 01:34:34	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x6e2363…
08-06 23:15:08	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xe5cb75…
08-06 17:30:00	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x8598dc…
08-06 16:56:23	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0x74a336…
08-06 15:20:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xa09436…
08-06 09:39:45	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x53aa09…
08-06 09:30:20	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xc6ae2d…
08-06 08:57:38	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x1303fe…
08-06 08:47:00	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x131d77…
08-06 08:15:08	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6e0b7f…
08-06 07:17:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb676c3…
08-06 04:56:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x62b29f…
08-06 04:50:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcef958…
08-06 04:28:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x77a168…
08-06 04:04:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x862f3e…
08-06 04:04:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x45d37e…
08-06 03:54:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x44bf42…
08-06 03:53:45	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa2e177…
08-06 03:47:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe31f13…
08-06 03:44:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xa1200e…
08-06 03:41:48	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x14168d…
08-06 03:33:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x4cfcfa…
08-06 03:24:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x72d8f5…
08-06 03:23:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8b5e8b…
08-06 03:13:29	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xdc7821…
08-06 03:09:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2be924…
08-06 02:56:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc1466f…
08-06 02:54:50	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd817b0…
08-06 02:50:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe050d2…
08-06 02:44:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbea7bb…
08-06 02:43:38	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x46e098…
08-06 02:22:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x43ba90…
08-06 02:04:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xdc0250…
08-06 01:52:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x63e522…
08-06 01:24:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1d8da3…
08-06 00:52:11	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1e59c8…
08-05 23:47:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8fb6d4…
08-05 22:56:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xce04d0…
08-05 22:39:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x4dd70b…
08-05 18:32:53	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x6c99a0…
08-05 17:14:51	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x7af32c…
08-05 16:09:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	9¢	$15	0x4b1615…
08-05 14:24:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xe60734…
08-05 13:12:00	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbda9f5…
08-05 12:40:47	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xebc80d…
08-05 12:01:48	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe0db46…
08-05 10:40:53	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x78272f…
08-05 10:18:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x62add4…
08-05 09:46:17	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x46b887…
08-05 08:41:32	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xe0d009…
08-05 08:22:42	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0xb4d769…
08-05 08:01:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x24e4bd…
08-05 08:00:45	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x7dd205…
08-05 06:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x51b68b…
08-05 06:51:51	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xfb0158…
08-05 06:02:05	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2c2eca…
08-05 02:55:42	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x904883…
08-05 02:46:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xf8c08e…
08-05 02:27:23	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6a47d0…
08-05 02:17:44	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x3172f2…
08-05 02:07:12	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x76be8e…
08-05 01:42:08	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe27a29…
08-05 01:19:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x9e82a6…