Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
444
lifetime
Volume
$3.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$115
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-23 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
73% 33% $-6
Other
26%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +18 $15 90¢ $16 +$1 06-06 11:37
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -16 $-15 97¢ $-16 $-1 06-27 04:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 $-17 70¢ $-15 +$2 07-08 11:52
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +14 $11 88¢ $12 +$1 06-15 15:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 $-0 07-22 13:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +9 $8 85¢ $8 $-1 06-29 10:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -8 $-8 92¢ $-8 +$0 07-21 02:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -10 $-7 76¢ $-7 $-1 06-08 05:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -8 $-7 90¢ $-7 +$0 07-16 22:27
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -8 $-7 95¢ $-7 $-0 05-30 15:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 $-0 06-04 18:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 $-3 90¢ $-2 +$1 07-03 09:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 +$0 07-01 11:48