Realized P&L (30d)
-$168
Unrealized P&L
+$926
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved (30d)
27
Trades (30d)
94
125 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$153.7K
$298.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.38K
Open exposure
$23.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 11-08 16:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
52% 86% +$2,794
Politics
47% 75% +$345
Crypto
1% 50% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,309 $7,000 97¢ $7.1K +$93 11-04 23:10
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +3,491 $3,311 95¢ $3.3K +$21 11-07 01:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,828 $2,640 98¢ $2.8K +$135 11-07 01:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,736 $2,493 99¢ $2.7K +$209 11-07 10:55
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,400 $1,022 86¢ $1.2K +$178 11-07 01:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +1,151 $1,000 95¢ $1.1K +$94 10-27 14:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,266 $1,000 84¢ $1.1K +$70 11-07 10:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1,042 $1,000 97¢ $1.0K +$6 11-04 23:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +785 $700 94¢ $742 +$42 11-08 10:39
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +645 $550 98¢ $629 +$80 11-04 20:18
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +588 $500 90¢ $527 +$27 11-03 23:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +648 $536 63¢ $407 -$129 11-04 13:58
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +446 $359 89¢ $397 +$38 11-03 12:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +1,000 $300 31¢ $310 +$10 11-07 10:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +238 $100 66¢ $158 +$58 10-27 14:48
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? No +167 $155 90¢ $150 -$5 10-27 14:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +270 $50 19¢ $51 +$1 11-04 14:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +61 $40 62¢ $38 -$2 11-08 16:47