Quizzical-Arrogance 0x21064f…154dea
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$320.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$131.7K
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
4,146
Trades
238,374
lifetime
Volume
$4.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$506.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Sports
39% 89% +$305,540
Other
36% 80% +$4,698
Politics
25% 77% +$10,028
Tech
1% 81% +$277
Pop-Culture
0% 85% +$91
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3329 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes -86,885 -$9,345 96¢ $-83626 -$74,281 10-11 08:00
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +46,799 $39,419 92¢ $43.3K +$3,870 09-14 23:06
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +46,503 $37,698 78¢ $36.0K -$1,657 10-21 13:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -67,314 -$5,087 45¢ $-30325 -$25,237 07-09 09:47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +27,261 $19,922 99¢ $27.0K +$7,107 07-07 12:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +56,103 $25,958 36¢ $19.9K -$6,041 10-22 23:06
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +34,236 $23,961 55¢ $18.8K -$5,149 10-15 16:14
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -96,142 -$19,912 18¢ $-17786 +$2,125 10-16 20:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -24,800 -$5,716 67¢ $-16678 -$10,962 07-13 17:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -56,135 -$18,491 26¢ $-14876 +$3,615 10-23 05:54
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -107,835 -$5,215 14¢ $-14612 -$9,396 10-27 01:28
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -63,107 -$12,534 22¢ $-13568 -$1,034 10-26 01:17
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -101,142 -$3,372 13¢ $-13401 -$10,029 10-16 23:07
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15,181 $11,672 84¢ $12.7K +$1,004 10-25 06:27
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -107,802 -$9,360 12¢ $-12397 -$3,037 10-27 12:43
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -107,235 -$6,756 10¢ $-10831 -$4,074 10-27 01:28
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes -59,504 -$8,141 18¢ $-10413 -$2,273 10-20 20:44
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -94,142 -$10,560 11¢ $-9885 +$676 10-16 15:54
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes -14,450 -$7,167 66¢ $-9537 -$2,371 09-20 16:34
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -54,823 -$11,521 16¢ $-9046 +$2,475 10-27 01:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -43,978 -$14,988 20¢ $-9016 +$5,972 10-07 09:53
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +10,000 $8,670 88¢ $8.7K +$80 09-03 14:11
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +25,473 $12,863 34¢ $8.7K -$4,203 09-13 17:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +8,608 $7,960 99¢ $8.5K +$561 10-27 08:29
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes -61,503 -$9,110 14¢ $-8303 +$808 10-21 20:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +11,770 $7,875 70¢ $8.3K +$423 10-25 08:26
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -107,835 -$8,313 8¢ $-8088 +$226 10-26 02:37
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +9,000 $7,650 86¢ $7.8K +$135 09-08 02:32
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes -55,503 -$7,657 14¢ $-7493 +$164 10-21 19:26
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -70,609 -$5,966 10¢ $-7167 -$1,201 10-26 02:36