Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2.43K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
530
lifetime
Volume
$64.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$8.61K
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-29 16:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
83%
Other
12%
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +15,167 $4,655 31¢ $4.7K +$47 06-18 15:40
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +6,228 $1,258 15¢ $903 $-355 06-23 12:55
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +9,733 $1,062 $827 $-234 06-24 03:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,621 $802 45¢ $730 $-73 06-29 16:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,173 $285 24¢ $287 +$3 06-08 13:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +1,232 $566 22¢ $277 $-289 06-19 10:59
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +1,734 $289 15¢ $251 $-38 06-14 11:15
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +1,301 $332 11¢ $137 $-195 06-16 11:30
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +595 $728 17¢ $101 $-627 06-19 05:39
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +194 $100 42¢ $82 $-18 06-13 14:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +536 $100 14¢ $75 $-25 06-19 03:10
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No -145 $197 51¢ $-74 $-271 06-17 16:04
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +53 $48 94¢ $49 +$2 06-21 13:44
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? Yes +964 $100 $29 $-71 06-12 13:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -161 $-29 14¢ $-22 +$7 06-08 12:55
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? Yes +2,955 $135 $16 $-119 06-12 14:42
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? Yes +582 $30 $16 $-14 06-22 13:53
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -70 $-8 12¢ $-9 $-0 06-06 12:26
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes +1,127 $18 $8 $-10 06-11 16:54
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +28 $4 12¢ $4 $-1 06-10 13:02
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +26 $133 11¢ $3 $-130 06-22 12:28
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,166 $43 $2 $-41 06-15 13:23
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $9 $1 $-8 06-18 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -650 $-14 $-1 +$13 06-19 14:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -476 $-16 $-1 +$16 06-10 13:23
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? Yes +56 $1 $0 $-1 06-14 05:07