Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
31.3%
Resolved
1,285
Trades
6,486
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$4
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 04:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
98% 18% +$46
Sports
1% 23% -$4
Crypto
0% 6% -$27
Politics
0% 18% +$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +14 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 09-14 21:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 10-14 12:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 11-04 04:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-31 18:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +50 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 12:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-02 23:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-15 07:31