Frightened-Instance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$336

Open exposure

$1.96K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-09 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% -$2

Politics

0% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,643	-$1,611	100¢	$-1640	-$29	08-10 07:36
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-209	-$203	99¢	$-207	-$4	08-10 07:36
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-114	-$112	100¢	$-114	-$2	08-10 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	11-09 02:22
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$1.7K	1,760	0	+1,760	No	+$10	01-06 07:21
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.6K	0	1,643	-1,643	open	—	08-10 07:36
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$203	0	209	-209	open	—	08-10 07:36
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$112	0	114	-114	open	—	08-10 07:35
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 08:07
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$5	45	0	+45	No	-$5	01-06 07:21
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$5	21	0	+21	No	-$5	01-06 07:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	01-06 07:20
bitcoin up or down january 6 2am et	1	$2	9	0	+9	Down	-$2	01-06 07:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	05-12 08:10
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	02-25 05:35
will trump say maga or make america great again this week january 11	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	01-06 07:11
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	03-23 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 02:22:43	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,008	100¢	$1,005	0xf3382c…
08-10 07:56:39	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$1,000	0xeaf046…
08-10 07:36:52	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	209	97¢	$203	0xcf0925…
08-10 07:36:21	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,643	98¢	$1,611	0x73e26f…
08-10 07:35:48	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	98¢	$112	0x331833…
05-12 08:10:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7b1159…
05-12 08:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x411256…
05-12 08:07:32	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf461dc…
03-23 07:42:39	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x02970e…
03-23 07:41:43	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x5ac7b8…
02-25 05:35:58	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd121d5…
01-06 07:21:49	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	1,760	99¢	$1,750	0x079ab3…
01-06 07:21:09	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc1f2a9…
01-06 07:20:49	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd13281…
01-06 07:20:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeeb25c…
01-06 07:11:07	will trump say maga or make america great again this week january 11	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0244fc…
01-06 07:09:47	bitcoin up or down january 6 2am et	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x124068…