Realized P&L
+$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.60K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
2,245
lifetime
Volume
$1.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$633
Open exposure
$56.3K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-24 08:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% 100% +$1,080
Other
45%
Sports
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +49,729 $43,082 92¢ $45.5K +$2,420 07-01 07:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,092 $4,673 89¢ $4.5K $-154 07-20 18:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,379 $900 99¢ $2.4K +$1,466 06-29 14:58
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +5,263 $1,000 26¢ $1.3K +$345 07-02 12:30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -7,759 $-536 11¢ $-873 $-337 07-16 09:46
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +676 $164 61¢ $412 +$248 07-08 03:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,317 $1,186 $402 $-784 06-15 14:58
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,251 $732 32¢ $400 $-332 06-29 04:14
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +676 $499 39¢ $264 $-236 07-02 13:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -200 $-187 95¢ $-190 $-3 07-01 06:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,379 $1,057 $13 $-1,044 06-29 15:30
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +0 $-6 74¢ $0 +$6 07-02 14:38