Realized P&L
-$364
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved
7,314
Trades
13,631
lifetime
Volume
$174.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$273
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-28 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
83% 56% +$617
Politics
9% 52% -$467
Sports
6% 47% -$248
Crypto
2% 45% -$202
Tech
1% 50% -$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 279 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +31 $20 96¢ $30 +$10 09-30 20:37
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Yes +79 $29 31¢ $24 -$5 10-10 12:09
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +43 $29 56¢ $24 -$4 10-10 12:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +31 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 09-22 04:25
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +54 $29 32¢ $17 -$11 10-10 12:09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Spirit +39 $27 42¢ $16 -$11 10-28 15:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +17 $9 72¢ $12 +$3 10-01 20:34
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +12 $11 96¢ $11 +$1 10-22 21:19
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 10-17 06:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +17 $10 63¢ $10 +$0 10-20 09:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-21 17:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-21 17:31
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $10 40¢ $10 $0 10-28 09:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +17 $11 38¢ $6 -$5 10-27 10:45
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +8 $6 78¢ $6 $0 10-21 19:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +7 $5 83¢ $6 +$1 10-21 12:07
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-20 12:07
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 10-23 12:03
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-20 12:07
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 10-23 12:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 65¢ $5 -$2 10-20 12:07
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +8 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 10-22 12:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-26 12:06
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +15 $5 33¢ $5 $0 10-21 12:07
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 10-21 12:07
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 -$3 18¢ $-2 +$1 08-21 08:20
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +20 $15 6¢ $1 -$14 10-28 00:04