Realized P&L
+$776
Unrealized P&L
-$200
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
19
Trades
994
lifetime
Volume
$72.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$66.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 14:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
49% 100% +$1
Sports
37% 67% +$775
Other
13% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,315 $8,340 90¢ $8.4K +$15 10-29 15:16
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,612 $8,270 84¢ $8.0K -$220 10-29 15:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8,025 $6,821 85¢ $6.8K -$36 10-19 02:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6,679 $6,395 96¢ $6.4K +$26 10-29 11:52
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +5,478 $5,310 97¢ $5.3K +$25 10-19 06:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,189 $5,122 84¢ $5.2K +$65 10-19 05:02
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,111 $4,852 93¢ $4.7K -$119 10-19 20:53
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,803 $3,698 97¢ $3.7K +$4 10-10 03:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,885 $2,509 88¢ $2.5K +$16 10-27 07:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,705 $2,332 90¢ $2.4K +$116 10-06 21:08
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,461 $2,317 95¢ $2.3K +$26 10-20 01:00
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,210 $1,334 16¢ $1.5K +$163 10-29 14:57
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,351 $1,320 98¢ $1.3K +$3 10-28 05:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,025 $1,226 15¢ $1.2K +$14 10-19 14:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,189 $1,085 16¢ $1.0K -$82 10-19 22:12
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,933 $970 10¢ $920 -$50 10-29 02:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +697 $674 98¢ $681 +$7 10-22 03:00
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +654 $636 97¢ $636 +$0 10-29 12:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $468 94¢ $472 +$5 10-19 05:01
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $435 86¢ $432 -$2 10-17 14:07
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +5,111 $298 7¢ $378 +$80 10-19 04:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,017 $402 12¢ $377 -$25 10-29 10:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,705 $373 10¢ $257 -$116 10-09 23:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +6,398 $278 4¢ $246 -$31 10-29 05:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +221 $194 82¢ $182 -$12 09-30 14:18
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,478 $174 3¢ $142 -$32 10-19 11:02
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,461 $149 5¢ $118 -$31 10-18 10:51
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,803 $115 3¢ $101 -$15 10-09 03:18
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 14¢ $67 -$2 10-13 19:37
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +221 $29 18¢ $39 +$10 09-27 08:43