Realized P&L
-$135
Unrealized P&L
+$424
Hit rate
21.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
8,361
lifetime
Volume
$607.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$3.36K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
91% 75% $-134
Other
9% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +714 $402 76¢ $539 +$137 06-18 11:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -485 $-562 100¢ $-484 +$79 06-16 16:34
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +348 $299 88¢ $307 +$8 06-29 17:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -683 $-352 42¢ $-290 +$62 06-26 09:02
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +282 $228 88¢ $249 +$20 06-28 17:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +274 $141 69¢ $189 +$48 06-30 09:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -187 $-198 100¢ $-187 +$12 06-21 07:59
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +200 $186 93¢ $186 +$1 06-30 14:45
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? No -160 $-158 100¢ $-160 $-2 05-30 15:50
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -168 $-152 86¢ $-144 +$8 06-14 02:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +486 $110 24¢ $119 +$9 06-20 12:29
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +94 $78 90¢ $84 +$6 06-15 11:03
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -96 $-91 86¢ $-82 +$9 06-08 21:01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -79 $-72 94¢ $-73 $-1 06-16 05:22
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -66 $-65 100¢ $-66 $-1 06-05 02:49
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -65 $-64 100¢ $-65 $-1 06-01 16:25
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -51 $-46 93¢ $-48 $-2 05-30 15:50
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +43 $38 99¢ $43 +$5 06-15 20:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +56 $19 74¢ $41 +$23 06-22 09:02
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 11:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-4 57¢ $-1 +$4 06-07 18:35