Realized P&L
-$511
Unrealized P&L
+$13.7K
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
448
Trades
192,123
lifetime
Volume
$2.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.21M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-01 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
86% 96% -$2,138
Other
10% 97% -$58
Sports
5% 98% +$832
Crypto
0% 100% +$854
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3335 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -833,265 -$326,179 41¢ $-337889 -$11,710 11-01 05:30
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$78,060 17¢ $-141397 -$63,337 11-01 01:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$84,788 38¢ $-116964 -$32,176 10-27 22:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$171,010 35¢ $-108192 +$62,819 10-27 22:47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -824,344 -$172,703 12¢ $-103043 +$69,660 11-01 07:07
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$98,365 12¢ $-95933 +$2,432 11-01 00:24
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -845,050 -$5,167 7¢ $-59999 -$54,831 11-01 07:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -53,540 -$20,123 39¢ $-20640 -$516 08-02 11:18
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$18,890 2¢ $-20438 -$1,548 11-01 01:03
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$32,780 6¢ $-20007 +$12,773 10-27 23:46
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,204 -$26,935 2¢ $-16267 +$10,668 11-01 05:11
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -824,400 -$19,337 2¢ $-16076 +$3,262 11-01 07:07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$17,007 18¢ $-13772 +$3,235 10-24 22:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -14,700 -$10,485 91¢ $-13377 -$2,892 08-02 00:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$6,505 4¢ $-11696 -$5,191 10-27 23:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -53,540 -$13,032 21¢ $-11002 +$2,030 08-07 05:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$10,221 16¢ $-9663 +$558 10-14 01:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$9,030 13¢ $-9652 -$622 10-25 20:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$10,448 16¢ $-9575 +$873 10-10 12:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$8,294 15¢ $-8928 -$634 10-11 22:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$7,015 12¢ $-8927 -$1,912 10-24 17:47
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -832,001 -$17,108 1¢ $-7904 +$9,204 10-31 16:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$7,478 10¢ $-7516 -$38 10-25 03:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$8,881 10¢ $-7325 +$1,556 10-24 16:39
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,000 -$11,126 1¢ $-7089 +$4,037 10-31 21:58
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -824,599 -$6,227 1¢ $-7009 -$782 11-01 07:07
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -824,391 -$7,603 1¢ $-5359 +$2,245 11-01 07:07
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$7,839 0¢ $-4171 +$3,668 11-01 07:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$4,378 6¢ $-3436 +$942 10-08 16:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$2,988 4¢ $-3052 -$64 10-26 00:34