Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$347
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
199
lifetime
Volume
$39.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$4.19K
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-09 20:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
99%
Other
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +10,728 $3,220 29¢ $3.1K $-163 06-09 15:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,173 $285 28¢ $323 +$38 06-08 13:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -222 $-164 84¢ $-188 $-23 06-05 15:31
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -982 $-132 17¢ $-167 $-35 06-08 12:56
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +925 $160 18¢ $162 +$2 06-08 13:20
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +114 $100 90¢ $103 +$3 06-08 13:59
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +227 $50 20¢ $47 $-3 06-08 13:56
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +383 $191 10¢ $36 $-155 06-08 13:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -161 $-29 18¢ $-28 +$1 06-08 12:55
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +32 $22 70¢ $22 +$0 06-09 13:58
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,515 $32 $20 $-12 06-07 16:21
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? Yes +649 $10 $15 +$5 06-07 23:29
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes +527 $12 $10 $-2 06-06 12:21
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -70 $-8 13¢ $-9 $-1 06-06 12:26