Dull-Smith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$478

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,856

lifetime

Volume

$125.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 08-08 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

84% 0% $-506

Other

16% 100% +$28

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$11.8K	8,397	8,397	+0	open	—	04-01 15:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$10.8K	6,740	6,740	+0	open	—	03-23 11:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	49	$6.8K	4,929	4,924	+5	open	—	06-17 05:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$6.1K	3,483	3,483	+0	open	—	03-14 09:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	30	$5.0K	5,151	5,151	+0	open	—	06-17 17:16
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	41	$3.1K	5,016	4,216	+800	open	—	06-17 12:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$2.9K	2,762	2,962	-200	open	—	06-21 12:55
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	23	$2.8K	3,876	3,876	+0	open	—	07-13 14:16
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	28	$2.7K	1,956	1,956	+0	open	—	08-02 02:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	36	$2.6K	3,372	4,278	-906	open	—	04-10 21:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	29	$2.5K	3,027	3,347	-319	open	—	05-08 18:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	18	$2.3K	5,510	5,510	+0	open	—	07-24 03:44
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	75	$2.1K	1,407	2,041	-634	open	—	04-07 23:29
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	9	$1.9K	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	07-13 20:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$1.8K	3,295	2,625	+670	open	—	02-28 04:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$1.7K	3,735	3,735	+0	open	—	07-02 06:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$1.7K	981	981	+0	open	—	06-01 10:32
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	36	$1.7K	1,176	1,176	+0	open	—	07-18 19:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$1.5K	1,669	0	+1,669	open	—	03-02 13:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	34	$1.5K	1,688	1,688	+0	open	—	06-17 02:37
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	7	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-11 13:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	33	$1.4K	2,184	1,849	+336	open	—	05-22 15:06
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$1.4K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	06-08 10:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	21	$1.3K	1,373	1,373	+0	open	—	07-01 23:57
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	31	$1.3K	6,381	4,881	+1,500	open	—	07-14 18:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	12	$1.2K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	06-26 09:00
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.1K	596	596	+0	open	—	02-27 21:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	6	$1.1K	500	1,000	-500	open	—	06-09 13:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	8	$989	1,367	1,367	+0	open	—	07-01 18:41
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	18	$981	1,431	955	+477	open	—	07-27 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 12:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdbc095…
08-07 21:01:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	230	14¢	$32	0x0b76ab…
08-07 20:06:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf8815d…
08-06 16:07:50	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0x23256a…
08-06 15:56:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x6cc1f8…
08-06 09:54:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xad32ac…
08-06 09:53:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0xc50cd8…
08-06 09:53:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	300	29¢	$86	0x35348b…
08-05 11:51:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	790	30¢	$237	0x021869…
08-05 11:38:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xffe037…
08-05 10:53:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x63ef2a…
08-05 10:49:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x1d79fc…
08-05 10:28:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9813b0…
08-05 10:20:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbd6c2b…
08-05 09:06:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	255	30¢	$76	0xfef86a…
08-05 07:16:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0xc935e0…
08-04 21:36:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xcea06f…
08-04 21:34:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x010dc3…
08-04 20:22:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	683	0¢	$1	0xaef209…
08-04 20:22:08	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x170d7d…
08-04 17:08:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	226	16¢	$36	0xbfb184…
08-04 17:07:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x092bd1…
08-04 17:06:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x246a4c…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb87ed7…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8e79ad…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x66f238…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x5443b0…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x2589e9…
08-04 16:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x235ad7…
08-04 16:16:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe9650d…
08-04 15:41:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf0bd6e…
08-04 15:40:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	336	17¢	$57	0xf0400b…
08-04 14:45:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x1c64dd…
08-04 14:43:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0x321c11…
08-04 14:42:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xcc6b9f…
08-04 14:21:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x06ef57…
08-04 14:10:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x9c762e…
08-04 14:07:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	408	26¢	$106	0xc48147…
08-04 14:06:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	700	18¢	$126	0x77088c…
08-04 02:49:26	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x8c977e…
08-04 02:49:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x9a4954…
08-03 23:28:05	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x51963c…
08-03 20:25:59	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x99cfcb…
08-03 20:23:44	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x6e1e38…
08-03 20:23:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9c1adf…
08-03 20:23:11	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc0db04…
08-03 20:12:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	494	22¢	$109	0xbf4a59…
08-03 20:12:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x943d14…
08-03 19:20:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x4dd5c6…
08-03 17:56:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xc9fbd8…
08-03 17:32:39	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	130	39¢	$51	0x23bf9d…
08-03 16:58:12	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xca4a73…
08-03 15:42:12	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x053bb8…
08-03 15:40:33	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcbda4e…
08-03 15:40:27	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe98640…
08-03 14:52:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	270	2¢	$4	0xcebadd…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	927	21¢	$195	0x8e836f…
08-03 11:36:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	120	40¢	$48	0xbc5daf…
08-03 10:49:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	174	12¢	$21	0xd3dca2…
08-03 10:43:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc79403…
08-03 10:31:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x718070…
08-03 07:21:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x5417f2…
08-03 06:42:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfddbe7…
08-02 21:49:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x0ab0ef…
08-02 17:57:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	166	18¢	$30	0x8cb8bc…
08-02 17:36:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	88	18¢	$16	0x14ca24…
08-02 17:23:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0x4b98c1…
08-02 17:19:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xd20772…
08-02 17:02:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xd056be…
08-02 17:00:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xffe46e…
08-02 11:50:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x1d872e…
08-02 11:36:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xad1c71…
08-02 08:47:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5dbebe…
08-02 08:07:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd7b4e3…
08-02 08:07:42	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	89	48¢	$43	0x1b2aa6…
08-02 07:42:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	300	42¢	$126	0x7e74bb…
08-02 07:40:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0x397b66…
08-02 07:01:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x5d26e4…
08-02 06:34:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	296	43¢	$127	0x8abde6…
08-02 06:31:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xfab991…
08-02 05:53:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x1a0ee4…
08-02 04:07:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0x8a3139…
08-02 03:59:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	17¢	$119	0x67ae9b…
08-02 03:58:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x9abeea…
08-02 03:57:29	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,130	6¢	$68	0x5483a7…
08-02 03:14:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	800	1¢	$10	0xd74b24…
08-02 02:30:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xefbb1f…
08-02 02:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	54¢	$162	0x8397b2…
08-02 02:09:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	265	75¢	$199	0xc6e597…
08-02 01:24:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x06814c…
08-02 01:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe6b8fa…
08-01 21:29:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	130	25¢	$32	0x41072e…
08-01 21:28:21	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x1b9dcf…
08-01 19:49:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	870	1¢	$10	0x331a13…
08-01 19:49:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	420	1¢	$6	0x1d3d27…
08-01 19:06:24	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x636f72…
08-01 17:00:35	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0xb0051c…
08-01 16:44:02	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe63637…
08-01 16:15:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x688d39…
08-01 15:24:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x286952…