Gracious-Fame 0xc7e53a…5d2d3a Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$135.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.2K
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved
3,635
Trades
14,842
lifetime
Volume
$2.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$58.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
35% 29% +$54,514
Politics
35% 32% +$89,894
Sports
26% 34% -$16,272
Tech
2% 40% +$4,472
Crypto
1% 38% +$3,213
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,771 $4,894 62¢ $7.9K +$2,960 10-27 03:01
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +8,131 $4,979 72¢ $5.8K +$855 10-29 22:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,300 $4,257 74¢ $5.4K +$1,182 10-27 15:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4,942 -$4,505 98¢ $-4868 -$363 06-05 20:52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +27,787 -$1,018 14¢ $3.9K +$4,950 10-16 12:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,502 $1,050 14¢ $2.8K +$1,768 10-22 15:28
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,582 $1,950 32¢ $2.7K +$753 10-27 19:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,202 $1,884 34¢ $2.4K +$528 10-27 15:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,976 -$2,007 76¢ $-2247 -$239 10-11 17:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,000 $3,068 43¢ $2.2K -$911 10-29 00:02
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -43,456 -$1,738 4¢ $-1803 -$65 05-28 18:25
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,552 $709 8¢ $1.7K +$1,039 10-24 05:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,125 $1,537 34¢ $1.7K +$180 10-26 16:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29,658 -$2,753 5¢ $-1616 +$1,137 09-08 23:19
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20,808 $917 7¢ $1.5K +$591 10-05 01:10
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +136,728 $2,134 1¢ $1.2K -$972 10-31 16:57
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,321 $1,857 18¢ $1.1K -$719 10-07 00:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,760 $1,101 29¢ $1.1K -$30 10-30 23:57
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38,060 $1,567 3¢ $990 -$577 10-22 19:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,556 $1,000 18¢ $972 -$28 10-20 20:59
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +729 $138 99¢ $720 +$582 08-19 00:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,155 -$677 12¢ $-708 -$31 05-28 04:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,770 $523 11¢ $617 +$94 10-22 15:29
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,519 $500 3¢ $509 +$9 10-19 18:50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23,126 $307 2¢ $509 +$202 10-28 01:13
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +42,795 $584 1¢ $449 -$135 10-28 21:23
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +23,693 $626 2¢ $355 -$271 10-19 18:52
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +26,467 $211 1¢ $304 +$93 09-21 19:13
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6,763 $613 4¢ $301 -$312 08-25 22:15
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +7,085 $388 4¢ $266 -$122 11-01 01:03