Gracious-Fame 0xc7e53a…5d2d3a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.84K
Hit rate
39.9%
Resolved (7d)
39
Trades (7d)
166
14,810 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$62.9K
$2.65M lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$55.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 22:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
35% 30% +$59,437
Politics
35% 32% +$90,470
Sports
26% 34% -$15,801
Tech
2% 25% +$2,625
Crypto
1% 38% +$3,213
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,771 $4,894 55¢ $7.0K +$2,066 10-27 03:01
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +8,131 $4,979 68¢ $5.5K +$526 10-29 22:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,300 $4,257 68¢ $5.0K +$744 10-27 15:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4,942 -$4,505 97¢ $-4798 -$293 06-05 20:52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +27,787 -$1,018 14¢ $3.9K +$4,950 10-16 12:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,502 $1,050 16¢ $3.0K +$1,982 10-22 15:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,202 $1,884 32¢ $2.3K +$456 10-27 15:02
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,582 $1,950 26¢ $2.2K +$238 10-27 19:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,976 -$2,007 72¢ $-2128 -$120 10-11 17:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,000 $3,068 41¢ $2.0K -$1,031 10-29 00:02
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,552 $709 8¢ $1.9K +$1,208 10-24 05:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,125 $1,537 34¢ $1.7K +$180 10-26 16:01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -43,456 -$1,738 4¢ $-1564 +$174 05-28 18:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29,658 -$2,753 5¢ $-1527 +$1,226 09-08 23:19
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20,808 $917 6¢ $1.3K +$362 10-05 01:10
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +108,383 $1,922 1¢ $1.1K -$784 10-25 23:06
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38,060 $1,567 3¢ $1.1K -$444 10-22 19:42
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,321 $1,857 18¢ $1.1K -$751 10-07 00:14
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,556 $1,000 16¢ $917 -$83 10-20 20:59
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +729 $138 98¢ $711 +$573 08-19 00:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,155 -$677 11¢ $-646 +$31 05-28 04:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,147 $601 29¢ $623 +$21 10-28 19:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,770 $523 9¢ $545 +$22 10-22 15:29
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +42,795 $584 1¢ $535 -$49 10-28 21:23
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,527 $500 3¢ $520 +$20 10-18 15:48
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,519 $500 2¢ $454 -$46 10-19 18:50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23,126 $307 2¢ $451 +$144 10-28 01:13
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +23,693 $626 2¢ $438 -$188 10-19 18:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +12,028 $1,345 3¢ $361 -$984 10-26 23:43
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6,763 $613 4¢ $304 -$308 08-25 22:15