Realized P&L
-$478
Unrealized P&L
+$459
Hit rate
27.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,163
lifetime
Volume
$94.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$944
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 07-01 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
87% 0% $-506
Other
12% 100% +$28
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,410 $1,073 30¢ $735 $-338 06-29 03:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +665 $73 22¢ $143 +$70 06-26 20:44
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +90 $23 31¢ $28 +$5 06-27 13:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,765 $238 $18 $-220 06-27 18:11
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +500 $166 $12 $-154 07-01 05:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5 $-1,048 100¢ $5 +$1,053 06-17 05:34
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes -370 $-5 $-3 +$1 06-20 16:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -33 $15 $-0 $-15 06-08 06:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +0 $-56 58¢ $0 +$56 06-26 09:00