Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$574

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$1.30K

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-28 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$71

Other

48% 62% +$503

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+863	$769	84¢	$724	-$46	10-28 02:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,000	$200	16¢	$165	-$35	10-02 15:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+164	$100	83¢	$136	+$36	10-04 17:19
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+11,945	$131	1¢	$125	-$6	10-12 07:37
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	+125	$100	80¢	$101	+$1	10-28 02:04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	+238	$50	22¢	$51	+$1	10-28 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$769	863	0	+863	open	—	10-28 02:21
Paris curfew by October 31?	7	$500	833	833	+0	Yes	-$166	10-19 13:45
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	8	$444	293	293	+0	open	—	10-19 13:45
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	6	$419	554	0	+554	Yes	+$134	10-19 17:04
Paris curfew by October 19?	4	$414	848	0	+848	Yes	+$434	10-19 17:02
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	1	$400	471	0	+471	Yes	+$71	10-02 16:22
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$206	278	278	+0	open	—	10-28 02:10
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$200	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-02 15:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$150	4,881	4,881	+0	open	—	10-12 07:33
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$131	11,945	0	+11,945	open	—	10-12 07:37
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	10-04 17:19
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	10-28 02:04
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	135	0	+135	Yes	+$35	10-19 21:15
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	+$16	10-19 21:14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$50	238	0	+238	open	—	10-28 02:05
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$50	139	0	+139	Invictus Gaming	-$50	10-28 02:03
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$50	200	0	+200	Top Esports	+$150	10-28 02:04
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$50	167	0	+167	Bilibili Gaming	-$50	10-26 14:48
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-05 21:52
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	302	0	+302	open	—	10-05 21:49
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	307	0	+307	open	—	10-05 21:51
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	10-05 21:52
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	365	0	+365	open	—	10-05 21:54
Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	10-05 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:21:47	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x6e8175…
10-28 02:10:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	278	2¢	$6	0xd07229…
10-28 02:05:15	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x49ff57…
10-28 02:04:59	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xea55fe…
10-28 02:04:33	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd48c7f…
10-28 02:03:39	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xff1bae…
10-26 14:48:45	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x7790f2…
10-23 09:36:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x45be63…
10-19 21:15:48	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x8f0d5f…
10-19 21:14:04	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x40a64e…
10-19 17:04:54	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x35a1be…
10-19 17:03:26	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x8b7dbe…
10-19 17:03:09	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x6c409d…
10-19 17:02:47	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x7cec48…
10-19 15:51:30	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xabf87a…
10-19 15:09:42	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xe5d2dc…
10-19 15:09:39	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xc922d4…
10-19 14:37:27	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	73¢	$61	0x6479ec…
10-19 13:50:53	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	81¢	$300	0x754227…
10-19 13:45:18	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	SELL	833	20¢	$167	0x8ef5e3…
10-19 13:45:12	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	SELL	293	68¢	$199	0xc89d4c…
10-19 13:43:48	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	708	47¢	$333	0xee6f90…
10-19 13:38:21	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0xb779a3…
10-19 13:37:15	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	322	35¢	$113	0x9e1f02…
10-19 12:13:56	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe20354…
10-19 12:03:24	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xf5b20d…
10-19 12:03:24	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x90dd59…
10-19 12:03:09	Paris curfew by October 31?	No	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x86241a…
10-13 09:48:52	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x4ed598…
10-12 07:37:29	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,945	1¢	$131	0xb88802…
10-12 07:33:17	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,881	2¢	$95	0x530155…
10-10 08:16:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,545	1¢	$50	0x4305dd…
10-05 21:54:14	Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	0¢	$1	0xa4a07e…
10-05 21:52:58	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x443610…
10-05 21:52:29	Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xcbf6f7…
10-05 21:52:05	Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x956137…
10-05 21:51:26	Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	0¢	$1	0x9f6435…
10-05 21:49:05	Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	0¢	$1	0xb232c0…
10-05 05:46:22	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	336	2¢	$5	0x587794…
10-04 17:19:34	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x4a148a…
10-04 13:35:35	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$201	0x9bb2a6…
10-02 16:22:18	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0x8c79a6…
10-02 16:00:15	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x373e23…
10-02 15:47:09	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x589002…
10-02 15:45:48	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x5ec0f2…
10-02 15:32:32	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf9e88c…
10-02 15:30:14	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa4d014…
10-02 15:30:08	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	94	81¢	$76	0x4ef998…
10-02 15:26:54	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x287f54…