Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
202
lifetime
Volume
$1.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$275
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-09 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
72% 33% $-6
Other
26%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +22 $15 80¢ $18 +$3 06-01 18:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +21 $14 72¢ $16 +$1 06-04 18:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 +$0 06-05 09:51
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +18 $15 86¢ $15 +$0 06-06 11:37
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 06-06 11:01
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 +$0 06-04 23:15
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $-0 06-08 05:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $-0 06-04 19:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +19 $15 80¢ $15 $-0 06-06 09:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +19 $15 79¢ $15 $-0 06-09 23:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 06-07 19:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +14 $13 93¢ $13 $-0 06-04 18:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +12 $12 96¢ $12 $-0 06-06 13:54
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-08 19:58
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-04 22:27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -8 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-1 05-29 06:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 $-7 82¢ $-8 $-0 05-28 07:04
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 05-30 15:40
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -8 $-7 90¢ $-7 +$0 05-28 07:04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No +9 $7 82¢ $7 +$0 06-06 07:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -10 $-7 74¢ $-7 $-0 06-08 05:53
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -8 $-7 95¢ $-7 $-0 05-30 15:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 $-0 06-04 18:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $-0 06-06 20:03