Realized P&L
+$75.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
90
Trades
6,775
lifetime
Volume
$1.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$84.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-07 14:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
45%
50%
+$24,770
Other
37%
57%
+$40,531
Crypto
13%
35%
+$17,820
Sports
4%
31%
-$7,792
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk
• peak 37 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 504 | $108.6K | 281,873 | 6,974 | +274,899 | Yes | +$27,540 | 01-31 07:11 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 226 | $50.1K | 90,050 | 13,648 | +76,402 | Yes | +$21,002 | 02-28 20:14 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 278 | $46.8K | 109,155 | 835 | +108,320 | Yes | +$8,819 | 05-19 16:34 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 114 | $45.3K | 96,319 | 15,500 | +80,819 | No | -$1,937 | 02-01 14:10 |
| will the government shutdown last 5 days or more | 120 | $44.4K | 51,112 | 17,181 | +33,931 | No | +$4,529 | 02-03 18:08 |
| will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245 | 373 | $41.9K | 73,479 | 4,923 | +68,556 | Yes | -$3,674 | 01-30 11:50 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 262 | $39.2K | 84,779 | 1,197 | +83,582 | No | -$678 | 05-19 16:31 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 283 | $34.5K | 75,998 | 2,120 | +73,878 | Yes | +$7,037 | 02-28 13:57 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 137 | $33.2K | 58,577 | 5,140 | +53,437 | Yes | +$7,625 | 04-13 07:29 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | 180 | $31.4K | 43,932 | 3,404 | +40,528 | open | — | 07-17 16:16 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 90 | $30.6K | 64,338 | 6,236 | +58,102 | Yes | -$5,742 | 01-30 11:57 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 100 | $30.2K | 31,938 | 19,993 | +11,944 | No | -$5,381 | 02-13 07:22 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026 | 237 | $28.0K | 60,153 | 3,491 | +56,662 | Yes | +$17,339 | 03-29 22:49 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 107 | $23.5K | 50,423 | 541 | +49,883 | No | +$1,714 | 04-12 18:41 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 323 | $22.7K | 40,765 | 30,471 | +10,294 | open | — | 08-27 04:08 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 72 | $17.5K | 46,168 | 3,283 | +42,884 | No | +$710 | 01-29 15:33 |
| will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas | 105 | $17.4K | 34,299 | 1,500 | +32,799 | Yes | -$169 | 03-03 01:09 |
| will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 53 | $16.9K | 23,915 | 4,635 | +19,281 | No | +$1,832 | 01-20 05:06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 226 | $15.9K | 37,519 | 0 | +37,519 | No | +$5,529 | 04-26 21:55 |
| will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards | 59 | $15.8K | 27,594 | 0 | +27,594 | No | +$3,366 | 03-15 15:40 |
| will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas | 44 | $13.8K | 25,103 | 0 | +25,103 | No | +$1,452 | 03-03 01:00 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 24 | $12.1K | 22,002 | 1,115 | +20,887 | No | +$495 | 01-30 16:28 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | 89 | $11.2K | 17,457 | 0 | +17,457 | No | +$1,370 | 04-15 11:14 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 194 | $11.0K | 25,150 | 0 | +25,150 | No | -$4,503 | 08-03 21:16 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 76 | $10.3K | 21,332 | 0 | +21,332 | open | — | 10-04 21:55 |
| will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 65 | $10.3K | 17,104 | 5,200 | +11,904 | Yes | +$1,681 | 03-15 19:24 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 64 | $9.6K | 11,239 | 4,342 | +6,897 | Yes | +$2,296 | 01-24 17:42 |
| will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026 | 58 | $9.6K | 19,191 | 0 | +19,191 | Yes | +$4,486 | 03-16 21:41 |
| will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 120 | $8.1K | 28,391 | 1,600 | +26,791 | No | -$2,196 | 03-13 23:12 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694 | 55 | $8.0K | 15,950 | 500 | +15,450 | No | -$1,175 | 02-28 12:03 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||