Icky-Soulmate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$796

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$191.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.07K

Open exposure

$21.5K

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-24 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

69% 85% +$2,600

Politics

31% 83% +$1,176

Crypto

0% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+9,258	$9,200	100¢	$9.3K	+$58	10-24 19:58
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	+5,208	$5,000	98¢	$5.1K	+$129	10-20 23:33
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+5,000	$4,000	88¢	$4.4K	+$425	10-19 00:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+2,356	$2,000	94¢	$2.2K	+$203	10-14 00:30
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	+880	$500	55¢	$480	-$20	10-15 20:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$40.9K	20,585	20,585	+0	No	+$103	07-29 11:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$20.9K	11,111	11,111	+0	No	+$922	05-26 21:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$20.3K	10,320	10,320	+0	No	+$300	05-01 01:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	4	$18.6K	19,457	0	+19,457	No	+$891	06-08 14:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$18.1K	9,223	9,223	+0	Yes	+$142	10-24 19:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$11.1K	11,376	1,138	+10,238	No	+$1,355	03-31 14:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$10.7K	10,864	0	+10,864	No	+$164	04-10 16:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$10.1K	5,319	5,319	+0	No	+$110	03-28 19:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	1	$9.2K	9,258	0	+9,258	open	—	10-24 19:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	1	$5.0K	5,073	0	+5,073	Yes	+$73	10-14 00:29
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	1	$5.0K	5,208	0	+5,208	open	—	10-20 23:33
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	1	$4.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-19 00:00
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	3	$4.0K	4,856	0	+4,856	Nothing	+$856	07-29 11:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$2.6K	1,471	1,471	+0	No	+$304	05-31 16:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2.0K	2,356	0	+2,356	open	—	10-14 00:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$2.0K	2,176	0	+2,176	Yes	+$176	10-15 20:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.6K	2,725	2,725	+0	Yes	-$654	04-04 08:09
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	3	$1.6K	5,313	1,381	+3,932	No	-$1,043	07-29 17:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$1000	1,083	0	+1,083	Yes	+$83	10-16 19:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$923	982	0	+982	No	+$59	05-26 21:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	1	$500	880	0	+880	open	—	10-15 20:12
will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	1	$500	526	0	+526	No	+$26	08-12 21:15
will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	1	$300	408	0	+408	Yes	+$108	08-12 21:14
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	1	$200	341	0	+341	No	-$200	08-12 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$17	40	0	+40	Down	-$17	10-24 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	10-24 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$7	17	0	+17	Up	+$10	10-24 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	-$3	10-24 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 22:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xfcae63…
10-24 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xc1a299…
10-24 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x175fd8…
10-24 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcfbf50…
10-24 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8397f1…
10-24 19:58:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	9,258	99¢	$9,200	0xa75969…
10-24 19:58:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	9,223	99¢	$9,142	0xb9ed76…
10-22 19:17:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	4,064	98¢	$4,000	0xba8873…
10-22 15:50:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5,159	97¢	$5,000	0x3f0d61…
10-20 23:33:54	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	5,208	96¢	$5,000	0xfb95a8…
10-19 00:00:14	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5,000	80¢	$4,000	0x45edc6…
10-16 19:23:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,083	92¢	$1,000	0xbf71e1…
10-15 20:12:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	880	57¢	$500	0x3b11db…
10-15 20:11:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,176	92¢	$2,000	0x747672…
10-14 00:30:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,356	85¢	$2,000	0xe1e3b2…
10-14 00:29:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5,073	99¢	$5,000	0xc5380f…
08-12 21:18:57	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	341	59¢	$200	0x3b9c60…
08-12 21:15:49	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xed1df7…
08-12 21:14:25	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	408	74¢	$300	0xe132cd…
07-29 17:59:42	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,381	19¢	$257	0xf402e3…
07-29 15:21:30	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,124	27¢	$300	0x5da46a…
07-29 11:25:32	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,190	24¢	$1,000	0xc4d473…
07-29 11:11:53	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	618	81¢	$500	0x707322…
07-29 11:11:11	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	1,230	81¢	$1,000	0x506220…
07-29 11:09:18	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	3,008	83¢	$2,500	0x5f26aa…
07-29 11:04:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20,585	100¢	$20,503	0x9d6c3f…
07-24 01:34:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20,585	99¢	$20,400	0x66b160…
06-08 14:55:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5,130	97¢	$4,999	0x43d9e5…
06-02 10:51:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2,163	97¢	$2,100	0xa6a5df…
05-31 16:05:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1,527	96¢	$1,467	0xd7eb95…
05-31 16:04:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,471	100¢	$1,468	0xb6a28e…
05-26 21:24:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	982	94¢	$923	0x88bf05…
05-26 21:23:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	10,638	94¢	$10,000	0x45cc6a…
05-26 21:21:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	11,111	98¢	$10,922	0x56b949…
05-01 01:06:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	329	91¢	$299	0x6cd6c8…
05-01 01:04:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	11,111	90¢	$10,000	0xd9cb3e…
05-01 01:03:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	10,320	100¢	$10,300	0x04c244…
04-16 19:03:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,142	76¢	$865	0x25e971…
04-16 19:01:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10,320	97¢	$10,000	0x99e5a2…
04-10 16:21:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	10,864	98¢	$10,700	0x4bad9f…
04-04 08:09:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2,725	17¢	$463	0x608858…
03-31 14:23:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,725	41¢	$1,117	0x595b93…
03-31 14:22:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,138	98¢	$1,117	0xd7cba4…
03-28 19:41:40	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5,554	92¢	$5,109	0xf457b5…
03-28 19:41:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	5,319	96¢	$5,109	0xddfffb…
03-27 19:28:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5,822	84¢	$4,890	0x75e8bb…
03-27 19:27:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	5,319	94¢	$5,000	0xa82379…