Grounded-Pillbox 0xdef08b…f9e1b7
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Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
40.7%
Resolved
27
Trades
720
lifetime
Volume
$797
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$37
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-23 14:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
68% 48% $-3
Sports
21% 0% $-4
Politics
12% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 07-20 17:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 07-18 11:49
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 +$0 07-09 07:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 76¢ $4 $-0 07-15 22:00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 07-18 15:18
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +17 $2 12¢ $2 $-0 07-18 11:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 72¢ $2 $-1 07-19 00:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $1 $-0 07-19 00:16
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 07-19 06:42
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-14 20:20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 07-19 22:29