Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
348
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$160
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-03 09:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
76% 33% $-6
Other
23%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +19 $15 86¢ $16 +$1 06-06 09:41
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -16 $-15 96¢ $-16 $-1 06-27 04:46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +17 $15 92¢ $15 +$0 06-04 23:15
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +18 $15 86¢ $15 +$0 06-06 11:37
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$0 06-15 15:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-08 19:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -9 $-8 100¢ $-9 $-2 06-27 18:51
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-12 14:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 $-7 86¢ $-8 $-1 05-28 07:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $-0 06-29 10:38
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 $-0 07-02 08:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -10 $-7 78¢ $-8 $-1 06-08 05:53
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -8 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-0 05-28 07:04
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -8 $-7 96¢ $-7 $-0 05-30 15:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 $-0 06-04 18:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 $-3 92¢ $-2 +$1 07-03 09:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 +$0 07-01 11:48