Realized P&L
+$51
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
830
Trades
2,470
lifetime
Volume
$6.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$79
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-25 17:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
69% 75% +$69
Politics
13% 70% +$22
Sports
10% 65% -$12
Crypto
6% 52% -$22
Tech
2% 58% -$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:01
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:01
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:03
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:02
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5 -$5 95¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -5 -$5 95¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 05-11 22:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 $0 07-25 17:02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -5 -$4 88¢ $-4 $0 07-25 17:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -5 -$4 84¢ $-4 $0 07-25 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 -$4 80¢ $-4 $0 05-11 22:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -5 -$3 62¢ $-3 $0 07-25 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$2 06-26 17:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-05 19:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 07-25 17:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -0 $0 14¢ $-0 +$0 07-25 17:04