Circular-Coverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$639

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,244

lifetime

Volume

$68.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-09 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

22% 25% $-639

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

3% 0% —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$6.9K	3,547	3,692	-145	open	—	03-14 21:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	25	$6.6K	2,580	4,104	-1,524	open	—	06-13 12:16
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	28	$5.5K	3,063	3,063	+0	open	—	02-04 16:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	11	$3.6K	3,705	390	+3,315	open	—	07-09 15:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	37	$2.6K	1,361	1,341	+20	open	—	05-16 16:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	26	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	04-26 15:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-19 07:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	18	$1.7K	1,153	1,053	+100	open	—	04-26 15:03
will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	5	$1.4K	735	735	+0	open	—	03-18 13:45
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$1.4K	708	708	+0	open	—	03-15 02:48
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	24	$1.1K	774	774	+0	open	—	02-11 11:44
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	20	$1.0K	934	934	+0	open	—	01-24 18:06
trump out as president by march 31	4	$990	500	500	+0	open	—	03-25 23:19
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	15	$961	994	994	+0	open	—	01-28 21:52
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	4	$960	500	500	+0	open	—	01-13 15:09
Iran leadership change by May 31?	12	$863	472	472	+0	open	—	05-31 22:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$824	836	0	+836	open	—	03-28 12:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	39	$802	1,799	1,794	+5	open	—	02-12 10:20
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	9	$698	354	354	+0	open	—	04-30 01:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$645	620	67	+553	Yes	$-515	05-02 04:50
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	9	$608	632	0	+632	open	—	03-29 10:46
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	10	$594	300	300	+0	open	—	05-31 23:44
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	8	$592	300	300	+0	open	—	05-31 23:44
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	12	$570	460	460	+0	open	—	02-04 08:37
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$541	275	275	+0	open	—	04-22 02:55
will trump visit china by march 31	7	$525	270	270	+0	open	—	03-28 21:43
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$507	345	345	+0	open	—	01-21 05:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$448	284	210	+74	Yes	$-69	05-03 08:45
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	3	$431	273	273	+0	open	—	01-29 00:25
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$426	215	215	+0	open	—	03-30 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:24:48	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x2bdaac…
08-09 13:19:24	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdd61d0…
08-07 18:20:42	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x501b3d…
07-26 19:51:33	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x54bf81…
07-23 14:54:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x836b0d…
07-22 19:59:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfa0ff7…
07-20 21:15:12	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8dfa82…
07-20 18:27:09	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x3af25c…
07-19 19:40:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0bf6d3…
07-18 10:13:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe12b58…
07-15 01:42:50	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe88c89…
07-14 10:54:53	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x0b4d8c…
07-12 09:34:29	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8bf9b2…
07-10 17:07:58	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x12e28a…
07-09 15:17:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xacc2e9…
07-09 15:06:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	480	91¢	$436	0x0f6942…
07-09 15:05:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	244	91¢	$222	0xd160df…
07-09 14:34:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xfb6fe0…
07-08 20:58:41	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x8ead8b…
07-08 10:35:19	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe6c9cd…
07-03 20:04:58	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x784119…
07-03 11:03:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xcdc72c…
07-02 13:47:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	700	91¢	$637	0xffa5ad…
07-01 23:04:38	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x793db8…
06-22 12:32:13	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x65fa32…
06-21 21:15:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	580	90¢	$522	0x148808…
06-21 11:27:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4fc7d3…
06-21 10:07:17	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8ac481…
06-21 09:18:11	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x9fc79d…
06-21 07:14:04	will russia enter krasnoiarske by december 31 671	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x78e8d9…
06-21 06:34:01	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x11e584…
06-21 06:30:11	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0x34a9d2…
06-20 06:56:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5391e7…
06-18 22:32:01	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3fc374…
06-18 22:28:17	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa8c906…
06-18 22:21:28	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x16b60d…
06-18 22:14:01	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x02a0e0…
06-18 22:13:40	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x08903a…
06-18 22:02:07	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdfebef…
06-18 22:00:17	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd23638…
06-18 21:56:19	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xec04d7…
06-18 21:52:59	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5aa194…
06-18 21:51:50	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x55c1a6…
06-17 22:26:19	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x07908d…
06-17 15:36:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc406eb…
06-17 14:12:44	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x54e15b…
06-15 17:00:21	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x082c53…
06-15 16:04:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa2fd08…
06-15 15:44:39	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd363b5…
06-14 23:41:27	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa65a1b…
06-14 22:42:33	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x559631…
06-14 21:12:28	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xe4e369…
06-14 15:22:58	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0x9761d1…
06-14 10:30:54	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6b5ebf…
06-14 10:10:45	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x4c3186…
06-14 02:05:09	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x427273…
06-13 19:17:51	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x6cf95b…
06-13 12:16:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x31b0e1…
06-13 12:15:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0xfb48f2…
06-13 12:15:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x6db017…
06-13 12:15:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5468fb…
06-13 12:14:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x20ca4e…
06-13 11:39:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	570	88¢	$502	0x537805…
06-13 09:54:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x130e8d…
06-13 09:49:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x9f8e35…
06-13 09:42:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xaca1f2…
06-13 09:42:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x7c8d98…
06-13 09:41:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x8b50c8…
06-13 09:30:16	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9d87f…
06-13 09:30:13	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ab002…
06-13 09:30:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97ee84…
06-13 09:30:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fbb75…
06-13 09:30:04	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36020e…
06-13 09:10:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3a408b…
06-13 09:09:15	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfd34ec…
06-13 09:09:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe01b75…
06-13 09:09:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf81970…
06-13 09:09:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2cbfe…
06-13 09:09:00	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x671793…
06-13 09:07:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x141e6f…
06-13 08:57:21	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x72a33f…
06-13 02:38:36	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4dd867…
06-12 19:11:19	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x429151…
06-12 17:35:30	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb7a01e…
06-12 05:16:04	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x8f4c25…
06-12 01:47:31	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2d6428…
06-11 23:26:12	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x880af8…
06-11 22:16:46	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xe22073…
06-11 21:43:55	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x4a6ecd…
06-11 19:42:21	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8adf25…
06-11 18:47:30	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x13d23d…
06-11 18:47:16	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x373170…
06-11 17:48:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$592	0x7c5bc7…
06-11 17:34:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2f0db4…
06-11 17:30:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd66490…
06-11 17:30:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6d19e6…
06-11 17:22:18	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x87d4d3…
06-11 12:22:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2de054…
06-11 11:56:07	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9d975d…
06-11 00:52:58	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6db0d0…