Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.59K

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

440

lifetime

Volume

$66.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$1.04K

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 10-30 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

94% 75% -$3,571

Other

5% 100% +$979

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$430	52¢	$525	+$95	10-28 19:23
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+368	$178	71¢	$262	+$85	10-28 20:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$150	29¢	$143	-$7	10-29 19:54
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+13,310	$146	1¢	$113	-$33	10-30 23:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$89	20¢	$0	-$89	10-20 16:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$16.1K	10,461	10,461	+0	No	+$883	10-21 18:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	105	$10.6K	22,188	22,188	+0	No	-$6,311	10-25 23:06
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	191	$9.4K	9,121	9,121	+0	open	—	10-29 17:12
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	27	$8.7K	34,797	34,797	+0	open	—	10-20 16:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	24	$8.1K	20,143	20,143	+0	Yes	+$728	10-19 17:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$4.5K	8,612	8,612	+0	open	—	10-27 19:25
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$2.2K	1,649	1,649	+0	Yes	+$1,129	10-25 22:16
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	9	$2.1K	1,926	1,558	+368	open	—	10-28 20:58
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	2	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$979	10-16 17:31
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	29	$805	7,030	7,030	+0	open	—	10-29 16:34
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	9	$740	3,319	3,319	+0	open	—	10-22 09:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$430	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-28 19:23
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	6	$330	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-22 19:24
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$171	15,570	15,570	+0	open	—	10-15 05:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$150	500	0	+500	open	—	10-29 19:54
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$146	13,310	0	+13,310	open	—	10-30 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:01:18	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,450	1¢	$34	0xe3cd2f…
10-30 21:34:34	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x62f634…
10-30 16:59:34	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	650	1¢	$6	0x3306d4…
10-30 16:58:34	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	450	1¢	$4	0xa0fd2c…
10-30 16:17:42	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe1be8a…
10-30 16:05:28	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf12fc6…
10-30 15:07:06	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,150	1¢	$11	0x1b53ec…
10-30 03:04:39	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,700	1¢	$19	0x9c9cbb…
10-29 19:54:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xf15a22…
10-29 17:12:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	879	26¢	$227	0x233bfd…
10-29 16:35:52	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,470	1¢	$30	0x8fb5a0…
10-29 16:34:41	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,582	0¢	$21	0x394241…
10-29 11:20:05	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	448	1¢	$7	0xd11013…
10-28 23:42:19	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,340	1¢	$40	0x68488b…
10-28 20:58:28	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	320	67¢	$213	0x6f59e7…
10-28 19:23:32	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x26d7b2…
10-28 19:00:16	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	48	64¢	$31	0x092f02…
10-28 18:04:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,071	27¢	$559	0x350158…
10-28 18:03:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	567	27¢	$153	0x29e36d…
10-27 19:27:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,129	56¢	$630	0x6b9682…
10-27 19:25:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,153	26¢	$560	0x7c4ea9…
10-27 19:22:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xf38f41…
10-27 19:21:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,667	55¢	$910	0x8609d5…
10-27 19:21:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	600	52¢	$310	0x699ef2…
10-27 19:21:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,153	27¢	$581	0x53a5a6…
10-27 13:38:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$675	0xdfbe1e…
10-27 13:33:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,306	20¢	$861	0xa15be2…
10-27 13:31:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$101	0x0c652b…
10-26 22:21:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,500	30¢	$1,950	0x383eab…
10-26 17:00:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x29eb5d…
10-26 16:59:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5b166f…
10-26 16:59:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb3cd01…
10-26 16:55:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,908	25¢	$477	0xf9c728…
10-26 16:08:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,426	58¢	$827	0xdaf6b3…
10-26 16:08:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	614	58¢	$356	0x6ea7eb…
10-26 15:43:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x384fc0…
10-26 15:41:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x1dfe7c…
10-26 15:40:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x473c2a…
10-26 15:38:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	481	58¢	$279	0xc4f4cd…
10-26 15:36:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x266ca4…
10-26 15:36:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xd1c681…
10-26 15:34:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x400adf…
10-26 14:38:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xb9d899…
10-26 14:36:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x1b009b…
10-26 14:35:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	368	58¢	$213	0xba95c9…
10-26 14:14:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	989	58¢	$574	0x6b0f50…
10-26 14:10:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	69	58¢	$40	0x998e54…
10-26 14:09:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	93	58¢	$54	0x25473e…
10-26 14:08:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	75	58¢	$43	0x1b7d74…
10-26 14:01:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	148	58¢	$86	0xf19077…
10-26 12:48:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,233	59¢	$1,900	0x0d8a8c…
10-26 12:19:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	129	56¢	$72	0x3bc3f7…
10-26 12:12:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x39aa4e…
10-26 12:12:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	974	55¢	$534	0x290a4b…
10-25 23:06:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,731	10¢	$173	0x9f91ba…
10-25 23:06:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,296	10¢	$130	0x9ce248…
10-25 23:06:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xd47147…
10-25 23:06:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xbc987f…
10-25 23:06:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	2,092	10¢	$209	0x103ffd…
10-25 23:05:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	15,688	9¢	$1,387	0x0b8e26…
10-25 23:00:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	112	20¢	$22	0xd3be18…
10-25 23:00:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	990	20¢	$198	0x9213fb…
10-25 23:00:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0xfe769b…
10-25 23:00:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	95	20¢	$19	0xccb919…
10-25 22:20:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	2,940	32¢	$941	0xaf137c…
10-25 22:20:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xae4612…
10-25 22:20:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x91fff7…
10-25 22:20:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf9888e…
10-25 22:20:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xc1cbcc…
10-25 22:19:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x232d66…
10-25 22:19:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x7ba58d…
10-25 22:19:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	233	32¢	$74	0x6d77b2…
10-25 22:19:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x0a4f70…
10-25 22:19:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xab5a94…
10-25 22:19:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x788eff…
10-25 22:18:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	479	32¢	$153	0xa393af…
10-25 22:16:39	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,649	100¢	$1,640	0x9213be…
10-22 21:41:14	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,649	31¢	$511	0x411d72…
10-22 19:24:57	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	5,000	4¢	$180	0xd14ff1…
10-22 09:44:05	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	770	12¢	$92	0x9e26a4…
10-21 23:39:06	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	101	12¢	$12	0x78919b…
10-21 23:15:14	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	799	12¢	$96	0xfec191…
10-21 22:34:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	1,500	42¢	$630	0x36c1b5…
10-21 22:07:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x697e1e…
10-21 22:07:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4c67dc…
10-21 22:07:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x1e766b…
10-21 22:06:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	581	41¢	$238	0x29f006…
10-21 22:06:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x0eaf71…
10-21 22:04:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4776dc…
10-21 21:54:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa4bda0…
10-21 21:51:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x59a838…
10-21 21:41:36	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	81	12¢	$10	0xe663a0…
10-21 21:24:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	375	41¢	$154	0x90ff3a…
10-21 20:58:11	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	1,558	62¢	$974	0xaed2fe…
10-21 20:56:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	4,625	41¢	$1,896	0x2d760c…
10-21 20:40:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x295b26…
10-21 20:39:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0xcfabcc…
10-21 20:39:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0x41283c…
10-21 20:11:39	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	1,568	12¢	$194	0x7ada5c…
10-21 20:02:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x515346…