Gracious-Fame 0xc7e53a…5d2d3a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$139.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.8K
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
3,603
Trades
14,774
lifetime
Volume
$2.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$178
Open exposure
$59.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 298 days
Categories
Other
36% 30% +$59,437
Politics
35% 32% +$90,470
Sports
26% 34% -$15,916
Tech
2% 25% +$2,625
Crypto
1% 38% +$3,213
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +20,958 $9,016 54¢ $11.4K +$2,344 10-27 02:47
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,771 $4,894 38¢ $4.9K +$23 10-27 03:01
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4,942 -$4,505 97¢ $-4771 -$266 06-05 20:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,300 $4,257 62¢ $4.6K +$306 10-27 15:40
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +27,787 -$1,018 13¢ $3.7K +$4,728 10-16 12:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,502 $1,050 15¢ $2.9K +$1,807 10-22 15:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,202 $1,884 36¢ $2.6K +$744 10-27 15:02
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +3,631 $2,000 65¢ $2.4K +$376 10-15 15:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,976 -$2,007 68¢ $-2009 -$1 10-11 17:43
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,582 $1,950 21¢ $1.8K -$148 10-27 19:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29,658 -$2,753 6¢ $-1735 +$1,018 09-08 23:19
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,552 $709 7¢ $1.6K +$926 10-24 05:15
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -43,456 -$1,738 4¢ $-1543 +$196 05-28 18:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,125 $1,537 30¢ $1.5K -$25 10-26 16:01
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38,060 $1,567 4¢ $1.4K -$178 10-22 19:42
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,321 $1,857 20¢ $1.3K -$561 10-07 00:14
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20,808 $917 6¢ $1.3K +$342 10-05 01:10
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +108,383 $1,922 1¢ $1.2K -$675 10-25 23:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,556 $1,000 18¢ $972 -$28 10-20 20:59
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +729 $138 99¢ $718 +$580 08-19 00:19
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +3,571 $895 20¢ $714 -$181 10-01 14:58
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,155 -$677 12¢ $-708 -$31 05-28 04:08
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +15,915 -$405 4¢ $589 +$994 10-27 04:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,770 $523 9¢ $539 +$16 10-22 15:29
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,527 $500 3¢ $536 +$36 10-18 15:48
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,519 $500 2¢ $454 -$46 10-19 18:50
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +23,693 $626 2¢ $438 -$188 10-19 18:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6,763 $613 4¢ $304 -$308 08-25 22:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +12,028 $1,345 2¢ $301 -$1,044 10-26 23:43
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21,641 $292 1¢ $292 $0 10-27 19:20