Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d37d…493f3c
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.99K
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
308
Trades
14,178
lifetime
Volume
$991.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$9.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Politics
90% 87% +$11,433
Other
10% 79% +$691
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +3,500 $2,762 86¢ $3.0K +$265 10-24 10:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +1,315 $1,128 92¢ $1.2K +$88 10-26 10:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,722 $610 24¢ $640 +$30 10-26 18:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -649 -$522 94¢ $-613 -$91 10-16 16:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +577 $432 90¢ $519 +$88 10-23 17:10
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 No +479 $151 97¢ $465 +$313 10-25 07:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +441 $269 82¢ $359 +$91 10-26 21:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +399 -$137 77¢ $307 +$444 10-23 03:16
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +301 $274 96¢ $288 +$14 10-26 16:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +358 $202 62¢ $220 +$18 10-26 15:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +204 $39 98¢ $200 +$161 10-26 23:14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +200 $151 94¢ $187 +$36 10-19 21:57
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 10-23 22:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $200 90¢ $179 -$21 10-26 16:12
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 Yes +200 $82 50¢ $99 +$17 10-26 21:38
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +100 $90 90¢ $90 $0 10-26 10:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -446 -$294 16¢ $-74 +$220 08-29 11:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +247 $65 28¢ $68 +$3 10-23 03:21
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +265 $59 26¢ $68 +$8 10-23 22:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +200 $43 30¢ $59 +$16 10-26 00:37
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 No +54 $37 74¢ $40 +$3 08-09 13:48
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -700 -$166 6¢ $-39 +$127 05-16 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +39 $31 82¢ $32 +$1 10-25 23:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +73 $31 42¢ $31 $0 10-26 08:08
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +21 -$9 95¢ $20 +$29 09-26 21:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +154 $46 10¢ $15 -$31 05-23 18:39
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +13 $1 97¢ $13 +$12 10-26 18:40
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-26 10:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +35 -$102 23¢ $8 +$110 10-10 23:06
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +73 -$29 8¢ $6 +$35 10-11 01:44