Realized P&L
+$60.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.75K
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
321
Trades
13,752
lifetime
Volume
$3.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$281
Open exposure
$28.6K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Politics
79% 56% +$7,237
Other
20% 66% +$58,918
Tech
0% 0% -$1,717
Sports
0% 14% -$1,678
Crypto
0% 0% -$1,875
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,000 $6,880 76¢ $6.1K -$760 08-29 00:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,143 $4,683 65¢ $5.9K +$1,251 09-09 16:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +20,272 $1,047 29¢ $5.8K +$4,731 10-16 15:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +6,000 $2,160 34¢ $2.0K -$150 10-21 02:00
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,000 $1,720 94¢ $1.9K +$150 06-19 04:05
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,917 $1,125 24¢ $1.6K +$500 09-16 12:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,490 $2,781 35¢ $1.6K -$1,205 06-19 03:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,518 $1,269 78¢ $1.2K -$85 10-03 16:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +4,108 $1,813 18¢ $739 -$1,073 09-06 02:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -700 -$602 83¢ $-581 +$21 06-12 00:07
will anthropic announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027 Yes +4,000 $400 10¢ $380 -$20 10-15 03:18
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,000 $344 4¢ $288 -$56 10-18 17:27
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,000 $96 1¢ $138 +$42 10-18 17:25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 10-07 07:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 -$1,615 17¢ $85 +$1,700 09-21 22:32
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,000 $156 1¢ $78 -$78 10-18 17:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $57 55¢ $55 -$2 10-07 07:06
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +200 $42 8¢ $16 -$26 07-07 13:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $42 2¢ $16 -$26 05-24 01:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +14 $168 22¢ $3 -$165 06-20 16:03