United-Harpooner-Netbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-03 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

33% 0% $-1

Other

32% 100% +$0

Crypto

23% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+50	$49	99¢	$49	+$0	06-15 09:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	16	$896	468	468	+0	open	—	03-21 04:39
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	8	$756	389	389	+0	open	—	04-19 12:21
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	5	$636	331	331	+0	open	—	03-17 10:09
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$587	303	303	+0	open	—	03-26 08:10
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$579	303	303	+0	open	—	03-25 02:58
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	5	$577	303	303	-0	open	—	03-30 08:42
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	5	$564	295	295	+0	open	—	03-19 13:58
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$393	204	204	+0	open	—	04-09 19:11
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$380	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 08:34
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-10 19:37
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$312	159	159	+0	open	—	03-13 10:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$311	163	163	+0	No	$-1	03-12 16:14
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$310	160	160	+0	open	—	03-11 20:19
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$310	162	162	+0	open	—	03-15 05:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$302	160	160	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 07:29
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-25 19:56
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$290	153	153	+0	open	—	03-20 21:43
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$284	148	148	+0	open	—	03-17 17:03
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$284	148	148	+0	open	—	03-28 07:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$274	142	142	+0	open	—	03-29 07:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$271	139	139	+0	open	—	03-27 18:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$230	127	127	+0	open	—	06-18 17:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$214	121	121	-0	open	—	05-29 15:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	04-07 14:03
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$202	106	106	+0	open	—	04-02 05:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$188	97	97	+0	open	—	04-18 06:37
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$184	95	95	+0	open	—	04-09 13:43
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$169	90	90	+0	open	—	03-22 06:52
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$142	74	74	+0	open	—	06-21 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:51:29	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0xba290f…
07-02 23:46:47	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$59	0x7b57f5…
06-23 20:16:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0xe98d15…
06-23 12:10:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0xf06bed…
06-21 22:37:37	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x63be17…
06-21 18:36:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xa71734…
06-21 18:03:41	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0xd66986…
06-21 14:00:25	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0xe509bd…
06-21 06:55:31	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x860bfc…
06-20 23:54:10	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$71	0xcab402…
06-20 23:20:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0x02aa7d…
06-20 19:17:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x8e9daa…
06-19 17:21:55	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	74	94¢	$69	0x2b8625…
06-19 09:20:35	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	74	94¢	$69	0x8d4c03…
06-18 17:34:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	74	90¢	$66	0x5bcf29…
06-18 09:32:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	74	91¢	$67	0x0a6527…
06-15 09:48:48	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x34b153…
06-15 09:14:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0xeceff9…
06-15 05:12:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x7d16b6…
06-14 18:23:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0x66bdb8…
06-14 13:43:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xa23536…
06-14 09:41:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0x23e911…
06-13 17:53:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0x2eb1a2…
06-13 12:50:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0x8dde03…
06-09 20:07:58	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xec311e…
06-09 08:06:46	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xd1da66…
06-07 11:37:27	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xd60b05…
06-07 05:27:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x4dd31c…
06-06 21:23:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xca0de5…
06-02 22:34:49	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0x448bd5…
06-02 17:32:32	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x1c010d…
05-29 15:03:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	85¢	$46	0xc8c467…
05-29 06:57:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x64027f…
05-28 18:09:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	84¢	$57	0x4ed053…
05-28 10:03:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x394425…
05-25 10:17:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0xe1af0f…
05-22 23:28:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xbb2303…
05-22 18:25:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x598db6…
05-18 00:45:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x6ecb0e…
05-17 16:42:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x406062…
05-12 15:39:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x0ac2d6…
05-12 09:38:53	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6aa951…
05-12 01:24:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xb6d5b0…
05-11 18:21:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x768fbf…
05-06 01:32:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xb44954…
05-05 18:29:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xba336e…
05-04 05:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x6a709a…
05-02 14:41:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xd4f93f…
05-02 08:36:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xb3039c…
04-27 13:55:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x20e83d…
04-27 09:52:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x398468…
04-19 12:21:10	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x8ae9f8…
04-19 02:57:02	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xcaa16c…
04-18 06:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xcac021…
04-18 02:11:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x035fe6…
04-15 03:07:14	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x0820ae…
04-14 21:13:12	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x43f667…
04-14 21:13:10	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x9132e7…
04-13 07:14:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0x7e1672…
04-13 01:58:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x225cc5…
04-13 00:31:09	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xdd65ea…
04-12 19:23:13	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0x75ed44…
04-12 18:53:55	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$66	0x93ccac…
04-12 11:56:35	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x2f5442…
04-12 10:43:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x212e23…
04-12 06:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x954ff9…
04-12 06:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xf103b6…
04-12 05:58:23	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x9ddd49…
04-11 22:57:25	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x293b78…
04-10 22:49:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xaef90a…
04-10 14:49:17	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0xfa67d3…
04-10 04:46:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x311323…
04-09 19:43:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x7a7899…
04-09 19:11:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xed37fb…
04-09 15:01:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x17a9ca…
04-09 13:43:05	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0xd0218c…
04-09 08:16:47	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x4f08c5…
04-09 06:59:27	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x6d8665…
04-09 02:49:47	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x3aae5c…
04-07 14:03:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x557b47…
04-07 09:55:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x4bb37c…
04-07 01:20:23	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x0c637f…
04-06 17:18:43	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xcfa8ac…
04-06 17:06:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$56	0x12764b…
04-06 12:05:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xb18e89…
04-04 08:34:21	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x599201…
04-04 00:30:21	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x571197…
04-03 07:47:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xdec8b0…
04-03 00:42:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfdc263…
04-02 07:58:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x52db39…
04-02 07:20:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x063782…
04-02 06:35:39	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x5ec66a…
04-02 06:13:57	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xf92874…
04-02 05:26:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x882f24…
04-02 05:25:59	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	54	96¢	$51	0x700ec0…
04-02 05:22:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x05eb91…
04-02 05:22:01	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0x964a42…
04-02 05:15:07	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x6c21ce…
04-01 21:09:59	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x483d24…
03-30 18:44:57	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xc6351f…