Tempting-Wellbeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$743

Unrealized P&L

+$282

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,029

lifetime

Volume

$211.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$5.31K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-20 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$82

Other

36% 100% +$661

Crypto

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	+3,500	$2,740	77¢	$2.7K	$-38	07-14 12:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$1,500	66¢	$2.0K	+$465	07-02 12:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+3,000	$790	22¢	$645	$-145	06-20 04:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1,218	$28.3K	23,771	25,967	-2,197	open	—	04-10 07:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$19.2K	10,850	11,850	-1,000	open	—	04-02 13:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	8	$18.9K	0	19,860	-19,860	open	—	06-14 22:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	21	$15.4K	8,274	9,334	-1,060	open	—	05-10 23:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	318	$12.8K	7,849	6,998	+851	open	—	04-14 13:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	7	$7.3K	4,040	4,040	+0	open	—	06-15 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	210	$5.8K	3,975	3,932	+43	open	—	04-12 20:57
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	27	$5.7K	5,059	5,000	+59	open	—	03-27 17:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	7	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$43	05-09 00:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	5	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-28 15:49
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	4	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-20 15:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	13	$4.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	04-28 12:39
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	9	$3.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-18 17:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-30 14:07
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$3.7K	3,160	1,600	+1,560	open	—	03-30 14:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$3.6K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	05-11 13:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$3.5K	5,800	2,000	+3,800	open	—	05-27 15:35
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	5	$2.7K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	07-14 12:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	10	$2.7K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	05-25 14:07
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$2.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-28 16:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-23 20:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-20 00:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	37	$2.2K	1,400	1,003	+397	open	—	04-10 08:49
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	27	$2.2K	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	04-05 06:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,080	1,080	+0	No	+$40	05-10 23:20
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$2.0K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	02-23 01:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	83	$1.9K	7,400	7,400	+0	open	—	04-05 12:53
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-30 03:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-22 07:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-03 11:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:54:15	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x7b85d0…
07-20 15:54:04	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2,947	91¢	$2,682	0xa73515…
07-20 15:53:31	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x9f4685…
07-18 17:36:36	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	924	82¢	$758	0xae9629…
07-18 17:20:28	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x3cc913…
07-18 17:20:19	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x6bcafe…
07-18 17:20:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,970	82¢	$1,615	0xc3e374…
07-18 17:05:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa5a3ad…
07-18 16:54:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x1c4041…
07-18 16:53:42	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2313d3…
07-16 02:38:46	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,183	69¢	$816	0xa565d2…
07-16 02:28:29	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4d14d5…
07-16 02:27:23	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0xab28b5…
07-15 13:17:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x5aa49c…
07-15 13:02:23	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x9f307a…
07-15 12:52:08	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x4cd682…
07-14 12:15:07	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x483348…
07-10 19:01:52	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,594	0x6ac7be…
07-07 05:13:55	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	917	73¢	$670	0x715f6d…
07-07 05:13:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	83	73¢	$60	0xae5712…
07-07 00:03:22	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x5a5514…
07-07 00:03:20	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	577	87¢	$502	0xa8b8ad…
07-07 00:02:19	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	223	87¢	$194	0x14ee7f…
07-02 12:41:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	50¢	$1,500	0xfbea02…
07-01 13:25:20	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	860	82¢	$703	0x750e9e…
06-27 15:50:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	119	82¢	$97	0x808571…
06-27 08:00:53	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xef85f7…
06-20 04:25:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	26¢	$520	0x193972…
06-20 04:07:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	442	27¢	$119	0x5d721e…
06-20 03:52:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x917a92…
06-20 03:52:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x80481b…
06-20 02:51:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x383425…
06-20 02:51:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x533d25…
06-20 02:11:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x7bcba6…
06-20 02:00:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xf0615c…
06-20 00:41:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x73fa61…
06-18 21:55:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x0e8e4b…
06-18 21:53:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xeebbcf…
06-18 21:48:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x10d03d…
06-18 21:48:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0x0b1a3c…
06-18 21:48:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x817a07…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf6879f…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xed4d8e…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xb686d6…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xa92390…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x32d29e…
06-18 21:48:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd2eeda…
06-18 21:48:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x354875…
06-18 21:48:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0x4d560d…
06-18 21:48:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x800a94…
06-18 21:47:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x645d28…
06-18 21:47:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	460	33¢	$152	0x9fb0dd…
06-18 21:47:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x842467…
06-16 18:32:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	606	41¢	$248	0x539686…
06-16 18:31:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	394	41¢	$162	0x358c99…
06-16 15:31:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	135	57¢	$77	0x343ced…
06-16 15:13:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	360	57¢	$205	0x6efe36…
06-16 15:06:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xef70c7…
06-16 14:58:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x56890e…
06-16 14:54:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xec749d…
06-16 14:52:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x273e87…
06-16 14:52:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xda1314…
06-16 14:52:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	486	57¢	$277	0xcb9ee8…
06-16 13:02:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	352	57¢	$200	0x2e5477…
06-16 13:02:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	648	57¢	$370	0x3694cc…
06-15 11:30:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	3,040	98¢	$2,979	0xa0b114…
06-14 22:36:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,832	95¢	$6,490	0xc2a4c8…
06-14 22:33:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x51996f…
06-14 22:33:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	95¢	$3,800	0xb56b25…
06-14 22:33:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	95¢	$2,850	0x13276e…
06-14 22:33:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x6dce2c…
06-14 22:33:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0xd7f2e2…
06-14 22:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xb404f0…
06-14 22:32:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,633	95¢	$5,351	0xb683c2…
06-14 03:03:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x7e08ef…
06-13 11:04:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x12916a…
06-13 09:32:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x6732c7…
06-13 05:11:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0x05ac5f…
06-13 04:15:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x6ecaf9…
06-13 03:46:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xb25dd1…
06-13 03:21:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x051cc3…
06-13 00:45:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xbe6044…
06-12 18:29:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	490	98¢	$479	0x7ff908…
06-12 18:29:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	499	98¢	$487	0xba1e6b…
06-12 18:29:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x79c255…
06-12 18:29:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79d628…
06-12 16:28:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	744	44¢	$327	0x248e30…
06-12 16:22:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	410	44¢	$180	0xe76975…
06-12 16:21:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe11b81…
06-12 16:21:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x95f854…
06-10 13:21:12	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10 game2	Saigon Warriors	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x550b59…
06-10 13:03:43	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Dino	SELL	109	23¢	$25	0x50c0b7…
06-10 12:54:06	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10 game2	Saigon Warriors	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x9b8612…
06-10 12:39:36	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Dino	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0x19b899…
06-04 15:27:18	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 map handicap away 1pt5	GamerLegion	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc1bf74…
06-04 15:02:48	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 game1	BIG	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xe5920e…
06-04 14:57:01	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 game1	BIG	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x09c541…
06-04 14:56:45	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 map handicap away 1pt5	GamerLegion	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x06189a…
06-04 14:56:39	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 map handicap away 1pt5	GamerLegion	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4decae…
06-01 11:17:10	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf63e33…