Icky-Soulmate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.99K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.29K

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$300.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.34K

Open exposure

$25.0K

17 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-13 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

52% 87% +$3,173

Politics

47% 77% +$821

Crypto

1% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,338	$8,000	97¢	$8.1K	+$100	11-13 23:16
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	+3,491	$3,311	97¢	$3.4K	+$88	11-07 01:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+2,828	$2,640	100¢	$2.8K	+$176	11-07 01:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,736	$2,493	100¢	$2.7K	+$239	11-07 10:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+2,061	$1,987	97¢	$2.0K	+$20	11-13 23:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,266	$1,000	94¢	$1.2K	+$184	11-07 10:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	+1,151	$1,000	100¢	$1.1K	+$146	10-27 14:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+785	$700	99¢	$780	+$80	11-08 10:39
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	+645	$550	99¢	$638	+$89	11-04 20:18
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	+588	$500	88¢	$515	+$15	11-03 23:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+1,000	$300	46¢	$455	+$155	11-07 10:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+648	$536	63¢	$410	-$125	11-04 13:58
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	+446	$359	92¢	$408	+$49	11-03 12:32
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	+167	$155	97¢	$161	+$6	10-27 14:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+238	$100	68¢	$161	+$61	10-27 14:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$40	81¢	$49	+$9	11-08 16:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+270	$50	18¢	$47	-$3	11-04 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$40.9K	20,585	20,585	+0	No	+$103	07-29 11:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	8	$32.6K	17,655	17,655	+0	Yes	+$2,592	11-04 23:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$20.9K	11,111	11,111	+0	No	+$922	05-26 21:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$20.3K	10,320	10,320	+0	No	+$300	05-01 01:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	4	$18.6K	19,457	0	+19,457	No	+$891	06-08 14:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$18.4K	9,258	9,258	+0	Yes	+$17	10-27 14:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$18.1K	9,223	9,223	+0	Yes	+$142	10-24 19:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$11.1K	11,376	1,138	+10,238	No	+$1,355	03-31 14:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$11.0K	5,789	5,789	+0	Yes	-$35	11-03 23:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$10.7K	10,864	0	+10,864	No	+$164	04-10 16:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$10.1K	5,319	5,319	+0	No	+$110	03-28 19:41
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	6	$8.4K	4,443	4,443	+0	Yes	+$412	11-07 10:53
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	3	$8.0K	8,338	0	+8,338	open	—	11-13 23:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	5	$6.0K	4,603	1,866	+2,736	open	—	11-07 10:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	5	$6.0K	4,235	2,174	+2,061	open	—	11-13 23:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	1	$5.0K	5,073	0	+5,073	Yes	+$73	10-14 00:29
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	1	$5.0K	5,208	0	+5,208	No	+$208	10-20 23:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,195	0	+5,195	No	+$195	10-27 14:46
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	1	$4.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$4,000	10-19 00:00
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	3	$4.0K	4,856	0	+4,856	Nothing	+$856	07-29 11:11
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	4	$3.7K	3,682	192	+3,491	open	—	11-07 01:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	4	$2.6K	2,828	0	+2,828	open	—	11-07 01:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$2.6K	1,471	1,471	+0	No	+$304	05-31 16:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$2.2K	2,567	0	+2,567	Yes	+$367	10-27 14:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$2.0K	2,176	0	+2,176	Yes	+$176	10-15 20:11
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,092	0	+2,092	Yes	+$92	11-03 23:04
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	3	$2.0K	2,054	654	+1,400	Yes	+$378	11-07 01:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.6K	2,725	2,725	+0	Yes	-$654	04-04 08:09
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	3	$1.6K	5,313	1,381	+3,932	No	-$1,043	07-29 17:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	2	$1.3K	667	667	+0	Yes	+$64	11-08 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 23:17:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	503	97¢	$487	0x95e5f6…
11-13 23:16:31	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,029	97¢	$1,000	0x22e66f…
11-10 22:48:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x7329b6…
11-08 16:47:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x668305…
11-08 10:39:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	785	89¢	$700	0x31bf8d…
11-08 10:39:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	667	100¢	$664	0xf70341…
11-07 10:55:07	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	98¢	$700	0xd8d735…
11-07 10:54:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x24cb53…
11-07 10:54:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0x4793ed…
11-07 10:53:36	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,088	99¢	$2,074	0x1805a6…
11-07 01:08:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	748	99¢	$740	0x5087d5…
11-07 01:07:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	654	73¢	$478	0xd48d1f…
11-07 01:05:42	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$189	0xa4ac80…
11-07 01:02:54	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	BUY	2,564	98¢	$2,500	0xcaf421…
11-07 01:02:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,355	99¢	$2,338	0xb2a20b…
11-05 01:09:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,613	93¢	$1,500	0x8c1463…
11-05 01:09:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,866	94¢	$1,757	0xf58718…
11-05 01:02:19	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	583	94¢	$550	0xf72c4a…
11-05 01:01:52	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,024	98¢	$1,000	0x833981…
11-04 23:11:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x1ccd83…
11-04 23:10:51	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,169	96¢	$4,000	0xeeba82…
11-04 23:09:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	667	90¢	$600	0x8eda93…
11-04 23:08:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x94802a…
11-04 23:07:52	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,072	93¢	$1,000	0xddb693…
11-04 23:07:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	655	76¢	$500	0x81db48…
11-04 23:05:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	8,630	100¢	$8,622	0x5d3c7b…
11-04 20:22:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,139	96¢	$3,000	0x138775…
11-04 20:18:37	Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	585	85¢	$500	0x91ba03…
11-04 20:17:21	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	339	88¢	$300	0x2d78b5…
11-04 14:00:16	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	270	18¢	$50	0x2743eb…
11-04 13:58:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	648	62¢	$400	0x2fb028…
11-04 13:57:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$55	0x819af8…
11-04 13:57:28	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,165	86¢	$1,000	0xe50ff1…
11-04 13:56:19	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	BUY	559	89¢	$500	0x8e5247…
11-04 10:20:16	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	BUY	559	89¢	$500	0xfeef50…
11-04 09:58:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,399	71¢	$1,000	0xddc04f…
11-04 09:56:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xb0795b…
11-04 09:56:25	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,233	90¢	$2,000	0x93c73a…
11-04 09:55:15	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,201	83¢	$1,000	0x953bc0…
11-04 09:54:07	Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x821580…
11-03 23:55:57	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x187037…
11-03 23:53:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	585	86¢	$500	0x12c9a2…
11-03 23:43:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	526	98¢	$517	0x90ba58…
11-03 23:39:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	2,024	99¢	$2,008	0xcfcb00…
11-03 23:07:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xfef5ba…
11-03 23:06:07	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	90¢	$500	0xbe0448…
11-03 23:04:54	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa32ce3…
11-03 23:04:25	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,034	97¢	$1,000	0x35e8da…
11-03 23:01:54	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xe01121…
11-03 23:00:52	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,118	89¢	$1,000	0x88bf48…
11-03 22:59:51	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,058	95¢	$1,000	0x5aeb11…
11-03 22:56:55	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	803	93¢	$750	0xf2cd90…
11-03 22:55:54	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,093	92¢	$1,000	0x10da2f…
11-03 22:55:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	4,889	100¢	$4,865	0xd55de6…
11-03 22:55:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xdaef5d…
11-03 22:55:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$993	0xfb41f9…
11-03 22:54:12	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x09653a…
11-03 22:53:34	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xdfc5e2…
11-03 22:53:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	63	35¢	$22	0xab6670…
11-03 22:51:37	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x29ab4e…
11-03 22:49:54	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	93¢	$250	0x585977…
11-03 22:46:03	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0xc518bb…
11-03 22:44:34	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	92¢	$250	0x07205d…
11-03 22:40:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0xb495da…
11-03 13:55:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	11,575	86¢	$10,000	0x501d62…
11-03 12:32:22	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	157	90¢	$141	0xc86bcb…
11-03 12:28:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5,263	94¢	$4,947	0xe2fc48…
11-03 12:28:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0x045d84…
11-03 12:27:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	6,080	82¢	$5,000	0xd2d581…
11-01 20:40:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x1e60b6…
10-28 13:28:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	262	48¢	$126	0x5a4ff2…
10-28 13:27:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	404	31¢	$126	0x6cc6d3…
10-27 14:58:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	404	65¢	$262	0x0a6903…
10-27 14:51:17	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0x975425…
10-27 14:50:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0x0a7f97…
10-27 14:48:54	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	93¢	$155	0x14b88d…
10-27 14:48:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xea901e…
10-27 14:47:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x73601c…
10-27 14:46:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,195	96¢	$5,000	0x9bd5bd…
10-27 14:46:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,151	87¢	$1,000	0x31908f…
10-27 14:44:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	9,258	100¢	$9,217	0x9eb79d…
10-24 22:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xfcae63…
10-24 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xc1a299…
10-24 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x175fd8…
10-24 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcfbf50…
10-24 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8397f1…
10-24 19:58:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	9,258	99¢	$9,200	0xa75969…
10-24 19:58:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	9,223	99¢	$9,142	0xb9ed76…
10-22 19:17:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	4,064	98¢	$4,000	0xba8873…
10-22 15:50:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5,159	97¢	$5,000	0x3f0d61…
10-20 23:33:54	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	5,208	96¢	$5,000	0xfb95a8…
10-19 00:00:14	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5,000	80¢	$4,000	0x45edc6…
10-16 19:23:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,083	92¢	$1,000	0xbf71e1…
10-15 20:12:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15	Yes	BUY	880	57¢	$500	0x3b11db…
10-15 20:11:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,176	92¢	$2,000	0x747672…
10-14 00:30:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,356	85¢	$2,000	0xe1e3b2…
10-14 00:29:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5,073	99¢	$5,000	0xc5380f…
08-12 21:18:57	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	341	59¢	$200	0x3b9c60…
08-12 21:15:49	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xed1df7…
08-12 21:14:25	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	408	74¢	$300	0xe132cd…