Alarming-Consent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$46

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-13 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-1

Sports

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+47	$46	98¢	$46	+$0	06-09 21:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$864	448	448	+0	open	—	03-21 07:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$734	381	381	+0	open	—	04-11 03:31
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$587	305	305	+0	open	—	03-16 04:13
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$569	306	306	+0	open	—	03-23 06:38
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$546	281	281	+0	open	—	03-19 00:00
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$403	210	210	+0	open	—	04-08 09:22
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$373	196	196	+0	open	—	03-29 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	7	$364	188	188	+0	open	—	05-20 18:53
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$298	153	153	+0	open	—	03-24 14:20
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$298	155	155	+0	open	—	03-28 17:11
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$298	159	159	+0	open	—	03-24 03:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	6	$294	152	152	+0	open	—	05-14 21:24
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$291	156	156	+0	open	—	03-28 22:33
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$288	159	159	+0	open	—	03-16 16:42
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$285	149	149	+0	open	—	03-12 06:07
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$285	147	147	+0	open	—	03-21 13:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$280	145	145	+0	open	—	03-22 22:41
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$279	146	146	+0	open	—	03-22 05:19
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$278	146	146	+0	open	—	03-17 15:32
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$277	145	145	+0	open	—	03-21 23:27
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$275	145	145	+0	open	—	03-17 22:47
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$274	140	140	+0	open	—	03-28 07:38
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$274	141	141	+0	open	—	03-14 21:24
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$274	141	141	+0	open	—	03-27 05:18
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$267	139	139	+0	open	—	03-20 23:02
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$267	138	138	+0	No	$-0	03-29 13:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$229	122	122	+0	open	—	06-11 05:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	4	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	05-13 17:29
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$205	108	108	+0	open	—	04-12 07:20
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 10:16:28	will czechia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149712	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8c8ec5…
06-12 13:53:45	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x20bbf9…
06-12 08:48:54	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6a02e7…
06-11 05:48:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x19afe1…
06-11 01:43:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xa3d0e4…
06-09 21:11:40	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xd3e326…
06-09 16:01:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	61	94¢	$58	0x7a0340…
06-09 09:00:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0x64b022…
06-09 08:20:52	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x9fb890…
06-07 08:24:48	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0xe8c35b…
06-04 01:28:49	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x448073…
06-03 16:19:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0x8fcee2…
06-03 09:16:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x4a5eec…
06-02 16:32:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xd9d7d6…
06-02 09:28:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xb211c5…
05-21 16:39:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xeca8b1…
05-21 10:37:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0x830a59…
05-20 18:53:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x40bd64…
05-20 11:52:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x2ce1bf…
05-20 11:20:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xf8da8f…
05-20 07:18:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xf8b391…
05-15 21:02:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x35921f…
05-15 15:18:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x701bf9…
05-15 14:55:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xf0d66c…
05-14 21:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xb75a3e…
05-14 14:21:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xb42456…
05-14 00:44:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0xbc764a…
05-13 17:38:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x2bc9a4…
05-13 17:29:20	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x4afbd7…
05-13 09:28:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xedf1e4…
05-12 00:52:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xb726bb…
05-11 18:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x998f82…
05-06 15:03:45	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0x87febb…
05-06 09:56:06	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0xdb001c…
05-06 09:48:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x1d452e…
05-06 05:45:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x0980a1…
05-05 14:18:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xa14e12…
05-05 09:29:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x916d09…
05-05 09:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	92¢	$43	0x52afb9…
05-04 14:32:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$47	0x8d2411…
05-04 07:28:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x65b420…
04-27 20:26:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$42	0x901b4d…
04-27 15:22:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x381af0…
04-24 13:03:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0xc086c6…
04-24 08:59:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xa334b6…
04-21 17:43:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x909eb6…
04-21 09:51:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x1f49f2…
04-14 17:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0x557f5b…
04-14 06:48:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0x2da1ee…
04-14 04:03:51	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x73c248…
04-13 20:19:55	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$64	0x947df5…
04-12 14:27:37	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	63	91¢	$57	0xe2c79a…
04-12 07:56:17	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0x9a450f…
04-12 07:20:43	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x7d16b9…
04-11 23:24:09	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x944193…
04-11 23:16:29	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x86d9d6…
04-11 23:15:37	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbf995e…
04-11 23:11:21	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xae1d57…
04-11 23:11:21	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa8f92f…
04-11 23:03:33	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x5c983b…
04-11 18:55:11	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x07b5dd…
04-11 03:31:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x4ae76f…
04-10 21:31:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x05fff4…
04-10 21:28:03	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x68823c…
04-10 15:20:07	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcd288d…
04-09 04:54:09	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x1574b6…
04-08 20:48:27	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x5ba9a7…
04-08 09:22:57	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x10d419…
04-08 05:20:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xbd5792…
04-07 15:24:35	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x325b77…
04-07 09:19:37	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x6fb31c…
04-07 09:07:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xd9bae2…
04-07 03:01:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x014702…
04-06 19:47:17	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x3e8bcf…
04-06 15:59:11	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3172c9…
04-06 15:43:27	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x911ec4…
04-06 00:15:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xa4f976…
04-05 18:15:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x394dc7…
04-03 16:06:17	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x9f6278…
04-03 08:51:03	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x984f96…
04-03 08:27:37	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x790ee8…
04-03 00:26:11	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x2efced…
04-01 14:16:59	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x701c07…
04-01 06:10:11	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xf34b6e…
03-31 20:36:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	97¢	$62	0x61c936…
03-31 15:24:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xde0f8f…
03-31 14:13:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x1c2611…
03-31 07:09:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x07258b…
03-30 20:47:27	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x134a7f…
03-30 12:01:10	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x4bdc11…
03-30 12:01:08	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4fa5e2…
03-29 18:26:18	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	148	95¢	$141	0x7cf8ab…
03-29 13:26:04	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	148	95¢	$141	0xbb7a55…
03-29 13:04:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$133	0x3fe75b…
03-29 12:10:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	138	97¢	$133	0xea5a8b…
03-29 06:55:38	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x94f1d6…
03-28 22:53:52	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x475d10…
03-28 22:33:02	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	156	92¢	$143	0xa38e2e…
03-28 17:28:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	156	95¢	$148	0xdca6c7…
03-28 17:11:59	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	155	96¢	$149	0x16ddb3…