Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$84
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
29
1,008 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.58K
$62.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$59.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 22:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
66% — —
Other
17% — —
Sports
15% 58% +$348
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +9,218 $7,809 84¢ $7.8K -$52 10-17 18:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6,472 $6,236 97¢ $6.3K +$48 10-09 11:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,816 $6,032 85¢ $5.8K -$238 10-16 12:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,303 $4,878 94¢ $5.0K +$133 10-20 01:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,701 $4,285 90¢ $4.2K -$38 10-29 23:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5,121 $4,245 79¢ $4.1K -$177 10-30 03:08
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +3,959 $3,838 97¢ $3.9K +$20 10-18 06:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3,439 $3,359 98¢ $3.4K -$5 10-30 05:29
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,703 $3,277 88¢ $3.3K $0 10-10 09:28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,735 $2,619 96¢ $2.6K +$5 10-19 14:01
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,175 $2,039 94¢ $2.0K -$6 10-30 17:47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,670 $1,641 98¢ $1.6K +$1 09-26 05:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,218 $1,443 16¢ $1.5K +$18 10-16 14:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,106 $891 21¢ $1.0K +$159 10-31 03:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6,562 $771 15¢ $984 +$213 10-19 09:09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +945 $919 97¢ $920 +$0 10-29 12:49
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +892 $841 95¢ $847 +$6 10-20 12:04
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +700 $676 97¢ $683 +$7 10-17 14:35
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +545 $520 95¢ $520 $0 10-30 14:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,701 $422 10¢ $454 +$31 10-30 06:41
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,703 $432 12¢ $426 -$6 10-06 19:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +395 $371 94¢ $373 +$2 10-29 17:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +5,303 $436 6¢ $292 -$144 10-17 06:52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +269 $262 97¢ $262 -$1 09-18 10:46
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +263 $257 98¢ $256 $0 10-20 09:05
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +254 $244 96¢ $243 -$1 09-18 09:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +216 $199 94¢ $202 +$3 10-22 06:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +6,472 $263 3¢ $188 -$76 10-09 00:17
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +150 $141 94¢ $142 +$0 10-30 22:26
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,072 $121 6¢ $135 +$14 10-27 11:37