Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
201
lifetime
Volume
$1.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$127
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-07 23:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76% 100% +$20
Other
24%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +39 $26 96¢ $38 +$12 07-03 11:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -30 $-25 86¢ $-26 $-1 06-10 22:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 07-02 11:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 07-07 10:36
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 07-03 11:16
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 75¢ $10 $-0 07-03 11:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +17 $10 54¢ $9 $-1 07-02 10:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $6 40¢ $5 $-1 06-20 17:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +4 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 07-03 11:15
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 62¢ $3 $-0 07-03 11:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-16 13:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 $1 $-0 07-03 06:22