Villainous-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-18 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

56% 78% $-109

Other

44% 46% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	14	$309	1,320	316	+1,005	Yes	$-159	04-21 05:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$195	221	221	+0	Yes	+$11	04-05 06:23
will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	4	$162	239	98	+140	No	+$20	04-02 13:22
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$132	300	300	+0	No	+$20	04-22 07:43
will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	6	$129	362	227	+136	No	+$0	04-04 21:26
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$129	74	74	+0	No	$-1	03-12 11:22
will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	5	$120	189	73	+115	No	+$5	04-01 16:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$101	88	88	+0	No	+$1	03-14 12:16
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	3	$91	368	0	+368	open	—	06-17 10:05
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	2	$78	0	85	-85	open	—	08-06 20:55
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	2	$48	500	0	+500	open	—	07-03 12:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$46	30	30	+0	Yes	+$13	04-05 06:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	5	$39	190	190	+0	Yes	$-34	04-17 13:34
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	2	$35	500	0	+500	open	—	08-10 16:08
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	5	$33	224	0	+224	Yes	$-33	04-20 23:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$30	3,128	128	+3,000	Yes	+$2	04-25 00:09
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	3	$28	57	0	+57	No	+$29	03-19 11:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 10:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$22	100	0	+100	open	—	07-28 06:48
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	2	$21	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 23:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$20	32	32	+0	Yes	$-0	03-19 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$19	45	44	+1	No	$-1	04-05 00:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$17	200	0	+200	open	—	08-18 13:27
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	1	$13	0	100	-100	open	—	06-20 08:30
will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in march	2	$8	60	0	+60	No	$-8	04-01 16:05
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$7	100	0	+100	open	—	07-06 20:59
will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	1	$4	15	0	+15	Yes	+$11	03-21 11:00
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march 454	3	$2	283	90	+193	No	$-2	04-04 21:27
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 955	2	$2	170	170	+0	No	$-0	03-21 19:55
cs2 farmvi akimbo 2026 04 02	1	$1	1	0	+1	Akimbo Esports	+$0	04-04 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 13:27:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8a494f…
08-10 16:08:58	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	340	7¢	$24	0xaa52a7…
08-06 20:55:30	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	65	91¢	$59	0x99c7c8…
08-05 06:59:20	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x0f611e…
07-28 06:48:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x5df6c4…
07-06 20:59:50	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x35e182…
07-06 20:48:38	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	160	7¢	$11	0x5d39f8…
07-03 12:38:59	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0xede539…
06-20 08:30:50	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x988741…
06-17 10:05:19	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xb609b8…
06-17 09:28:11	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0x0918c2…
06-17 09:26:31	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x671eeb…
06-17 09:21:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xcf21ad…
06-13 20:40:55	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x494969…
04-25 00:09:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x184d0a…
04-24 13:58:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4f7272…
04-24 13:57:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0df7cb…
04-22 07:43:14	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xfbffc1…
04-22 06:53:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xc22761…
04-21 05:45:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	464	4¢	$17	0xd99e69…
04-20 23:52:10	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	12¢	$11	0x41a314…
04-20 21:45:34	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x9f7e06…
04-20 21:02:00	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x3732f8…
04-20 21:01:12	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x0a22a8…
04-20 20:59:50	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xac4088…
04-20 19:36:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x85b74e…
04-20 00:09:18	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xa584c2…
04-19 22:13:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xee8c6d…
04-19 22:12:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xef8b5e…
04-19 20:48:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	301	22¢	$65	0x04eb5b…
04-19 20:35:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	105	25¢	$26	0x50ed84…
04-19 14:51:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	128	12¢	$16	0xd7377d…
04-17 17:40:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	128	9¢	$11	0xd737a3…
04-17 13:34:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x512ea8…
04-17 13:32:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc1bb71…
04-17 13:20:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x70f25e…
04-15 14:18:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf36a77…
04-15 14:18:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	132	13¢	$17	0xb16360…
04-15 14:17:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	95	13¢	$12	0x5c8d9a…
04-13 06:08:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xdcd6e9…
04-12 20:39:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x7f9d4a…
04-11 22:55:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x543d0a…
04-11 22:37:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	156	31¢	$49	0x1fe53b…
04-11 22:35:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x27f961…
04-11 22:34:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x4f4228…
04-11 22:34:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x08fd79…
04-11 22:32:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x7b6a8a…
04-05 06:24:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x726c68…
04-05 06:23:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x65d6e9…
04-05 00:14:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0x7df967…
04-05 00:12:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x56637e…
04-04 23:02:03	cs2 farmvi akimbo 2026 04 02	Akimbo Esports	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb3632f…
04-04 21:27:19	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march 454	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$1	0x34b612…
04-04 21:26:19	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0xf5fe7c…
04-04 07:24:51	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	Yes	SELL	157	0¢	$0	0x5b32ac…
04-04 07:24:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march 454	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xfa791b…
04-02 13:23:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x381000…
04-02 13:22:29	will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x9b39a8…
04-01 21:10:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x53caa8…
04-01 21:02:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xd29b8d…
04-01 16:05:05	will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in march	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xdbaaf7…
04-01 16:00:41	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x138a94…
03-21 19:55:35	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 955	Yes	SELL	170	0¢	$1	0xc6ae09…
03-21 19:29:33	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x6a7834…
03-21 14:11:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 955	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xd3013f…
03-21 11:00:35	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xc2ab5d…
03-21 10:48:57	will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in march	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x7ad49b…
03-21 10:47:47	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe0ec71…
03-21 10:46:53	will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x6cdce8…
03-21 10:46:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x6a1237…
03-21 10:44:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march 454	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xebaa4e…
03-19 11:11:47	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf8b6fb…
03-19 11:10:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x19e428…
03-19 10:57:03	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x353c99…
03-19 10:55:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x095229…
03-18 14:26:23	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x0fd654…
03-17 07:37:19	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	No	SELL	73	85¢	$62	0xc5b530…
03-17 06:50:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x6a9b7d…
03-16 23:52:47	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xa09231…
03-16 21:24:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x25f1e1…
03-16 20:57:15	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdc412a…
03-16 13:48:23	will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	No	SELL	98	92¢	$91	0x1b3d68…
03-14 17:25:23	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xbc7d49…
03-14 12:16:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	88	58¢	$51	0x7a65bd…
03-14 10:28:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	171	31¢	$53	0x5441a3…
03-14 07:40:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	171	35¢	$60	0x04dc2e…
03-14 07:40:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb31625…
03-12 11:29:21	will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	No	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0x2d5cfc…
03-12 11:28:41	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	No	SELL	70	93¢	$64	0x405c5f…
03-12 11:22:45	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	74	87¢	$64	0x764ad6…
03-12 08:59:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xb0b4df…
03-12 08:02:27	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0x15ee8e…