Irritating-Valley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

120

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-18 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

59% 61% -$68

Politics

31% 67% +$93

Sports

10% 56% -$141

Crypto

0% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	9	$416	265	265	+0	Yes	+$19	05-23 14:11
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	3	$333	244	244	+0	GamerLegion	+$155	05-15 20:36
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	9	$293	234	113	+121	Yes	-$112	06-06 21:34
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	10	$289	213	205	+8	Team Liquid	+$128	05-13 13:51
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$286	186	186	+0	Team Falcons	+$85	05-13 19:34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	7	$283	209	190	+19	Team Falcons	+$68	05-16 19:00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$282	182	182	+0	Team Falcons	+$82	05-15 20:11
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	5	$272	177	177	+0	Tundra Esports	+$82	05-17 18:57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	2	$270	175	175	+0	Team Spirit	+$81	05-19 18:05
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	6	$265	169	169	+0	Virtus.pro	+$73	05-14 18:01
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton	3	$250	152	152	+0	Ben Shelton	+$53	05-18 17:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$249	197	197	+0	open	—	09-18 13:39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	3	$246	152	152	+0	Team Falcons	+$57	05-19 13:46
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	4	$243	145	145	+0	BetBoom Team	+$47	05-15 17:10
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	2	$240	145	145	+0	Natus Vincere	+$49	05-17 00:24
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	7	$238	168	168	+0	No	+$46	05-25 10:24
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka	2	$238	141	141	+0	Stan Wawrinka	+$44	05-18 18:20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	2	$234	137	137	+0	Team Falcons	+$40	05-17 12:27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	7	$232	213	209	+4	Xtreme Gaming	+$53	05-14 12:21
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	3	$231	136	136	+0	GamerLegion	+$40	05-14 00:39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	3	$230	133	133	+0	Vitality	+$36	05-16 00:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$228	140	140	+0	open	—	09-18 13:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	16	$225	146	146	+0	open	—	09-18 13:38
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	4	$219	127	127	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$34	05-18 19:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	8	$218	162	162	+0	open	—	09-18 13:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	9	$214	160	160	+0	No	+$20	05-21 10:49
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	4	$213	121	121	+0	open	—	09-18 13:38
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	6	$211	142	142	+0	Natus Vincere	+$72	05-13 17:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	2	$211	120	120	+0	open	—	09-18 13:38
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	7	$198	115	115	+0	open	—	09-18 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 13:39:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	197	77¢	$152	0x095e4d…
09-18 13:39:06	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	71¢	$115	0xcf2033…
09-18 13:38:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	92¢	$129	0x17c06b…
09-18 13:38:47	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	146	88¢	$128	0xb99668…
09-18 13:38:35	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	SELL	121	94¢	$113	0x501290…
09-18 13:38:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0x599e16…
09-18 13:38:11	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	115	92¢	$105	0x462973…
09-18 13:37:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x24f7c4…
09-18 13:37:45	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa8f994…
06-21 17:02:31	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	417	11¢	$46	0xb80193…
06-21 17:02:11	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	294	21¢	$62	0x272d32…
06-11 01:15:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb8238…
06-11 00:29:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb0d28b…
06-10 23:27:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x4f0c6e…
06-10 23:27:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xe471ea…
06-10 23:17:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x155d48…
06-10 23:13:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	46	82¢	$37	0x1b53e3…
06-10 23:06:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6d4543…
06-10 23:04:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd0b72f…
06-10 20:31:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe4701c…
06-10 05:25:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	55	13¢	$7	0x94bb19…
06-09 22:06:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x08d86b…
06-09 16:56:03	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0x271ac6…
06-09 16:49:06	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	74¢	$40	0x03079e…
06-09 14:23:36	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6c6770…
06-09 14:23:36	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x24987c…
06-09 10:27:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x4da6c2…
06-09 07:50:58	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc0f4d7…
06-09 05:14:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfee810…
06-08 12:35:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x88fe31…
06-08 12:35:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2ca34f…
06-08 08:30:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xf7e8b2…
06-08 08:20:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c1d74…
06-08 08:18:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0d55aa…
06-08 07:44:28	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x380a68…
06-08 07:44:10	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xef56f8…
06-08 07:44:09	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xaac711…
06-08 05:48:34	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1fb3a2…
06-08 03:17:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcaacfe…
06-08 03:13:03	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	68¢	$46	0x3c310b…
06-08 03:07:06	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x550c9f…
06-08 03:02:36	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd96a37…
06-08 03:02:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x94ffdc…
06-08 01:23:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0x52c9f2…
06-07 22:30:52	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf39b45…
06-07 22:28:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xac4b6a…
06-07 21:49:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1373fe…
06-07 21:16:31	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0xa83a34…
06-07 20:57:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8b97fc…
06-07 20:57:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3737dc…
06-07 20:56:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf5620b…
06-07 20:56:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb1991d…
06-07 20:46:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	22	16¢	$3	0x634827…
06-07 20:38:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	92	41¢	$38	0x303832…
06-07 20:27:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x3306f3…
06-07 20:06:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x91b79a…
06-07 20:02:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	59	33¢	$19	0xd1bbd8…
06-07 19:51:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x0d6de4…
06-07 19:45:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x615986…
06-07 19:42:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2d6615…
06-07 19:29:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3f8ce3…
06-07 19:29:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x58aaf4…
06-07 19:29:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3f0362…
06-06 21:34:34	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf6bccf…
06-05 10:50:30	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xeba620…
06-05 10:50:30	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xdbb7bd…
06-05 10:50:30	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x5b321a…
06-05 10:49:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6e104d…
06-05 10:49:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbbce4d…
06-04 22:44:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xb22983…
06-04 22:27:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xc478e7…
06-04 21:31:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xfb28cf…
06-04 20:34:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0xc5fb75…
06-04 20:19:37	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0xdc94c0…
06-04 20:08:04	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfb571b…
06-04 20:07:00	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8a5531…
06-04 20:01:24	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	80¢	$20	0x07e8fd…
06-04 19:23:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0xec7f5b…
06-04 19:18:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0x189c68…
06-04 19:10:33	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	120	81¢	$98	0x5da8f0…
06-04 10:19:33	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6a44c8…
06-04 10:18:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa6c0d3…
06-04 10:11:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x053890…
06-04 10:07:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc55e19…
06-04 10:07:01	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xed9bbb…
06-04 09:55:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd03c1f…
06-04 08:04:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x81fe3b…
06-04 07:51:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xffa739…
06-02 13:30:55	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x661b4b…
05-31 22:39:04	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x431ee0…
05-25 11:06:26	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe8594b…
05-25 10:59:48	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x66ad97…
05-25 10:24:03	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	159	85¢	$135	0x6f863a…
05-25 10:12:39	Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x782253…
05-25 09:43:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa05bf9…
05-25 07:48:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8f811c…
05-25 07:48:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x02d7f1…
05-25 06:20:20	Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0x3a95ef…
05-25 05:20:46	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xafdcb6…
05-25 03:08:30	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x4e95b9…