Realized P&L
-$511
Unrealized P&L
+$13.8K
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
448
Trades
192,090
lifetime
Volume
$2.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.20M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-01 01:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
86% 96% -$2,138
Other
10% 97% -$58
Sports
5% 98% +$832
Crypto
0% 100% +$854
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3335 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -832,701 -$325,950 41¢ $-337660 -$11,711 11-01 02:02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$78,060 17¢ $-141397 -$63,337 11-01 01:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$84,788 42¢ $-127737 -$42,949 10-27 22:46
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -822,234 -$172,428 14¢ $-111002 +$61,427 11-01 00:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$171,010 34¢ $-105575 +$65,435 10-27 22:47
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$98,365 12¢ $-95933 +$2,432 11-01 00:24
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -844,850 -$5,156 6¢ $-48156 -$43,001 10-31 23:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -53,540 -$20,123 39¢ $-20747 -$623 08-02 11:18
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,200 -$18,890 2¢ $-20438 -$1,548 11-01 01:03
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -822,200 -$19,297 2¢ $-15622 +$3,675 11-01 00:25
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -832,004 -$26,894 2¢ $-15392 +$11,501 10-31 13:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$17,007 18¢ $-14077 +$2,930 10-24 22:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$32,780 4¢ $-13851 +$18,929 10-27 23:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -14,700 -$10,485 91¢ $-13377 -$2,892 08-02 00:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -307,800 -$6,505 4¢ $-11081 -$4,576 10-27 23:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -53,540 -$13,032 21¢ $-11002 +$2,030 08-07 05:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$10,221 17¢ $-9721 +$499 10-14 01:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$9,030 13¢ $-9652 -$622 10-25 20:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$10,448 16¢ $-9369 +$1,079 10-10 12:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$8,294 15¢ $-8928 -$634 10-11 22:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$7,015 11¢ $-8469 -$1,455 10-24 17:47
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -832,001 -$17,108 1¢ $-7904 +$9,204 10-31 16:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$7,478 10¢ $-7554 -$76 10-25 03:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$8,881 10¢ $-7325 +$1,556 10-24 16:39
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -834,000 -$11,126 1¢ $-7089 +$4,037 10-31 21:58
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -822,401 -$6,210 1¢ $-6990 -$781 11-01 00:45
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -822,205 -$7,590 1¢ $-5344 +$2,246 11-01 02:37
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$4,378 6¢ $-3319 +$1,059 10-08 16:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -76,300 -$2,988 4¢ $-3090 -$103 10-26 00:34
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -58,740 -$2,989 5¢ $-2966 +$22 10-09 05:39