Realized P&L (7d)
-$3.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.86K
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
44
102 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$54.9K
$264.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.60K
Open exposure
$21.3K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 11-04 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
56% 86% +$2,794
Politics
44% 73% -$2,332
Crypto
0% 50% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +8,630 $6,030 100¢ $8.6K +$2,592 11-03 23:39
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3,139 $3,000 96¢ $3.0K +$1 11-04 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,366 $2,000 93¢ $2.2K +$192 11-04 13:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,233 $2,000 92¢ $2.1K +$66 11-04 09:56
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +1,119 $1,000 92¢ $1.0K +$29 11-04 13:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +1,151 $1,000 89¢ $1.0K +$25 10-27 14:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,399 $1,000 71¢ $995 -$5 11-04 09:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +585 $500 96¢ $558 +$58 11-03 23:53
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +588 $500 84¢ $497 -$3 11-03 23:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +467 $400 89¢ $415 +$15 11-04 20:17
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +446 $359 90¢ $404 +$45 11-03 12:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +648 $536 57¢ $372 -$164 11-04 13:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +238 $100 45¢ $107 +$7 10-27 14:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +270 $50 18¢ $48 -$2 11-04 14:00