Circular-Coverage 0x07e099…93e1e8
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$639
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
0.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,137
lifetime
Volume
$64.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
62% — —
Politics
23% 25% $-639
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
3% 0% —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +680 $596 88¢ $595 $-1 06-04 13:58
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -200 $-190 95¢ $-190 +$0 06-08 02:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -60 $-53 90¢ $-54 $-0 06-10 00:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +58 $54 92¢ $53 $-0 06-09 12:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +50 $42 99¢ $49 +$8 06-09 21:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +50 $34 72¢ $36 +$1 06-07 19:33
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +35 $33 96¢ $33 +$1 06-07 19:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -40 $-32 80¢ $-32 +$0 05-27 20:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -30 $-29 95¢ $-29 +$1 06-06 08:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25 $20 82¢ $21 +$0 06-08 02:38
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 05-31 16:53
US recession by end of 2026? No -20 $-16 82¢ $-16 $-0 06-04 14:18
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-29 16:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 +$0 06-09 10:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 06-01 17:02
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 06-01 12:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 96¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 15:25
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -8 $-7 86¢ $-6 +$1 06-08 16:03
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-07 14:06
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-09 07:05
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-08 18:51
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$1 06-09 13:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $4 68¢ $4 +$0 06-08 22:37
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-09 11:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No -5 $-4 80¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 15:06
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-10 00:34
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-09 19:35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-03 02:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-04 22:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 06-07 19:26