Verifiable-Serial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,003

lifetime

Volume

$59.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-09 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

11% 25% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	152	$17.3K	8,680	8,680	+0	open	—	06-18 11:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	217	$12.5K	6,241	6,291	-50	open	—	06-20 12:26
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	40	$9.9K	4,966	4,966	-0	open	—	06-17 19:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	230	$3.4K	1,795	1,795	+0	open	—	06-17 19:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$3.2K	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	06-17 19:21
bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	18	$3.2K	1,592	1,592	+0	open	—	06-25 21:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	6	$1.6K	811	811	+0	open	—	06-17 19:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	16	$791	405	405	+0	open	—	06-16 12:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	40	$635	320	320	+0	open	—	06-13 09:59
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	12	$604	302	302	+0	open	—	07-31 13:38
Trump out as President by June 30?	14	$602	303	303	+0	open	—	06-15 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$294	169	169	+0	open	—	05-03 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	5	$282	187	162	+25	open	—	05-03 11:24
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	2	$233	141	141	+0	open	—	04-30 18:42
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	2	$225	137	137	+0	open	—	05-01 20:07
tur fen riz 2026 04 17 fen	6	$199	218	214	+4	open	—	04-17 18:48
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	2	$187	98	98	+0	open	—	04-29 20:05
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	112	$178	93	92	+1	open	—	06-12 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	9	$169	169	159	+10	open	—	05-03 14:32
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	07-31 13:15
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-31 13:13
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-31 13:13
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-31 13:16
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	07-31 13:14
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	07-31 13:15
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	2	$75	51	51	+0	open	—	05-21 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	3	$61	112	112	+0	open	—	05-04 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$59	43	43	+0	open	—	05-02 19:31
btc updown 5m 1781370600	2	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	06-13 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	5	$50	81	31	+51	open	—	05-02 18:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 16:59:28	eth updown 5m 1786294500	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0b2070…
08-09 16:56:31	eth updown 5m 1786294500	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x900084…
08-09 16:54:03	eth updown 5m 1786294200	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xb82224…
08-09 16:52:24	eth updown 5m 1786294200	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x83e741…
08-09 16:49:00	eth updown 5m 1786293900	Down	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xbb0a2a…
08-09 16:47:18	eth updown 5m 1786293900	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa1f56e…
08-09 16:47:06	eth updown 5m 1786293900	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72afc5…
08-09 16:46:13	eth updown 5m 1786293900	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5823f5…
08-09 16:33:12	eth updown 5m 1786293000	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x6c0757…
08-09 16:32:10	eth updown 5m 1786293000	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb078f4…
08-04 08:52:36	sol updown 5m 1785833400	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x36ca14…
08-04 08:51:14	sol updown 5m 1785833400	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x34dd8b…
08-04 08:38:47	sol updown 5m 1785832500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa9a356…
08-04 08:31:18	sol updown 5m 1785832200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xffe3a8…
08-04 08:12:27	sol updown 5m 1785831000	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x8a54a1…
08-04 08:11:27	sol updown 5m 1785831000	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9a97e9…
08-04 08:10:54	sol updown 5m 1785831000	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x37baf2…
08-04 08:07:03	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2da3b4…
08-04 08:06:51	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x50d77f…
08-04 08:06:32	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe13b97…
08-04 08:06:23	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd15dc8…
07-31 13:38:50	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x06fa3b…
07-31 13:38:39	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57e7ba…
07-31 13:33:44	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb6c0b4…
07-31 13:33:33	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xd8ce56…
07-31 13:32:51	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe7a576…
07-31 13:32:42	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49bd0d…
07-31 13:31:54	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xcd45ad…
07-31 13:31:44	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x4c4c3e…
07-31 13:30:20	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf79628…
07-31 13:30:09	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3c5c9f…
07-31 13:18:29	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6b37ae…
07-31 13:17:44	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x33092d…
07-31 13:17:26	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x910208…
07-31 13:17:12	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x36014b…
07-31 13:16:47	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x519e69…
07-31 13:16:35	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3b844a…
07-31 13:15:57	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x433bec…
07-31 13:15:42	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xe35831…
07-31 13:15:24	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x0a27b9…
07-31 13:14:41	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x50c7b6…
07-31 13:14:18	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb75c6b…
07-31 13:14:08	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xadbb0f…
07-31 13:13:48	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x558566…
07-31 13:13:38	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc1c14…
07-31 13:13:17	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xba503c…
07-31 13:12:59	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xede682…
07-31 13:05:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa3b2ca…
07-31 13:05:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9db63c…
07-31 13:04:18	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xacbafb…
07-31 13:04:08	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x091f49…
07-31 12:58:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1bfdab…
07-31 12:58:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08bb6a…
07-31 12:57:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6b9d3e…
07-31 12:57:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa78404…
07-31 12:57:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3f8a1f…
07-31 12:56:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8d0f69…
07-31 12:56:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4eedf2…
07-31 12:56:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x97b0bc…
07-31 12:56:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb4a104…
07-31 12:55:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b2330…
07-31 12:55:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x99eb10…
07-31 12:55:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c3787…
07-31 12:54:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77fd1e…
07-31 12:54:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2b317…
07-13 15:07:37	eth updown 5m 1783955700	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x75c32b…
07-10 18:23:01	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xac12c0…
07-10 18:22:52	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe45cf…
07-10 18:19:34	dota2 ic vp 2026 07 10	Virtus.pro	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb0d713…
07-10 18:19:19	dota2 ic vp 2026 07 10	Virtus.pro	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x555578…
07-10 18:18:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf0e469…
07-10 18:18:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f247d…
07-10 18:18:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55049b…
07-10 18:18:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0917e…
07-07 18:28:10	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3bae37…
07-05 10:48:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c6afa…
07-05 10:48:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ec68d…
07-05 10:47:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xca2dc7…
07-05 10:47:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6846a2…
07-05 10:47:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x567205…
07-05 10:47:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x134455…
07-05 10:46:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0c17b…
07-05 10:46:44	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04084a…
07-05 10:46:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc4bf91…
07-05 10:46:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20e986…
07-05 10:38:59	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620557	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91d359…
07-05 10:38:26	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf5410…
07-05 10:38:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a832d…
07-05 10:37:46	cs2 b8 big5 2026 07 05	B8	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xa1c924…
07-05 10:37:34	cs2 b8 big5 2026 07 05	B8	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x19dcf2…
07-05 10:37:04	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xfff145…
07-05 10:36:53	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8a8c82…
07-05 10:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x781d51…
07-05 10:27:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb51a2b…
07-03 09:26:20	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3627c4…
07-03 09:26:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa78753…
07-03 09:26:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3a95cf…
07-03 09:25:52	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x19970d…
07-03 09:25:43	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbcbd96…
07-03 09:25:34	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x687d5f…