Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$629

19 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 10-29 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$14

Other

26% 50% -$42

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+200	$192	98¢	$195	+$3	10-27 11:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+120	$116	98¢	$117	+$2	10-27 14:39
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	+101	$94	96¢	$97	+$3	10-26 19:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	+77	$59	74¢	$57	-$2	10-29 01:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+53	$50	96¢	$51	+$1	10-27 16:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+362	$80	12¢	$45	-$35	09-03 20:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$16	84¢	$18	+$2	10-25 19:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+10	$8	82¢	$8	$0	10-26 14:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+10	$8	82¢	$8	+$0	10-26 14:10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	79¢	$8	+$1	10-26 13:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$7	64¢	$6	$0	10-01 17:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$8	16¢	$6	-$2	09-28 04:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$8	56¢	$6	-$2	10-26 14:44
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	+100	$10	3¢	$3	-$7	07-30 16:37
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$4	90¢	$1	+$5	10-28 11:21
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$38	99¢	$1	+$39	10-26 08:00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	68¢	$1	+$0	10-28 12:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+59	$10	1¢	$0	-$10	07-30 19:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	+91	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	08-01 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:48:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9d5f64…
10-28 16:49:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd707e3…
10-28 12:35:14	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbba03a…
10-28 11:30:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb962bb…
10-28 11:21:32	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbe3ce4…
10-28 11:10:37	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	88¢	$32	0x09f857…
10-28 10:37:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x7cfa24…
10-28 07:00:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x476eb8…
10-27 19:44:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc6acc5…
10-27 16:37:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x932b3a…
10-27 14:50:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x76cc9b…
10-27 14:39:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	96¢	$88	0xdff9f0…
10-27 14:15:35	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x21a3e4…
10-27 13:30:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xcf1b5e…
10-27 13:20:20	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2b8f84…
10-27 11:21:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	96¢	$135	0x284809…
10-27 11:21:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x6fa8a7…
10-26 19:16:20	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf6c17f…
10-26 14:44:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x85390f…
10-26 14:39:30	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9a680c…
10-26 14:10:23	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0617dc…
10-26 14:08:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9fd319…
10-26 13:29:41	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x602b54…
10-26 08:00:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3bf480…
10-26 07:57:56	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd0df44…
10-25 20:49:50	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xeb67f2…
10-25 20:16:44	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe272dd…
10-25 19:03:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0cf8ed…
10-25 19:02:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1131a9…
10-25 08:28:53	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x102bbc…
10-24 09:27:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	273	98¢	$267	0xdf1f1d…
10-23 15:57:42	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x27bf43…
10-23 12:43:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x78cc49…
10-23 09:27:23	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x175e97…
10-23 09:04:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x01c92e…
10-22 08:32:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x61c444…
10-20 19:21:23	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x318056…
10-20 13:56:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaa07ed…
10-19 20:44:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xa059fa…
10-14 16:21:22	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x113a6c…
10-14 16:00:19	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xd757ae…
10-14 16:00:19	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5af5a0…
10-14 15:11:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x253d9d…
10-14 13:31:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdbd15b…
10-13 12:40:25	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x0b3e07…
10-01 18:03:06	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x889db2…
10-01 17:30:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x937218…
09-29 14:53:14	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbb086d…
09-28 17:26:54	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xd8059d…
09-28 04:48:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x3a7e2f…
09-21 20:20:21	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x717899…
09-20 16:11:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x5bf9bc…
09-18 19:31:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x5a4a49…
09-16 03:51:19	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x16794f…
09-08 14:47:57	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x7b520d…
09-08 14:47:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x889e16…
09-08 12:46:54	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xdaa3f1…
09-07 17:40:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x3f692d…
09-07 17:33:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdab52d…
09-07 17:33:39	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x9b0b95…
09-03 20:37:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2d8313…
09-03 20:37:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xbbaf84…
08-06 15:32:18	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	33¢	$21	0x6c2115…
08-06 15:31:20	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x9b6803…
08-06 15:31:06	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x51c4e3…
08-01 08:26:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	216	23¢	$50	0xbe6f43…
08-01 08:26:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf961e6…
07-30 19:08:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb0a882…
07-30 18:58:14	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x13850d…
07-30 18:58:12	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb2036d…
07-30 18:55:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x21fd92…
07-30 16:37:56	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x88c2f1…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	7	$496	274	273	+1	open	—	10-26 08:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	10-27 11:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	4	$116	120	0	+120	open	—	10-27 14:39
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	2	$94	101	0	+101	open	—	10-26 19:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	3	$80	362	0	+362	open	—	09-03 20:37
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$69	83	0	+83	Yes	+$14	09-20 16:11
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	4	$61	38	37	+1	open	—	10-28 11:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	9	$59	77	0	+77	open	—	10-29 01:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	10-27 16:37
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	6	$44	140	0	+140	No	-$44	09-08 12:46
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	4	$22	49	29	+20	No	+$1	09-08 14:47
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	7	$22	78	0	+78	open	—	10-25 08:28
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	3	$19	62	0	+62	No	-$19	10-23 09:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	10-25 19:03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	3	$12	32	0	+32	Yes	+$20	10-25 20:49
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	07-30 16:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	07-30 19:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	08-01 08:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 14:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 14:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	40	0	+40	open	—	09-28 04:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 14:44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 13:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	10-01 17:30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$5	10	0	+10	Atlanta Braves	+$5	10-01 18:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-28 12:35