Average-Caffeine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$567

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

3,219

Trades

4,115

lifetime

Volume

$313.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 09-14 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

84% 99% -$580

Sports

11% 100% +$37

Politics

2% 94% -$33

Crypto

2% 97% +$6

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	3	$2.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 15:03
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	6	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$437	09-12 23:45
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	3	$1.8K	927	927	+0	No	+$22	05-01 06:10
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	12	$1.7K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$53	06-11 05:21
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	10	$1.1K	1,650	50	+1,600	No	-$241	09-14 05:08
dota2 ngnb gamema 2026 06 11 game2	1	$940	941	0	+941	Game Master	+$1	06-12 05:02
val bbl1 nrg 2026 03 07	1	$898	899	0	+899	NRG	+$1	03-07 20:10
cs2 qua1 tlr 2026 07 12 game1	1	$799	800	0	+800	The Last Resort	+$1	07-12 16:19
Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	6	$611	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$111	09-13 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$598	600	0	+600	No	+$2	05-25 01:46
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	3	$400	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:43
nhl sj cbj 2026 03 28 total 7pt5	4	$400	400	0	+400	Under	+$0	03-28 23:40
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election?	5	$372	500	0	+500	open	—	09-13 00:09
highest temperature in tokyo on march 30 2026 16c	3	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-30 03:39
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	8	$300	200	100	+100	Team Vitality	+$0	03-14 12:43
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 36c	3	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-29 18:36
j2100 iwa roa 2026 04 04 draw	3	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	03-31 00:34
cs2 leo4 presti 2026 07 08 game1	1	$286	286	0	+286	LEO	+$0	07-10 15:25
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 19c	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-30 03:35
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 60 61f	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-28 16:55
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$200	100	100	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:46
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$200	100	100	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 17c	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-30 03:06
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	3	$200	100	100	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-15 14:56
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$200	100	100	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	13	$200	100	100	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 05:08:27	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x8a7574…
09-13 13:47:54	cs2 g2a wbta 2026 09 13	G2 Ares	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd0c44c…
09-13 13:27:42	cs2 g2a wbta 2026 09 13	G2 Ares	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x798134…
09-13 13:26:30	cs2 g2a wbta 2026 09 13	G2 Ares	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3dfb8d…
09-13 07:59:21	atp agafono yamanak 2026 09 13	Taiyo Yamanaka	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29b336…
09-13 04:03:10	Cal Poly vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ee89a…
09-13 01:16:21	Will Louisville City FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x563632…
09-13 00:09:06	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x5b71f5…
09-13 00:08:45	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election?	Yes	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x6403e2…
09-13 00:08:16	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x4bae70…
09-13 00:06:19	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x01b85c…
09-13 00:03:51	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x33132b…
09-13 00:00:28	Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0xd90a15…
09-12 23:59:54	Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	20¢	$39	0x306d37…
09-12 23:58:42	Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xccf02f…
09-12 23:57:46	Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x09c425…
09-12 23:56:42	Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xe842e7…
09-12 23:56:22	Will magic Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x350b5f…
09-12 23:53:01	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0x9f1c49…
09-12 23:52:33	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x55eef2…
09-12 23:52:06	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0xa90dfa…
09-12 23:51:46	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xb28574…
09-12 23:50:15	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x9c1ad5…
09-12 23:49:55	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	47¢	$140	0x2a6815…
09-12 23:49:18	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x7cc468…
09-12 23:49:06	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xbac107…
09-12 23:48:54	Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x2d321b…
09-12 23:45:12	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$80	0x432df3…
09-12 23:38:21	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$284	0x6f60ef…
09-12 23:36:45	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0xfe73df…
09-12 23:35:16	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0xf99d07…
09-12 23:33:51	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	700	45¢	$315	0xb3b8e3…
09-12 23:30:28	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	700	94¢	$662	0x99708c…
09-12 22:46:31	Maryland vs. UConn	Maryland	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa9a8e4…
09-12 20:08:46	Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs YBN Club - Game 2 Winner	YBN Club	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f0669…
09-12 17:13:43	Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs VooDooSh Club - Game 2 Winner	Stariy Bog Club	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa398fc…
09-12 03:18:54	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8fa456…
09-11 20:41:51	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x858001…
09-11 19:25:49	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5a1761…
09-11 16:52:57	M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Enzo Lima	Nicolas Zanellato	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xed966b…
09-11 13:06:55	Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Honvéd - Map 2 Winner	Honvéd	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x059a71…
09-11 09:34:31	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs ReThink - Map 2 Winner	Drama eSports	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8548d3…
09-11 02:58:34	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4a4eba…
09-10 23:59:03	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 4 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4485ff…
09-10 19:40:27	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winner	Zena Esports	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x20b229…
09-10 19:37:00	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winner	Zena Esports	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x957dca…
09-10 19:00:01	USA vs. Hungary/Japan	USA	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d73da…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1ff379…
09-10 16:45:51	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xefe6c6…
09-10 15:57:42	Dota 2: Recrent Club vs Daxak Club - Game 2 Winner	Daxak Club	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8aaaeb…
09-10 15:39:19	Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner	ShindeN	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x45f1de…
09-10 15:16:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17e575…
09-10 15:13:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6be788…
09-10 15:13:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 10?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3c12d2…
09-10 15:12:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef993b…
09-10 15:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2d37bd…
09-10 14:33:54	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs SINQU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C	Drama eSports	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x97cc26…
09-10 12:10:51	W50 Evora: Greet Minnen vs Matilde Jorge	Matilde Jorge	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8e5c5c…
09-10 12:06:30	W50 Evora: Greet Minnen vs Matilde Jorge	Matilde Jorge	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb8d382…
09-10 11:46:43	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas	Amritsar Soormas	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5d2067…
09-10 08:12:01	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x5247af…
09-10 05:42:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x5dfa9e…
09-10 05:12:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6f1075…
09-10 05:03:36	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d47f8…
09-10 05:03:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcaa19a…
09-10 05:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2e822…
09-10 02:56:16	itf tsao1 zhu1 2026 09 10	Chia Yi Tsao	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5259b5…
09-10 01:38:03	Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x356a61…
09-10 01:18:21	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12fbc5…
09-10 00:27:10	will laptop dip to 1pt00 by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x14bdde…
09-09 22:45:55	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e819e…
09-09 18:05:09	Will France vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe910e2…
09-09 18:00:10	Will Japan vs. USA end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x50da1d…
09-09 17:54:34	Will France win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9b12ea…
09-09 14:13:34	M25 Sintra: Joao Mendes vs Ryan Colby	Ryan Colby	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdd05d4…
09-09 12:12:01	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment - Map 1 Winner	TEC Esports	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x48b173…
09-09 12:11:54	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment - Map 1 Winner	TEC Esports	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbf87ce…
09-09 11:57:10	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment - Map 1 Winner	TEC Esports	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x317f0a…
09-09 11:09:54	Cassis: Mathys Erhard vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd57582…
09-09 07:42:00	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x46e983…
09-09 04:08:04	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x86d392…
09-09 01:17:57	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4419d2…
09-09 00:21:42	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf6fa94…
09-08 23:12:24	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb1aad4…
09-08 21:43:37	Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe8350…
09-08 21:01:13	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c684a…
09-08 20:57:25	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e48b9…
09-08 18:55:55	cs2 azuola g2a 2026 09 08	G2 Ares	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x08fc5a…
09-08 18:13:24	Will IF Gnistan vs. Kuopion Palloseura end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90e099…
09-08 17:56:28	Will Poland win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a6ee6…
09-08 08:50:58	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x550f7b…
09-08 06:31:00	Will there be a power grid emergency in the Midwest before October 1?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe31476…
09-07 21:25:49	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x18a53b…
09-07 20:40:10	Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs BLUEJAYS.de - Map 2 Winner	BLUEJAYS.de	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc194c1…
09-07 20:40:09	Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs BLUEJAYS.de (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season	BLUEJAYS.de	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d6660…
09-07 19:53:21	Will Colombia win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x809eb0…
09-07 19:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4ce81b…
09-07 18:57:58	Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x2acd06…
09-07 18:57:49	Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf2296…
09-07 18:02:37	Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5d2567…