Tempting-Wellbeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

108

Trades

5,155

lifetime

Volume

$282.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-08 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

42% 62% +$6,404

Other

34% 72% +$5,061

Crypto

24% 56% +$2,246

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	49	$35.6K	22,060	22,060	+0	Yes	+$5,716	06-14 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1,218	$28.3K	23,771	25,967	-2,197	No	+$606	04-10 07:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$19.2K	10,850	11,850	-1,000	No	+$947	04-02 13:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	21	$15.4K	8,274	9,334	-1,060	No	-$41	05-10 23:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$13.6K	8,006	8,006	+0	No	+$1,570	07-15 12:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	318	$12.8K	7,849	6,998	+851	Yes	+$160	04-14 13:20
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	7	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$425	07-26 19:08
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	23	$8.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$860	07-27 14:31
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	4	$7.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$540	07-31 15:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	7	$7.3K	4,040	4,040	+0	No	+$371	06-15 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	210	$5.8K	3,975	3,932	+43	Yes	+$110	04-12 20:57
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	27	$5.7K	5,059	5,000	+59	Yes	-$456	03-27 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	4	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$150	08-29 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	7	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$43	05-09 00:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	5	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$249	04-28 15:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	25	$4.3K	4,000	6,300	-2,300	Yes	-$979	06-12 16:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	13	$4.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$488	04-28 12:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$12	04-30 14:07
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$3.7K	3,160	1,600	+1,560	No	+$260	03-30 14:02
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$3.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$600	09-08 15:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$3.6K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$152	05-11 13:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$3.5K	5,800	2,000	+3,800	No	+$611	05-27 15:35
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	1	$2.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$1,120	07-24 14:18
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	7	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$28	09-08 15:58
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	5	$2.7K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$759	07-14 12:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	10	$2.7K	1,550	1,550	+0	Yes	+$366	05-25 14:07
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$2.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$100	03-28 16:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$240	05-23 20:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$610	06-20 00:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	37	$2.2K	1,400	1,003	+397	Yes	+$63	04-10 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 15:58:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	2,792	46¢	$1,284	0x2ff648…
09-08 15:57:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	70¢	$2,100	0x14bb5f…
09-08 15:57:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x40decb…
09-08 15:57:06	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	206	47¢	$97	0x6b21ce…
09-08 15:52:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	12¢	$360	0xc7a442…
08-31 01:14:37	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,670	47¢	$1,255	0xab56fc…
08-31 00:10:33	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd147e1…
08-30 23:42:51	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	314	47¢	$148	0x324317…
08-30 23:13:49	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5d0219…
08-29 06:20:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	1,987	95¢	$1,887	0xf52ca8…
08-29 03:10:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	1,013	95¢	$963	0x1c7fe3…
08-21 09:57:24	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x2c2ac8…
08-21 09:57:22	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	1,990	26¢	$517	0xe4e1da…
08-20 23:27:09	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	2,916	90¢	$2,625	0xf3c18d…
08-20 23:26:27	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	84	90¢	$75	0x95be27…
08-20 15:32:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,429	85¢	$1,215	0x1bff4e…
08-20 15:32:30	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x3614c4…
08-20 15:30:57	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	500	70¢	$352	0x30810e…
08-20 13:22:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x875a03…
08-20 13:05:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x53817f…
08-20 13:02:52	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$11	0xad1404…
08-20 13:00:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	18	85¢	$16	0x30a0ab…
08-20 11:34:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	500	49¢	$246	0x03bad6…
07-31 15:31:21	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	4,000	98¢	$3,940	0x0b0e77…
07-29 19:28:17	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,200	96¢	$1,148	0xe7fa83…
07-27 14:31:22	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,786	96¢	$1,713	0xc9cfac…
07-26 19:08:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	3,019	98¢	$2,968	0x20adf3…
07-26 18:52:48	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xb963a4…
07-26 18:00:07	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,891	98¢	$1,858	0x0a2f1a…
07-26 17:59:13	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,195	96¢	$1,146	0xa04fe4…
07-24 14:54:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8dbe1d…
07-24 14:37:15	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	610	94¢	$573	0x14f0c4…
07-24 14:31:42	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	90	94¢	$85	0xf10e42…
07-24 14:18:48	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	4,000	72¢	$2,880	0x52f1df…
07-24 14:18:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0xc53890…
07-24 13:42:21	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x499d1a…
07-24 13:35:42	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x757e7e…
07-24 13:27:40	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	448	92¢	$412	0x27eeed…
07-24 13:26:45	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xa3bd7a…
07-24 13:23:12	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x633614…
07-24 13:16:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	114	92¢	$105	0x3abc47…
07-24 13:13:51	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	221	92¢	$203	0x02bbe9…
07-24 13:10:04	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x3d9645…
07-24 13:09:43	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x0d7fea…
07-24 13:05:36	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	593	87¢	$516	0xded730…
07-24 13:05:22	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	1,407	87¢	$1,224	0x75d8cf…
07-20 15:54:15	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x7b85d0…
07-20 15:54:04	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2,947	91¢	$2,682	0xa73515…
07-20 15:53:31	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x9f4685…
07-18 17:36:36	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	924	82¢	$758	0xae9629…
07-18 17:20:28	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x3cc913…
07-18 17:20:19	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x6bcafe…
07-18 17:20:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,970	82¢	$1,615	0xc3e374…
07-18 17:05:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa5a3ad…
07-18 16:54:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x1c4041…
07-18 16:53:42	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2313d3…
07-16 02:38:46	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,183	69¢	$816	0xa565d2…
07-16 02:28:29	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4d14d5…
07-16 02:27:23	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0xab28b5…
07-15 13:17:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x5aa49c…
07-15 13:02:23	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x9f307a…
07-15 12:52:08	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x4cd682…
07-15 12:33:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8,006	95¢	$7,606	0xaf7c6d…
07-14 12:15:07	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x483348…
07-14 12:01:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,700	67¢	$1,134	0x56e46b…
07-14 11:53:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x20589b…
07-14 11:51:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	292	66¢	$192	0x428fa0…
07-14 11:50:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x7bf8b1…
07-13 14:17:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,000	75¢	$2,250	0x326f13…
07-10 19:01:52	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,594	0x6ac7be…
07-07 05:13:55	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	917	73¢	$670	0x715f6d…
07-07 05:13:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	83	73¢	$60	0xae5712…
07-07 00:03:22	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x5a5514…
07-07 00:03:20	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	577	87¢	$502	0xa8b8ad…
07-07 00:02:19	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	223	87¢	$194	0x14ee7f…
07-02 12:41:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	50¢	$1,500	0xfbea02…
07-01 13:25:20	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	860	82¢	$703	0x750e9e…
06-30 17:21:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,000	82¢	$2,451	0xccb7cd…
06-27 15:50:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	119	82¢	$97	0x808571…
06-27 08:00:53	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xef85f7…
06-20 04:25:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	26¢	$520	0x193972…
06-20 04:07:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	442	27¢	$119	0x5d721e…
06-20 03:52:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x917a92…
06-20 03:52:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x80481b…
06-20 02:51:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x383425…
06-20 02:51:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x533d25…
06-20 02:11:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x7bcba6…
06-20 02:00:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xf0615c…
06-20 00:41:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x73fa61…
06-18 21:55:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x0e8e4b…
06-18 21:53:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xeebbcf…
06-18 21:48:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x10d03d…
06-18 21:48:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0x0b1a3c…
06-18 21:48:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x817a07…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf6879f…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xed4d8e…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xb686d6…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xa92390…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x32d29e…
06-18 21:48:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd2eeda…