Circular-Coverage 0x07e099…93e1e8
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$639
Unrealized P&L
+$64
Hit rate
0.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,220
lifetime
Volume
$67.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$3.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-22 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
64% — —
Politics
22% 25% $-639
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
3% 0% —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,890 $1,670 90¢ $1.7K +$40 06-21 21:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1,524 $-1,517 100¢ $-1523 $-5 06-13 12:16
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -200 $-190 94¢ $-189 +$1 06-08 02:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +58 $54 94¢ $54 +$1 06-09 12:43
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -60 $-52 88¢ $-53 $-1 06-11 21:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +50 $46 100¢ $50 +$4 06-11 12:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -50 $-48 96¢ $-48 $-0 06-18 22:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -51 $-46 94¢ $-48 $-1 06-14 15:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +50 $34 84¢ $42 +$7 06-07 19:33
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +35 $33 100¢ $35 +$2 06-07 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -40 $-32 86¢ $-34 $-2 05-27 20:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -30 $-29 95¢ $-29 +$1 06-06 08:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 06-08 02:38
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 05-31 16:53
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +20 $17 89¢ $18 +$1 06-12 05:16
US recession by end of 2026? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-1 06-04 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +15 $11 82¢ $12 +$2 06-10 22:49
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-29 16:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 06-09 10:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $6 88¢ $9 +$3 06-21 06:30
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 06-01 12:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $6 74¢ $7 +$1 06-21 11:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 15:25
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-07 14:06
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-09 07:05
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 06-10 13:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-10 23:27
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-09 11:07
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-22 12:32
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$0 06-08 18:51