Gracious-Fame 0xc7e53a…5d2d3a Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.0K
Hit rate
35.9%
Resolved (90d)
813
Trades (90d)
2,370
14,836 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$647.4K
$2.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
$55.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Politics
35% 32% +$89,506
Other
35% 30% +$54,607
Sports
26% 34% -$16,272
Tech
2% 40% +$4,472
Crypto
1% 38% +$3,213
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,771 $4,894 64¢ $8.2K +$3,343 10-27 03:01
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +8,131 $4,979 74¢ $6.0K +$1,071 10-29 22:28
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4,942 -$4,505 98¢ $-4845 -$340 06-05 20:52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +27,787 -$1,018 14¢ $3.9K +$4,950 10-16 12:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,502 $1,050 17¢ $3.4K +$2,333 10-22 15:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,202 $1,884 38¢ $2.8K +$888 10-27 15:02
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,300 $1,337 70¢ $2.3K +$990 11-03 05:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,976 -$2,007 76¢ $-2247 -$239 10-11 17:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,000 $3,068 40¢ $2.0K -$1,051 10-29 00:02
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -43,456 -$1,738 4¢ $-1847 -$109 05-28 18:25
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,552 $709 8¢ $1.7K +$1,016 10-24 05:15
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,582 $1,050 30¢ $1.7K +$652 11-03 05:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,125 $1,537 30¢ $1.6K +$27 10-26 16:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29,658 -$2,753 5¢ $-1557 +$1,196 09-08 23:19
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20,808 $917 7¢ $1.5K +$581 10-05 01:10
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +136,728 $2,134 1¢ $1.2K -$972 10-31 16:57
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,321 $1,857 16¢ $1.0K -$814 10-07 00:14
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,556 $1,000 18¢ $972 -$28 10-20 20:59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38,060 $1,567 2¢ $818 -$748 10-22 19:42
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,155 -$677 12¢ $-769 -$92 05-28 04:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,770 $523 13¢ $762 +$238 10-22 15:29
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +729 $138 100¢ $726 +$588 08-19 00:19
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,907 $582 30¢ $582 -$1 11-03 05:33
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,519 $500 3¢ $565 +$65 10-19 18:50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23,126 $307 2¢ $543 +$236 10-28 01:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,351 $901 38¢ $520 -$381 11-03 15:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,389 $500 36¢ $507 +$7 11-03 18:07
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,786 $500 28¢ $491 -$9 11-03 05:44
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +42,795 $584 1¢ $449 -$135 10-28 21:23
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +23,693 $626 1¢ $320 -$306 10-19 18:52