Gracious-Fame 0xc7e53a…5d2d3a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$8.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.4K
Hit rate
34.7%
Resolved (30d)
175
Trades (30d)
511
14,819 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$156.6K
$2.66M lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$56.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
35% 30% +$59,186
Politics
35% 32% +$90,470
Sports
26% 34% -$15,357
Tech
2% 25% +$2,625
Crypto
1% 38% +$3,213
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,771 $4,894 52¢ $6.6K +$1,683 10-27 03:01
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +8,131 $4,979 72¢ $5.8K +$851 10-29 22:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,300 $4,257 68¢ $5.0K +$744 10-27 15:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4,942 -$4,505 98¢ $-4863 -$358 06-05 20:52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +27,787 -$1,018 14¢ $3.9K +$4,950 10-16 12:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,502 $1,050 15¢ $3.0K +$1,914 10-22 15:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,202 $1,884 35¢ $2.5K +$636 10-27 15:02
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,582 $1,950 26¢ $2.3K +$324 10-27 19:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,976 -$2,007 70¢ $-2098 -$90 10-11 17:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,000 $3,068 42¢ $2.1K -$973 10-29 00:02
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29,658 -$2,753 6¢ $-1735 +$1,018 09-08 23:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -43,456 -$1,738 4¢ $-1651 +$87 05-28 18:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,125 $1,537 31¢ $1.6K +$52 10-26 16:01
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +136,728 $2,134 1¢ $1.6K -$561 10-31 16:57
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,552 $709 7¢ $1.5K +$813 10-24 05:15
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20,808 $917 7¢ $1.4K +$446 10-05 01:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,321 $1,857 20¢ $1.2K -$625 10-07 00:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,760 $1,101 28¢ $1.0K -$67 10-30 23:57
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,556 $1,000 16¢ $917 -$83 10-20 20:59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38,060 $1,567 2¢ $875 -$691 10-22 19:42
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +729 $138 99¢ $720 +$582 08-19 00:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,155 -$677 12¢ $-708 -$31 05-28 04:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,770 $523 10¢ $557 +$33 10-22 15:29
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,527 $500 4¢ $551 +$51 10-18 15:48
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +42,795 $584 1¢ $535 -$49 10-28 21:23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23,126 $307 2¢ $532 +$225 10-28 01:13
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,519 $500 3¢ $472 -$28 10-19 18:50
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +23,693 $626 2¢ $415 -$211 10-19 18:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6,763 $613 4¢ $304 -$308 08-25 22:15
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +26,467 $211 1¢ $265 +$54 09-21 19:13