Shameful-Grabbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$743

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-05 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 36% $-17

Politics

7% 0% $-1

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	12	$49	62	43	+19	Down	$-1	05-05 19:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$21	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$17	20	20	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	8	$15	77	5	+71	Up	$-5	05-05 20:57
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	8	$13	16	16	+0	Yes	$-1	05-02 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$13	22	14	+8	Down	+$1	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$13	20	9	+11	Up	+$4	05-05 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$13	20	9	+11	Up	+$4	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$10	507	0	+507	Down	$-10	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-05 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$8	15	14	+1	Down	$-2	05-05 19:50
btc updown 5m 1776733800	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 01:13
btc updown 5m 1776735000	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 01:31
xrp updown 5m 1776841800	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 07:14
xrp updown 5m 1776847200	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 08:44
sol updown 5m 1776852600	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 10:14
eth updown 5m 1776842700	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 07:29
xrp updown 5m 1776864900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 13:39
sol updown 5m 1776851100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 09:49
sol updown 5m 1776848400	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 09:04
btc updown 5m 1776745200	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 04:24
xrp updown 5m 1776856500	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 11:19
btc updown 5m 1776846900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 22:33
eth updown 5m 1776852000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 10:04
sol updown 5m 1776852000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 10:04
sol updown 5m 1776853500	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 10:29
sol updown 5m 1776869400	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 14:54
sol updown 5m 1776856500	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:00:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x846e32…
05-05 21:00:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd26c0f…
05-05 20:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x571f6c…
05-05 20:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x82c642…
05-05 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x930ffe…
05-05 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x4174a7…
05-05 20:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xff2e45…
05-05 20:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x14e4d0…
05-05 20:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb37cd4…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaa87ec…
05-05 20:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x54e679…
05-05 20:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc822b6…
05-05 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd53725…
05-05 20:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xd30014…
05-05 20:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc45e3c…
05-05 20:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x897d8e…
05-05 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xa2273f…
05-05 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x4b89cb…
05-05 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x803490…
05-05 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x70d6b9…
05-05 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xf243e0…
05-05 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe0acb5…
05-05 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xdd0632…
05-05 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xbb0c1f…
05-05 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x760a22…
05-05 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x286fd2…
05-05 19:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc4d5e7…
05-05 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xe3e7b5…
05-05 19:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xbdd7ac…
05-05 19:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7e3330…
05-05 19:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x718949…
05-05 19:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb7f0ab…
05-05 19:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x354534…
05-05 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xa66339…
05-05 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x706cdd…
05-05 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x6fdc57…
05-05 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa77e0c…
05-05 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9a20c7…
05-05 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x4c212f…
05-05 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xe249f8…
05-05 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd7504a…
05-05 19:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcc7b4f…
05-05 19:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x7d8586…
05-05 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x5ba035…
05-05 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd8b9cb…
05-05 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7cfa5e…
05-05 19:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x3b080f…
05-05 19:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x80309d…
05-05 19:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xb4bfe2…
05-05 19:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3935eb…
05-05 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd67f6c…
05-05 18:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8d0da3…
05-04 15:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x579bf0…
05-02 15:56:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x002b51…
05-02 14:57:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa7d316…
05-02 14:57:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x98a0e6…
05-02 09:03:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xfb205d…
05-02 09:03:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x5bf7f6…
05-02 09:03:10	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0xbaaf9d…
05-02 08:33:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa32a73…
05-02 08:18:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x53e91e…
05-02 08:05:36	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda31b4…
05-02 08:05:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x499815…
05-02 07:06:44	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8dfb06…
05-02 06:36:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x779781…
05-02 06:18:40	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7b54a7…
05-02 04:22:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xff6222…
05-02 04:12:28	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x90f1e7…
05-02 04:06:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb95541…
05-02 03:47:06	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcb230a…
05-02 01:43:04	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfa375b…
05-02 00:42:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd21150…
05-02 00:42:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x28c1eb…
05-01 23:51:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xbef9ff…
05-01 23:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c7e93…
05-01 23:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfd6952…
05-01 23:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf71229…
05-01 23:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdf32ee…
05-01 23:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x809e31…
05-01 23:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x35d28c…
05-01 23:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1f2445…
05-01 23:42:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd8c265…
05-01 23:42:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd12d07…
05-01 23:42:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb690a7…
05-01 23:42:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x36b10b…
05-01 07:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9775ae…
04-30 08:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9350a1…
04-30 01:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xacf38a…
04-29 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37f389…
04-26 11:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54873c…
04-24 06:34:54	btc updown 5m 1777012200	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x019bfa…
04-23 12:44:36	bnb updown 15m 1776947400	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x66c4d6…
04-23 12:34:34	btc updown 5m 1776947400	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x973d97…
04-23 10:34:34	xrp updown 5m 1776940200	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1903c8…
04-23 08:39:34	btc updown 5m 1776933300	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8035eb…
04-23 07:59:42	btc updown 5m 1776930900	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9366d8…
04-23 07:49:38	bnb updown 5m 1776930300	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xfce7f7…
04-23 07:09:34	btc updown 5m 1776927900	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5110cb…
04-23 06:34:34	btc updown 5m 1776925800	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb3cfa5…
04-23 06:19:34	btc updown 5m 1776924900	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcb9753…