Realized P&L
-$135
Unrealized P&L
+$117
Hit rate
21.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
7,551
lifetime
Volume
$548.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$2.53K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
90% 75% $-134
Other
10% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +747 $626 94¢ $698 +$72 06-09 21:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,194 $665 28¢ $603 $-62 06-08 05:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -651 $-317 46¢ $-296 +$21 06-08 00:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -187 $-193 96¢ $-179 +$14 06-09 10:14
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +206 $163 82¢ $170 +$7 06-09 15:16
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? No -160 $-158 99¢ $-159 $-1 05-30 15:50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -96 $-91 86¢ $-83 +$8 06-08 21:01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +92 $76 84¢ $78 +$2 06-05 21:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +108 $51 72¢ $77 +$26 06-09 22:00
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -66 $-65 98¢ $-65 +$0 06-05 02:49
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -65 $-64 99¢ $-64 +$0 06-01 16:25
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -51 $-46 91¢ $-47 $-1 05-30 15:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $-13 74¢ $5 +$18 06-05 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -26 $-13 18¢ $-5 +$8 06-02 17:12
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 11:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-4 55¢ $-1 +$4 06-07 18:35