Heartfelt-Stew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.00K

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$198.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$952

Open exposure

$60.1K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-28 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 73% -$116

Other

29% 86% -$916

Sports

0% 100% +$11

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+27,151	$24,513	97¢	$26.3K	+$1,742	10-26 13:34
OKX IPO in 2026?	No	+12,887	$12,243	96¢	$12.4K	+$116	09-29 12:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+7,872	$7,568	96¢	$7.6K	-$14	10-26 13:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+7,623	$7,353	96¢	$7.3K	-$24	10-24 23:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+5,321	$5,130	97¢	$5.2K	+$23	09-29 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,455	$1,262	97¢	$1.4K	+$154	10-27 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$92.3K	62,224	35,073	+27,151	open	—	10-26 13:34
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$16.7K	9,398	7,943	+1,455	open	—	10-27 22:22
OKX IPO in 2026?	1	$12.2K	12,887	0	+12,887	open	—	09-29 12:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	5	$7.6K	7,872	0	+7,872	open	—	10-26 13:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$7.4K	7,623	0	+7,623	open	—	10-24 23:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	3	$7.3K	6,456	1,135	+5,321	open	—	09-29 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$7.0K	3,629	3,629	+0	open	—	10-15 06:00
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	10	$3.3K	1,673	1,673	+0	No	+$31	10-10 04:03
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$2.8K	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$2	03-07 13:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	2	$2.5K	1,265	1,265	+0	No	+$10	09-26 12:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	3	$2.5K	800	1,721	-921	No	-$7	06-12 01:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$2.5K	1,257	1,257	+0	No	-$1	09-16 00:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$2.5K	1,256	1,256	+0	No	+$12	09-05 00:32
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	17	$2.5K	1,336	1,325	+12	Yes	+$81	03-05 02:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,125	1,125	+0	Yes	+$5	06-17 18:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$4	06-27 09:05
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$2.2K	1,107	1,107	+0	No	-$1	03-10 15:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$2.1K	1,090	1,090	+0	No	+$17	08-11 15:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	7	$2.0K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	10-28 03:28
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$1.7K	857	857	+0	No	-$2	03-02 14:03
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$1.4K	721	721	+0	No	+$11	02-23 07:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	1,252	0	+1,252	Yes	+$150	09-16 00:56
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$1.0K	1,277	0	+1,277	No	-$1,034	06-12 01:42
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	2	$909	461	460	+0	Suns	+$11	04-18 08:08
will bnb dip to 300 in february	9	$881	446	445	+1	No	+$8	02-24 19:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	4	$876	443	443	+0	No	+$6	05-19 11:21
will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of february 2026	1	$737	738	0	+738	Yes	+$1	02-27 11:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$676	342	342	+0	No	+$2	06-04 09:47
will silver si settle over 55 on the final trading day of february 2026	5	$516	260	260	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 22:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$489	260	259	+1	No	+$22	04-18 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:28:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	921	97¢	$897	0x45bcad…
10-27 22:22:56	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf8418c…
10-27 22:06:38	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x070508…
10-27 21:42:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xfdc7a6…
10-27 21:37:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x762cc5…
10-27 17:06:35	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x96af37…
10-27 11:47:47	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$487	0x615dca…
10-27 04:34:17	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xdc7391…
10-27 02:42:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa98477…
10-27 02:08:38	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xd33f9c…
10-27 01:01:36	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe225bc…
10-26 22:22:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x685f16…
10-26 17:54:30	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8840ee…
10-26 15:47:35	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xd37a31…
10-26 13:37:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	96¢	$1,056	0xdb96f1…
10-26 13:34:59	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35,063	97¢	$33,905	0x0a9ea8…
10-26 13:33:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x7672fc…
10-26 13:32:14	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,381	97¢	$7,189	0x8de03b…
10-24 23:59:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1a57cd…
10-20 06:37:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xc664de…
10-16 00:24:28	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6bb7e6…
10-15 06:11:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	790	95¢	$754	0x255c6e…
10-15 06:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	818	97¢	$795	0xb530f1…
10-15 06:00:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,573	97¢	$1,531	0x933a40…
10-11 10:43:08	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,091	96¢	$1,999	0xbd621f…
10-11 10:41:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,056	97¢	$2,001	0x37513b…
10-10 07:13:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,756	96¢	$1,678	0x65b57b…
10-10 04:03:28	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x30698b…
10-10 04:00:06	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6a333…
10-10 04:00:04	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfeab45…
10-10 04:00:04	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc5b661…
10-10 04:00:04	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0x94db69…
10-08 00:37:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x9771bc…
10-03 12:17:54	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6054d7…
10-01 13:13:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x93727a…
09-29 13:13:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1,030	92¢	$947	0xd6090e…
09-29 13:01:56	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,893	97¢	$2,803	0x794764…
09-29 12:59:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6,762	97¢	$6,532	0x1f15bc…
09-29 12:57:12	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	5,321	97¢	$5,145	0xb11f64…
09-29 12:55:44	bitcoin up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	267	93¢	$248	0x5ab1d8…
09-29 12:54:32	OKX IPO in 2026?	No	BUY	12,887	95¢	$12,243	0xed8c9f…
09-29 12:53:26	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	392	98¢	$386	0x3b6e1e…
09-29 12:52:36	LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	1,268	98¢	$1,241	0x46f0e5…
09-29 11:54:53	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,606	97¢	$3,484	0x63d568…
09-29 11:54:06	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,222	96¢	$4,998	0x55c79f…
09-29 11:53:03	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,358	96¢	$3,207	0x6a6d26…
09-29 05:32:47	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2639dc…
09-29 05:32:45	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x070530…
09-29 01:23:57	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x252a85…
09-29 01:23:02	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62,108	94¢	$58,319	0x5448fe…
09-26 12:56:23	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	1,265	100¢	$1,262	0xca61cb…
09-17 01:54:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,265	99¢	$1,252	0x68656f…
09-16 00:56:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,252	88¢	$1,102	0xe5545f…
09-16 00:56:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,120	99¢	$1,110	0xca4987…
09-05 03:38:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x151492…
09-05 03:03:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	427	99¢	$424	0x674bbd…
09-05 02:48:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	316	99¢	$314	0x541eeb…
09-05 00:32:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	328	99¢	$326	0x23898e…
09-05 00:32:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,117	100¢	$1,112	0x358fc8…
08-30 01:25:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x4a32e6…
08-28 16:58:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0xcba04a…
08-15 11:52:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x1e285b…
08-15 11:52:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	211	74¢	$156	0xe2cdc5…
08-13 13:05:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	822	99¢	$813	0x8b5e14…
08-11 15:55:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	818	99¢	$813	0xdfdee4…
08-09 03:46:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	211	63¢	$133	0x406d0a…
08-07 14:39:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x5d461e…
07-31 00:54:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$135	0xd3bcc1…
07-29 18:53:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x946a42…
07-29 18:53:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x48cda6…
07-16 11:36:55	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$60	0xbb9c6a…
07-15 02:28:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0x5718ba…
07-14 12:31:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x4af050…
07-14 12:31:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xb3c876…
07-14 10:47:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x463f2e…
07-14 10:47:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0cd05c…
07-14 10:47:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x0540b9…
07-13 06:58:44	Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x442e89…
07-10 19:33:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xfc74cb…
07-06 12:29:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,090	98¢	$1,065	0x57d36f…
07-03 18:44:19	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1,135	94¢	$1,066	0x50ec79…
07-01 00:32:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xf5983c…
06-27 12:05:38	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1,135	93¢	$1,051	0x2b7fb1…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,110	100¢	$1,109	0xb07ef7…
06-17 23:24:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,104	0x4cbfa5…
06-17 18:00:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,106	100¢	$1,105	0x157200…
06-14 02:20:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,100	0x5fda6a…
06-12 01:42:09	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1,277	81¢	$1,034	0x6d6b4b…
06-12 01:34:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd92160…
06-12 01:34:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0xca47bd…
06-12 01:34:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xb58ef8…
06-12 01:33:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$794	0x02fbab…
06-06 05:31:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$183	0x50d4b6…
06-05 16:09:42	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xaed6a2…
06-05 10:04:36	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x60f40c…
06-05 09:32:15	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9722fd…
06-05 09:08:48	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7ddae5…
06-05 08:56:45	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf8b998…
06-05 08:51:28	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x667e63…
06-05 08:02:52	will wti reach 115 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa18bf8…