Realized P&L
-$144
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved
59
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$3.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$701
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-09 15:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
42% 75% -$98
Crypto
37% 78% +$13
Politics
21% 65% -$59
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 -$244 99¢ $-248 -$4 08-15 17:36
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -191 -$187 99¢ $-190 -$2 08-15 17:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -127 -$118 98¢ $-125 -$7 09-08 15:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -53 -$29 86¢ $-45 -$16 10-09 15:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -45 -$43 98¢ $-44 -$1 09-08 15:17
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$20 100¢ $-20 $0 09-13 18:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-01 15:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $9 90¢ $10 +$1 10-01 15:18
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -5 -$4 95¢ $-5 -$1 08-15 17:39
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? No +16 $12 27¢ $4 -$8 09-08 15:22