Reckless-Hatbox 0x843e32…b4d2f3
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$27.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$24.4K
Hit rate
17.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
788
lifetime
Volume
$345.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$438
Open exposure
$316.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 10-28 11:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
84% 100% +$13,016
Other
16% 25% -$39,991
Tech
0% 0% -$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +639,510 $236,369 43¢ $274.7K +$38,301 10-22 11:43
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +151,135 $28,278 18¢ $26.4K -$1,829 10-26 21:00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +131,355 $4,609 4¢ $5.2K +$579 10-28 11:10
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +272,529 $4,270 1¢ $3.1K -$1,136 10-14 06:32
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +9,543 $7,241 32¢ $3.0K -$4,235 09-18 13:15
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +636,936 $1,686 0¢ $955 -$731 10-01 08:46
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +963 $544 99¢ $952 +$408 06-09 18:39
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +101,939 $2,094 1¢ $866 -$1,228 10-14 07:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +17,341 $5,041 2¢ $373 -$4,669 06-10 18:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +434 $292 77¢ $335 +$43 06-02 08:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +51 $47 99¢ $50 +$3 06-02 18:00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +7,380 $1,110 1¢ $44 -$1,066 06-10 16:07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +928 $44 0¢ $4 -$40 06-26 04:04