Circular-Coverage 0x07e099…93e1e8
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$639
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,238
lifetime
Volume
$68.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$3.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 21:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
65% — —
Politics
22% 25% $-639
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
3% 0% —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,315 $2,967 90¢ $3.0K $-0 07-09 15:06
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -200 $-190 96¢ $-193 $-3 06-08 02:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +58 $54 95¢ $55 +$2 06-09 12:43
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -60 $-52 92¢ $-55 $-3 06-11 21:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -51 $-46 94¢ $-48 $-1 06-14 15:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -50 $-48 95¢ $-48 +$0 06-18 22:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +50 $34 73¢ $36 +$2 06-07 19:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -40 $-32 88¢ $-35 $-3 05-27 20:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -30 $-29 97¢ $-29 +$0 06-06 08:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25 $20 72¢ $18 $-2 06-08 02:38
US recession by end of 2026? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-1 06-04 14:18
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 06-12 05:16
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -15 $-14 92¢ $-14 $-0 07-20 18:27
New pandemic in 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-03 20:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $6 90¢ $9 +$3 06-21 06:30
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 06-01 12:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +15 $11 54¢ $8 $-3 06-10 22:49
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-7 90¢ $-6 +$0 07-10 17:07
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-10 13:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$1 06-10 23:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 06-09 14:42
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 07-08 10:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 07-19 19:40
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-11 00:52
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-11 17:22
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 07-15 01:42
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-17 22:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 06-14 10:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-13 02:38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 $-0 06-14 10:10