Realized P&L
-$135
Unrealized P&L
+$461
Hit rate
21.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
8,768
lifetime
Volume
$630.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$2.43K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
90% 75% $-134
Other
10% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +714 $402 82¢ $589 +$186 06-18 11:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +474 $407 86¢ $410 +$3 07-21 11:38
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +297 $241 90¢ $266 +$26 07-13 07:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -683 $-352 36¢ $-242 +$110 06-26 09:02
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No -194 $-174 89¢ $-172 +$2 07-17 21:57
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -168 $-152 88¢ $-149 +$3 06-14 02:06
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +94 $76 92¢ $86 +$10 07-04 07:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +486 $110 18¢ $85 $-25 06-20 12:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -96 $-91 88¢ $-85 +$6 06-08 21:01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -79 $-72 97¢ $-76 $-4 06-16 05:22
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -61 $-110 82¢ $-50 +$60 07-03 07:24
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +53 $36 93¢ $50 +$14 07-02 10:43
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No -50 $-55 96¢ $-48 +$7 07-01 22:23
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -51 $-46 92¢ $-48 $-2 05-30 15:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +56 $19 78¢ $44 +$26 06-22 09:02
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -28 $-60 91¢ $-26 +$34 07-18 14:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-4 64¢ $-1 +$4 06-07 18:35