Realized P&L
+$45.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.47K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
147
lifetime
Volume
$704.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4.79K
Open exposure
$168.3K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-17 19:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
73% 100% +$45,406
Other
21%
Crypto
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -58,984 $-53,676 92¢ $-53970 $-295 07-09 18:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -40,079 $-37,813 96¢ $-38536 $-723 06-28 09:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -22,000 $-20,460 92¢ $-20350 +$110 07-15 22:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -17,304 $-16,108 95¢ $-16447 $-339 06-01 12:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -10,000 $-8,958 90¢ $-9050 $-92 07-07 17:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -9,396 $-8,647 94¢ $-8879 $-232 06-28 09:45
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -8,326 $-7,780 93¢ $-7743 +$37 07-17 19:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6,913 $-6,429 90¢ $-6257 +$173 07-06 18:08
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -2,507 $-2,356 96¢ $-2394 $-38 06-28 09:45
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -2,167 $-2,040 96¢ $-2091 $-50 06-26 05:23
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -1,504 $-1,418 94¢ $-1412 +$6 06-28 09:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,251 $1,155 90¢ $1.1K $-23 07-17 19:10