(anonymous) 0x1f3292…077bce
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$348
Unrealized P&L
-$87
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
36
Trades
876
lifetime
Volume
$54.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$51.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
68% — —
Other
16% — —
Sports
16% 58% +$348
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +9,218 $7,809 83¢ $7.7K -$116 10-17 18:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6,472 $6,236 97¢ $6.3K +$26 10-09 11:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,816 $6,032 86¢ $5.8K -$204 10-16 12:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,303 $4,878 92¢ $4.9K +$27 10-20 01:16
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +3,959 $3,838 97¢ $3.9K +$12 10-18 06:57
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,703 $3,277 88¢ $3.3K $0 10-10 09:28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,735 $2,619 96¢ $2.6K +$10 10-19 14:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,551 $2,325 90¢ $2.3K -$26 10-26 22:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,558 $2,138 82¢ $2.1K -$42 10-26 10:06
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,670 $1,641 99¢ $1.7K +$14 09-26 05:00
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,674 $1,573 94¢ $1.6K -$8 10-26 20:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,218 $1,443 17¢ $1.5K +$83 10-16 14:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,397 $1,364 98¢ $1.4K +$4 10-25 23:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6,562 $771 15¢ $951 +$180 10-19 09:09
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +892 $841 95¢ $847 +$6 10-20 12:04
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +700 $676 97¢ $683 +$7 10-17 14:35
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +559 $544 97¢ $544 +$0 10-26 13:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,513 $426 18¢ $454 +$28 10-27 03:36
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,703 $432 12¢ $426 -$6 10-06 19:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +5,303 $436 8¢ $398 -$38 10-17 06:52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +269 $262 98¢ $262 -$1 09-18 10:46
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +271 $261 96¢ $259 -$2 10-22 00:56
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +263 $257 98¢ $257 +$0 10-20 09:05
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +254 $244 96¢ $243 -$1 09-18 09:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +245 $231 94¢ $232 +$1 10-25 09:23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +6,472 $263 3¢ $210 -$53 10-09 00:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,018 $177 10¢ $199 +$22 10-26 21:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +216 $199 92¢ $198 -$1 10-22 06:37
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,690 $98 6¢ $110 +$12 10-27 04:44
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,959 $128 3¢ $109 -$19 10-19 11:02