Realized P&L
-$885
Unrealized P&L
+$224
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
341
Trades
1,483
lifetime
Volume
$76.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$5.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
65% 68% +$84
Politics
21% 64% -$833
Crypto
11% 20% -$50
Sports
3% 49% -$111
Tech
1% 77% +$18
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,296 $2,000 94¢ $2.2K +$170 10-09 05:22
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +700 $687 100¢ $698 +$11 10-25 09:28
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +400 $391 99¢ $398 +$6 10-25 08:54
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +243 $234 99¢ $241 +$7 10-28 02:06
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -200 -$190 99¢ $-198 -$8 06-08 02:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +170 $150 98¢ $167 +$17 05-09 17:44
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +165 $156 98¢ $161 +$5 10-28 08:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +180 $120 86¢ $154 +$34 06-07 19:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -100 -$92 97¢ $-97 -$5 05-19 03:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +110 $83 82¢ $90 +$7 06-08 02:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -100 -$52 82¢ $-82 -$30 05-03 14:08
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +81 $78 98¢ $80 +$1 10-27 13:11
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +78 $73 99¢ $77 +$4 10-27 16:35
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -70 -$67 97¢ $-68 -$1 10-07 20:07
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +60 $58 99¢ $59 +$1 10-27 16:46
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -60 -$52 97¢ $-58 -$7 06-11 21:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +58 $54 96¢ $56 +$2 06-09 12:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +55 $43 94¢ $51 +$9 06-21 06:30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -50 -$48 98¢ $-49 -$1 06-18 22:32
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -30 -$29 98¢ $-30 $0 06-06 08:56
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -30 -$28 97¢ $-29 -$1 09-25 13:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -20 -$18 92¢ $-18 -$1 07-29 05:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -20 -$18 90¢ $-18 +$0 05-27 20:37
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -15 -$14 98¢ $-15 $0 08-15 17:54
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -15 -$14 88¢ $-13 +$0 10-21 22:31
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 95¢ $8 +$2 10-20 12:04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -7 -$7 96¢ $-7 $0 10-19 13:55
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572 Yes +10 $6 55¢ $6 $0 08-07 18:20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 07-14 10:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 09-18 17:05