Realized P&L
-$282
Unrealized P&L
-$256
Hit rate
22.4%
Resolved
19
Trades
241
lifetime
Volume
$4.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$176
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 10-28 12:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
54% 17% +$206
Other
45% 23% -$488
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +100 $47 42¢ $42 -$4 10-17 00:51
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +400 $26 8¢ $30 +$4 10-17 17:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $18 28¢ $28 +$9 10-16 19:59
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +4,350 $76 1¢ $24 -$52 10-12 17:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +250 $61 3¢ $8 -$54 10-01 07:17
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $8 8¢ $7 $0 10-23 05:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +2,289 $165 0¢ $7 -$158 10-01 19:53
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $6 3¢ $7 +$0 10-28 11:08
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $5 3¢ $5 $0 10-24 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $6 1¢ $4 -$2 10-24 08:41
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $3 1¢ $4 +$0 10-27 19:12
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $3 1¢ $3 $0 10-27 14:41
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 10-25 13:09
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-27 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-28 12:41
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 08:32