Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
870
Trades
969
lifetime
Volume
$2.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$52
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 21:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
84% 83% +$25
Sports
7% 85% +$3
Politics
6% 89% $0
Tech
2% 91% +$1
Crypto
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-08 16:16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-08 11:48
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-21 19:43
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-08 16:12
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-03 16:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 11-02 12:07
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-12 05:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 12:14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-28 14:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 20:00
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 07-01 15:12
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-12 05:34
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-28 14:34
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-02 12:15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-11 21:15
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-31 10:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-30 18:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-27 13:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 09-30 18:40
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-30 18:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1 $1 62¢ $1 $0 07-01 15:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-02 18:41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-31 19:34