Kaleidoscopic-Camp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

22,587

lifetime

Volume

$12.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$530

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 08-11 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Politics

25% 100% +$32,205

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 890 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1,316	$1.14M	650,543	576,341	+74,202	open	—	05-31 08:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1,161	$1.03M	632,905	514,134	+118,771	open	—	08-10 06:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	965	$869.3K	492,929	482,356	+10,573	open	—	04-28 15:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1,667	$752.4K	553,796	394,769	+159,028	open	—	04-06 17:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4,695	$686.3K	366,931	363,627	+3,303	open	—	07-03 06:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	292	$559.7K	308,077	284,522	+23,554	open	—	04-14 07:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	211	$459.5K	232,522	234,530	-2,008	open	—	07-30 11:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	437	$451.2K	272,724	229,145	+43,579	open	—	08-11 06:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	760	$342.3K	253,039	120,774	+132,265	open	—	04-06 13:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	228	$331.4K	81,837	255,006	-173,169	open	—	06-20 13:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	326	$325.4K	200,900	139,073	+61,827	open	—	05-12 06:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	705	$318.5K	220,704	116,811	+103,893	open	—	08-11 08:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	692	$241.8K	56,774	188,931	-132,158	open	—	06-17 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	217	$215.7K	121,000	114,528	+6,471	open	—	06-27 12:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	213	$214.1K	135,788	87,515	+48,273	open	—	08-02 02:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	444	$209.0K	116,246	114,860	+1,385	open	—	04-30 00:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	162	$200.6K	101,861	111,000	-9,138	open	—	04-16 11:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	240	$180.1K	89,837	111,633	-21,796	Yes	+$17,402	05-05 01:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	315	$162.4K	79,518	86,525	-7,006	open	—	03-29 21:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	161	$157.2K	11,253	147,737	-136,484	open	—	06-10 12:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	226	$148.8K	75,265	75,265	+0	open	—	06-26 02:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	331	$145.6K	33,205	123,943	-90,738	open	—	08-11 15:21
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	23	$144.9K	85,678	85,722	-43	open	—	06-30 21:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	46	$140.6K	71,000	71,000	+0	open	—	08-09 12:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	96	$139.7K	69,312	74,482	-5,170	open	—	04-04 07:45
trump out as president by march 31	297	$136.4K	69,120	69,727	-607	open	—	03-19 13:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	480	$134.5K	61,828	78,511	-16,683	open	—	02-24 14:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	114	$109.6K	53,862	58,119	-4,256	open	—	04-29 11:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	166	$101.2K	51,508	51,508	+0	open	—	03-29 06:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	128	$99.3K	51,013	51,023	-10	open	—	05-15 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 23:38:22	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf2ca27…
08-11 22:09:07	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0x4f4559…
08-11 21:53:51	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x625dea…
08-11 15:21:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x4906dd…
08-11 14:17:57	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xeab3c6…
08-11 14:17:52	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	5,366	97¢	$5,210	0x5fe147…
08-11 11:06:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$973	0xa97795…
08-11 11:02:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	1,813	98¢	$1,775	0x1e8144…
08-11 11:01:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	1,187	98¢	$1,162	0xbbd7a4…
08-11 10:24:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x2cb637…
08-11 09:38:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	593	99¢	$585	0xa7ff50…
08-11 09:38:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xafaba2…
08-11 09:30:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	2,143	99¢	$2,113	0x3003e9…
08-11 09:27:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	79	99¢	$77	0xa950bd…
08-11 08:30:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x443e87…
08-11 08:17:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xf509f2…
08-11 08:17:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x354274…
08-11 08:17:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x876ec8…
08-11 08:02:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xe35b0b…
08-11 07:54:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x0adb93…
08-11 07:25:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd45db…
08-11 07:25:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xddad60…
08-11 07:24:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xeafc03…
08-11 07:22:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0x5a5142…
08-11 07:08:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	79	99¢	$77	0x011a63…
08-11 07:04:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x4fb872…
08-11 07:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	79	99¢	$77	0xb3c4f6…
08-11 06:55:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	79	99¢	$77	0x2e00d0…
08-11 06:55:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xd59da7…
08-11 06:38:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,967	93¢	$2,759	0x344ad3…
08-11 06:26:16	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$953	0x301742…
08-11 06:16:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xb0816e…
08-11 06:12:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x326bf0…
08-11 06:12:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x4b4d04…
08-11 06:05:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,970	0x050bf8…
08-11 06:05:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xb7d1b7…
08-11 06:05:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x125d49…
08-11 06:05:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xf9884e…
08-11 06:05:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,603	95¢	$2,480	0x94533c…
08-11 06:05:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	795	99¢	$784	0xba57ac…
08-11 05:26:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x6d27cc…
08-11 05:26:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	431	96¢	$411	0x386d54…
08-11 05:24:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1593d…
08-11 05:19:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xb44a39…
08-11 05:17:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	995	99¢	$987	0xa81ea0…
08-11 04:33:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	217	95¢	$207	0x44e866…
08-11 04:26:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,200	95¢	$1,144	0x9b5fb9…
08-11 04:08:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95997b…
08-11 03:55:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	980	95¢	$934	0x00b6ce…
08-11 03:54:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x36a7e7…
08-11 02:57:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xfca225…
08-11 02:47:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,859	0x67edaa…
08-11 02:28:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	795	96¢	$759	0xa62595…
08-11 01:52:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x1cabaa…
08-11 01:20:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x7d0531…
08-10 23:18:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xf91c65…
08-10 23:05:48	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x44e3f4…
08-10 20:35:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x546c27…
08-10 20:23:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x64a95b…
08-10 20:06:55	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,916	99¢	$3,881	0x2b5cb4…
08-10 17:48:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,859	0xa00637…
08-10 17:33:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	210	96¢	$200	0x5a2945…
08-10 17:30:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	163	96¢	$155	0xc75865…
08-10 17:29:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	364	95¢	$345	0xe51dcc…
08-10 17:13:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,065	93¢	$5,640	0x88c952…
08-10 16:40:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x9fa774…
08-10 16:32:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x94f2e9…
08-10 16:26:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x472740…
08-10 16:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8,502	96¢	$8,162	0xb77e42…
08-10 15:50:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,336	93¢	$4,032	0x777a69…
08-10 15:46:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,620	0x95f846…
08-10 15:23:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7115bc…
08-10 15:22:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x225985…
08-10 15:21:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9fa72c…
08-10 15:18:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x1bb8ce…
08-10 15:09:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6ab041…
08-10 15:09:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x83f837…
08-10 15:08:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xdcb091…
08-10 15:05:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xd8e1e5…
08-10 15:02:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x1d9fab…
08-10 15:01:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x17ee5a…
08-10 14:53:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	154	96¢	$147	0x191f84…
08-10 14:42:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	487	99¢	$481	0x2eab45…
08-10 14:29:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,875	93¢	$10,114	0xb8075b…
08-10 14:15:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x9c1879…
08-10 14:15:04	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$452	0xf55747…
08-10 14:01:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd94d4a…
08-10 14:00:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xe96d83…
08-10 14:00:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x63c5cc…
08-10 14:00:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x8877a2…
08-10 14:00:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x20e387…
08-10 13:59:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xddcfc7…
08-10 13:59:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x26b1d6…
08-10 13:59:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd0a321…
08-10 13:59:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xe8bec3…
08-10 13:58:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x88d96e…
08-10 13:58:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x39e09c…
08-10 13:48:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x7a1543…
08-10 13:47:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x846fb6…
08-10 13:46:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x80a8f0…