Realized P&L
-$99
Unrealized P&L
-$1.17K
Hit rate
24.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
54,332
lifetime
Volume
$314.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$2.43K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-06 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
35% 100% +$16
Sports
7% 0% $-115
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 1327 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -919 $-844 94¢ $-859 $-15 07-05 16:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,354 $1,080 22¢ $506 $-574 07-06 18:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +2,103 $300 12¢ $263 $-37 07-06 19:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +6,807 $356 $255 $-101 07-06 21:11
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +6,568 $192 $181 $-11 07-06 13:59
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +162 $131 68¢ $110 $-21 06-21 19:14
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -163 $-107 64¢ $-103 +$4 06-06 17:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +1,870 $153 $103 $-50 07-01 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes -526 $-68 10¢ $-50 +$18 06-24 11:29
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-30 18:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +291 $380 $0 $-380 06-10 12:58