Playful-Wellbeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.68K

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,392

lifetime

Volume

$1.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$962

Open exposure

$8.73K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 09-18 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

91% 39% -$142,440

Other

9% 38% +$6,727

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	-32,321	-$12,901	26¢	$-8565	+$4,336	09-11 09:11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	+2,243	$1,656	6¢	$123	-$1,533	09-18 17:05
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+26,443	$163	0¢	$40	-$123	08-17 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	151	$345.3K	306,722	140,169	+166,553	Yes	-$124,573	04-07 21:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$211.1K	174,287	71,022	+103,265	No	+$33,391	03-31 19:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	80	$160.9K	105,196	105,196	+0	Yes	+$12,127	05-09 08:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$110.8K	60,799	60,799	+0	No	+$8,006	03-22 09:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	15	$110.2K	0	113,962	-113,962	No	-$3,801	03-09 20:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	31	$66.7K	37,500	33,545	+3,955	Yes	-$3,818	04-30 20:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	209	$48.1K	52,022	84,343	-32,321	open	—	09-11 09:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	18	$36.6K	58,771	0	+58,771	Yes	-$36,603	04-02 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$27.5K	32,494	0	+32,494	Yes	-$27,502	06-15 08:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	78	$27.2K	21,523	21,523	+0	open	—	06-04 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$26.4K	0	41,603	-41,603	Yes	+$26,427	03-23 12:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	51	$25.1K	14,010	14,010	+0	No	+$217	06-05 15:19
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$23.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$656	02-14 00:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	94	$22.8K	116,273	118,279	-2,006	Yes	-$14,403	04-13 19:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$22.7K	0	22,825	-22,825	No	-$175	01-26 17:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$18.9K	13,660	13,660	+0	No	-$1,147	03-15 09:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	17	$13.7K	16,119	0	+16,119	No	+$2,418	03-09 20:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	15	$11.0K	9,717	9,384	+333	Yes	+$596	04-22 07:45
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$10.1K	11,861	0	+11,861	No	+$1,755	03-05 11:13
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	175	$5.5K	30,493	28,250	+2,243	open	—	09-18 17:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	32	$5.0K	13,588	0	+13,588	Yes	-$5,023	03-03 18:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	4	$1.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$98	04-13 13:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.7K	2,303	0	+2,303	Yes	-$1,749	02-28 10:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	26	$1.6K	74,621	78,121	-3,500	No	-$1,181	04-13 09:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	18	$935	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	-$51	04-13 20:29
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	26	$907	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$113	04-13 08:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$836	5,070	5,070	+0	open	—	05-12 10:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$550	125,000	0	+125,000	Yes	-$550	04-09 13:56
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	9	$475	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$475	05-12 05:34
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	6	$290	500	500	+0	Yes	+$60	04-12 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 17:05:40	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,391	8¢	$431	0x55c61b…
09-14 13:30:15	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,327	6¢	$800	0x678fab…
09-11 09:11:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0xa4e7a0…
09-11 07:19:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	69	36¢	$25	0xf6e52b…
09-11 05:34:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x12cbdc…
09-10 22:30:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0x160194…
09-10 22:29:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	89	36¢	$32	0xc0d0b0…
09-10 22:29:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x9d3153…
09-10 22:28:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	76	36¢	$27	0xfc7a16…
09-10 22:27:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	64	36¢	$23	0x994251…
09-10 22:27:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x8cedc7…
09-10 22:24:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x80a17b…
09-10 21:31:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xea035a…
09-10 21:29:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	46	36¢	$17	0xf793d0…
09-10 20:13:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x8b7927…
09-10 19:57:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	67	36¢	$24	0x71f9e8…
09-10 19:57:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	49	36¢	$18	0xd2b74c…
09-10 19:25:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xcbdc28…
09-10 19:16:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	42	36¢	$15	0x5df3e3…
09-10 17:41:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6bb959…
09-10 17:13:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	520	36¢	$187	0x5960fd…
09-10 14:43:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x8afe57…
09-10 12:07:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x570800…
09-10 11:46:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x8c36b5…
09-10 11:27:33	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x393318…
09-10 10:45:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xefed15…
09-10 10:02:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x753cc1…
09-10 09:14:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xfb8b95…
09-10 07:44:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	78	36¢	$28	0x47aba1…
09-10 01:52:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,600	36¢	$576	0xb98679…
09-09 20:26:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xa6db6b…
09-09 18:32:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	83	36¢	$30	0x68690f…
09-09 18:25:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	220	36¢	$79	0x120d4d…
09-09 18:22:19	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0x994b5d…
09-09 15:47:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	150	36¢	$54	0xcae9fd…
09-09 13:14:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xb3bb6c…
09-09 07:18:03	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x10c4ee…
09-09 06:28:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xc7bb4d…
09-09 05:29:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xd4f053…
09-09 01:19:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	35	36¢	$13	0x7b02ce…
09-09 01:12:36	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x167ecb…
09-09 00:11:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xaf74ec…
09-09 00:06:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	264	36¢	$95	0xf73660…
09-08 19:38:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	151	36¢	$54	0x607102…
09-08 12:19:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	7,960	35¢	$2,786	0xe7d713…
09-04 09:17:18	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,533	7¢	$667	0x2895dc…
09-03 01:55:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	763	36¢	$275	0xbec36c…
09-02 20:06:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x8f5404…
09-02 19:58:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x8af960…
09-02 18:26:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0xd45ab7…
09-02 15:20:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,700	36¢	$612	0xbd3757…
09-02 14:10:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x02b604…
09-02 13:26:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x24722a…
09-02 13:01:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x47d154…
09-02 10:16:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x50605d…
09-02 09:18:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x3a18ff…
09-02 06:19:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x1db905…
09-02 06:19:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x9008a7…
09-02 05:23:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x02d562…
09-02 05:02:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	83	36¢	$30	0x2e2c22…
09-01 22:17:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x2a0265…
09-01 22:07:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xfb739a…
09-01 19:57:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xe96ddc…
09-01 19:57:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x103a75…
09-01 19:06:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	69	36¢	$25	0x153bcb…
09-01 16:33:36	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe21a36…
09-01 15:05:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	242	36¢	$87	0x2b3ea6…
09-01 12:25:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	91	36¢	$33	0x61445e…
09-01 12:24:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xb6db84…
09-01 12:24:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x91dd83…
09-01 12:24:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x7cc7a7…
09-01 12:24:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2,135	36¢	$769	0x4ecc52…
09-01 12:24:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x4bed26…
09-01 11:37:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	639	36¢	$230	0x32e6ac…
09-01 11:28:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5,556	36¢	$2,000	0xf1b8ff…
09-01 06:34:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x8d7c6f…
09-01 06:34:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x27671e…
09-01 06:34:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x1ca1ac…
09-01 02:06:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x3e63ee…
08-31 20:56:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x154bc1…
08-31 19:03:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xc33344…
08-31 18:44:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x9748e8…
08-31 17:24:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x895362…
08-31 17:05:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x735601…
08-31 13:55:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x98dfca…
08-31 13:08:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	98	36¢	$35	0x27ad53…
08-31 12:33:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x465aba…
08-31 11:59:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x59ead2…
08-31 11:04:56	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	83	36¢	$30	0xa8df21…
08-30 22:26:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x7d4eda…
08-30 17:24:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	102	36¢	$37	0x599991…
08-28 23:31:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	10,271	35¢	$3,595	0xce75e2…
08-28 16:43:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	10,000	35¢	$3,500	0xc292ae…
08-28 16:42:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3,084	36¢	$1,110	0x6c3ee9…
08-28 09:28:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2,415	36¢	$869	0xf2d6ea…
08-28 05:29:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xe5dd25…
08-28 05:29:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x77be6e…
08-28 05:29:03	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	400	37¢	$148	0xf6d20d…
08-27 17:02:33	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2,105	35¢	$737	0xaf1474…
08-27 16:55:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	974	35¢	$341	0x231534…