Spiffy-Win 0x225b7c…f6422a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.99K
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
210
Trades
1,241
lifetime
Volume
$213.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$20.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
60% 32% +$9,643
Politics
15% 24% -$3,236
Pop-Culture
9% 32% +$4,024
Sports
9% 50% -$374
Tech
6% 50% +$6,001
Crypto
2% 0% -$1,936
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +9,348 $2,573 42¢ $4.0K +$1,382 10-30 04:36
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,555 $2,111 52¢ $2.9K +$750 10-27 01:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,810 $1,327 28¢ $1.3K -$4 10-28 20:36
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,402 $300 14¢ $1.0K +$748 09-11 02:54
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +2,889 $819 35¢ $1.0K +$192 10-30 04:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,373 $320 74¢ $1.0K +$689 09-30 20:16
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +3,777 $1,086 26¢ $1.0K -$86 10-03 01:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,392 $352 56¢ $772 +$420 09-30 20:14
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +6,555 $636 12¢ $754 +$118 10-15 02:59
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,740 $707 42¢ $728 +$22 10-22 18:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +1,982 $509 36¢ $714 +$205 10-20 00:56
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,555 $485 26¢ $677 +$192 10-22 03:16
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,201 $674 26¢ $561 -$113 10-30 17:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,024 $512 44¢ $445 -$66 10-22 13:45
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,555 $358 26¢ $412 +$54 10-27 05:31
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,111 $233 35¢ $389 +$156 10-22 01:16
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +984 $373 38¢ $379 +$5 10-22 13:41
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,000 $380 4¢ $350 -$30 10-18 16:32
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,110 $455 31¢ $344 -$110 10-29 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +2,444 $479 14¢ $342 -$137 09-02 16:03
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +500 $269 60¢ $298 +$28 10-28 22:22
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +2,000 $404 14¢ $280 -$124 10-29 02:51
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,576 $250 7¢ $234 -$15 10-18 16:32
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +277 $105 62¢ $171 +$65 10-21 03:15
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,228 $109 7¢ $157 +$48 10-18 17:28
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4,867 $238 3¢ $156 -$83 10-18 17:15
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,260 $152 1¢ $118 -$34 10-25 00:12
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $60 12¢ $115 +$55 09-21 16:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +999 $413 11¢ $110 -$303 10-06 17:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +333 $137 31¢ $103 -$33 10-03 00:57