Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$5.08K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
700
lifetime
Volume
$77.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$9.75K
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 07-21 10:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
77%
Other
18%
Tech
5%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +12,869 $4,154 18¢ $2.3K $-1,902 07-09 10:49
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes +3,997 $1,610 46¢ $1.9K +$248 07-19 10:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +1,069 $830 74¢ $791 $-39 07-21 13:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,967 $629 34¢ $659 +$30 07-17 13:02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5,195 $1,208 12¢ $649 $-558 07-14 11:35
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +2,306 $808 26¢ $600 $-208 07-15 05:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,014 $943 30¢ $594 $-349 07-17 12:31
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +2,531 $920 22¢ $569 $-350 07-07 14:44
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +10,892 $1,144 $490 $-654 07-14 14:50
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +669 $203 30¢ $204 +$1 07-17 12:53
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +1,734 $289 12¢ $199 $-90 06-14 11:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -1,039 $-268 18¢ $-182 +$87 07-08 13:54
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +2,024 $400 $172 $-228 07-09 10:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -359 $-126 36¢ $-128 $-2 07-18 05:06
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +595 $728 15¢ $89 $-639 06-19 05:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +536 $100 12¢ $64 $-36 06-19 03:10
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes +203 $53 28¢ $56 +$3 07-19 10:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +141 $82 34¢ $48 $-34 07-03 16:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +573 $30 $46 +$16 07-17 13:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -161 $-29 26¢ $-43 $-14 06-08 12:55
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No -39 $247 45¢ $-18 $-265 07-14 11:59
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? Yes +733 $94 $16 $-78 07-13 11:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +90 $21 18¢ $16 $-6 07-20 14:54
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -70 $-8 $-6 +$2 06-06 12:26
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +34 $18 $2 $-16 07-08 13:51