Dull-Smith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.45K

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

242

Trades

2,120

lifetime

Volume

$142.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$4.00K

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-02 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Politics

83% 41% +$3,216

Other

16% 33% -$840

Sports

1% 33% -$489

Crypto

0% 0% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+6,923	$2,015	50¢	$3.5K	+$1,446	08-08 19:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-360	-$270	96¢	$-346	-$76	05-30 04:50
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	+380	$136	38¢	$142	+$6	08-05 07:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+571	$0	6¢	$36	+$36	07-21 18:38
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	+154	$20	3¢	$5	-$15	07-15 11:30
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	+20	$7	15¢	$3	-$4	08-08 12:00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	+507	$5	0¢	$3	-$2	06-16 11:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+0	-$56	90¢	$0	+$56	06-26 09:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$11.8K	8,397	8,397	+0	Yes	-$377	04-01 15:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$10.8K	6,740	6,740	+0	No	+$604	03-23 11:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	50	$6.8K	4,929	4,929	+0	No	+$1,121	06-17 05:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$6.1K	3,483	3,483	+0	No	+$121	03-14 09:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	30	$5.0K	5,151	5,151	+0	Yes	+$1,420	06-17 17:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	74	$3.7K	9,043	2,120	+6,923	open	—	08-08 19:27
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	41	$3.1K	5,016	4,216	+800	No	-$432	06-17 12:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	27	$3.0K	2,962	2,962	+0	No	-$27	06-21 12:55
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	28	$2.9K	1,986	1,986	+0	Yes	+$550	06-20 20:54
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	23	$2.8K	3,876	3,876	+0	Yes	-$27	07-13 14:16
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	28	$2.7K	1,956	1,956	+0	No	+$115	08-02 02:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	36	$2.6K	3,372	4,278	-906	Yes	+$26	04-10 21:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	29	$2.5K	3,027	3,347	-319	No	+$471	05-08 18:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	18	$2.3K	5,510	5,510	+0	No	-$459	07-24 03:44
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	75	$2.1K	1,407	2,041	-634	No	+$45	04-07 23:29
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	9	$1.9K	1,122	1,122	+0	No	+$53	07-13 20:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$1.8K	3,295	2,625	+670	Yes	-$564	02-28 04:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$1.7K	3,735	3,735	+0	No	-$57	07-02 06:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$1.7K	981	981	+0	No	+$222	06-01 10:32
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	36	$1.7K	1,176	1,176	+0	Yes	-$43	07-18 19:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$1.5K	1,669	0	+1,669	No	+$120	03-02 13:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	35	$1.5K	1,707	1,707	+0	No	+$1,058	05-22 23:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	34	$1.5K	1,688	1,688	+0	Yes	-$234	06-17 02:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	36	$1.5K	2,184	2,184	+0	No	-$89	05-22 15:06
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	7	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$90	07-11 13:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$1.4K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$191	06-09 13:01
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	27	$1.4K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	10-02 12:45
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$1.4K	1,185	1,185	+0	No	-$101	06-08 10:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	21	$1.3K	1,373	1,373	+0	No	+$6	07-01 23:57
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	31	$1.3K	6,381	4,881	+1,500	No	+$45	07-14 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 12:45:35	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	96	92¢	$88	0x5a8159…
10-02 12:44:48	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	220	92¢	$202	0x4d73b3…
10-02 12:44:42	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	360	92¢	$331	0x5e4277…
09-30 12:20:54	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	130	92¢	$120	0x1c8908…
09-05 17:17:06	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdce6fa…
09-05 17:17:06	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x69b6f3…
09-05 17:17:04	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xfe95d6…
09-05 15:34:37	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x44b0c5…
09-05 15:09:27	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x84158c…
09-05 15:09:07	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x7cefab…
09-05 15:09:00	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xe44d44…
09-05 15:08:55	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	11	92¢	$11	0x17c326…
09-05 15:08:52	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9dcd4b…
09-05 15:08:52	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x8e61d4…
09-01 06:28:34	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0xed2677…
08-14 19:55:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,476	2¢	$37	0x00b954…
08-14 19:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,533	13¢	$199	0x650acd…
08-08 19:27:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0x353153…
08-08 12:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdbc095…
08-07 21:01:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	230	14¢	$32	0x0b76ab…
08-07 20:06:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf8815d…
08-06 16:07:50	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0x23256a…
08-06 15:56:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x6cc1f8…
08-06 09:54:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xad32ac…
08-06 09:53:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0xc50cd8…
08-06 09:53:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	300	29¢	$86	0x35348b…
08-05 11:51:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	790	30¢	$237	0x021869…
08-05 11:38:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xffe037…
08-05 10:53:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x63ef2a…
08-05 10:49:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x1d79fc…
08-05 10:28:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9813b0…
08-05 10:20:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbd6c2b…
08-05 09:06:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	255	30¢	$76	0xfef86a…
08-05 07:16:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0xc935e0…
08-04 21:36:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xcea06f…
08-04 21:34:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x010dc3…
08-04 20:23:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf9dbee…
08-04 20:22:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	683	0¢	$1	0xaef209…
08-04 20:22:08	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x170d7d…
08-04 17:08:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	226	16¢	$36	0xbfb184…
08-04 17:07:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x092bd1…
08-04 17:06:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x246a4c…
08-04 16:50:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5a5bca…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb87ed7…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8e79ad…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x66f238…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x5443b0…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x2589e9…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x235ad7…
08-04 16:16:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe9650d…
08-04 15:57:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x792737…
08-04 15:49:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x07d9d0…
08-04 15:41:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf0bd6e…
08-04 15:40:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	336	17¢	$57	0xf0400b…
08-04 14:45:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x1c64dd…
08-04 14:43:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0x321c11…
08-04 14:42:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xcc6b9f…
08-04 14:21:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x06ef57…
08-04 14:10:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x9c762e…
08-04 14:07:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	408	26¢	$106	0xc48147…
08-04 14:06:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	700	18¢	$126	0x77088c…
08-04 13:06:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xd45644…
08-04 02:49:26	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x8c977e…
08-04 02:49:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x9a4954…
08-03 23:28:05	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x51963c…
08-03 20:25:59	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x99cfcb…
08-03 20:23:44	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x6e1e38…
08-03 20:23:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9c1adf…
08-03 20:23:11	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc0db04…
08-03 20:12:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	494	22¢	$109	0xbf4a59…
08-03 20:12:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x943d14…
08-03 19:20:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x4dd5c6…
08-03 17:56:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xc9fbd8…
08-03 17:32:39	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	130	39¢	$51	0x23bf9d…
08-03 16:58:12	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xca4a73…
08-03 15:42:12	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x053bb8…
08-03 15:40:33	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcbda4e…
08-03 15:40:27	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe98640…
08-03 14:52:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	270	2¢	$4	0xcebadd…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	927	21¢	$195	0x8e836f…
08-03 11:36:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	120	40¢	$48	0xbc5daf…
08-03 10:49:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	174	12¢	$21	0xd3dca2…
08-03 10:43:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc79403…
08-03 10:31:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x718070…
08-03 07:21:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x5417f2…
08-03 06:42:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfddbe7…
08-02 21:49:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x0ab0ef…
08-02 17:57:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	166	18¢	$30	0x8cb8bc…
08-02 17:36:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	88	18¢	$16	0x14ca24…
08-02 17:23:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0x4b98c1…
08-02 17:19:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xd20772…
08-02 17:02:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xd056be…
08-02 17:00:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xffe46e…
08-02 11:50:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x1d872e…
08-02 11:36:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xad1c71…
08-02 08:47:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5dbebe…
08-02 08:07:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd7b4e3…
08-02 08:07:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	89	48¢	$43	0x1b2aa6…
08-02 07:42:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	300	42¢	$126	0x7e74bb…
08-02 07:40:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0x397b66…