Realized P&L (30d)
-$253
Unrealized P&L
+$1.11K
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved (30d)
26
Trades (30d)
93
124 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$153.7K
$298.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.40K
Open exposure
$24.3K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 11-08 10:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
52% 86% +$2,794
Politics
47% 74% +$260
Crypto
1% 50% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,309 $7,000 97¢ $7.1K +$93 11-04 23:10
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +3,491 $3,311 97¢ $3.4K +$86 11-07 01:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,828 $2,640 98¢ $2.8K +$140 11-07 01:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,736 $2,493 98¢ $2.7K +$201 11-07 10:55
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,400 $1,022 87¢ $1.2K +$198 11-07 01:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +1,151 $1,000 96¢ $1.1K +$108 10-27 14:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,266 $1,000 86¢ $1.1K +$95 11-07 10:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1,042 $1,000 96¢ $995 -$5 11-04 23:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +785 $700 90¢ $707 +$7 11-08 10:39
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +645 $550 97¢ $629 +$79 11-04 20:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +585 $500 100¢ $584 +$84 11-03 23:53
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +588 $500 86¢ $509 +$9 11-03 23:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +648 $536 67¢ $436 -$100 11-04 13:58
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +446 $359 89¢ $397 +$38 11-03 12:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +1,000 $300 34¢ $345 +$45 11-07 10:54
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? No +167 $155 93¢ $155 $0 10-27 14:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +238 $100 58¢ $138 +$38 10-27 14:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +270 $50 17¢ $47 -$3 11-04 14:00